ACGLArch Capital Group Ltd.

Arch Capital Group Ltd. NasdaqGS

$90.17 -0.13 (-0.14%)

update: 2025-06-22

1D 5D 1M

Trading Signals

Overall Signal

SELL

Strong sellish signal based on multiple indicators.

Confidence: 76%

Updated: 2025-06-22

Key Price Levels

Support Levels

Strong Support $83.84
Medium Support $85.95
Weak Support $88.06

Resistance Levels

Weak Resistance $92.28
Medium Resistance $94.39
Strong Resistance $96.5

Stop Loss Suggestions

Conservative $93.88
Moderate $93.33
Aggressive $95.44

Signal Breakdown

Indicator	Signal	Timeframe
Moving Averages	SELL	Short & Medium Term
Oscillators	SELL	Short Term
Trend Indicators	SELL	Medium Term
Volume Indicators	SELL	Short & Medium Term
Support/Resistance	NEUTRAL	Short Term

Stock Price Prediction

Price Target Probabilities

Quarterly Outlook

Bullish Scenario

27.24% Probability

$100.26

11.03% from current price

Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (23.64) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (45.52) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.42) is above Signal line (-0.52) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 4.98, indicating the average weekly price range.

Base Scenario

44.19% Probability

$89.59

-0.79% from current price

Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (23.64) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (45.52) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.42) is above Signal line (-0.52) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 4.98, indicating the average weekly price range.

Bearish Scenario

28.57% Probability

$80.34

-11.03% from current price

Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (23.64) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (45.52) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.42) is above Signal line (-0.52) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 4.98, indicating the average weekly price range.

Annual Outlook

Bullish Scenario

27.24% Probability

$110.22

22.06% from current price

Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (23.64) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (45.52) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.42) is above Signal line (-0.52) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 4.98, indicating the average weekly price range.

Base Scenario

44.19% Probability

$88.88

-1.58% from current price

Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (23.64) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (45.52) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.42) is above Signal line (-0.52) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 4.98, indicating the average weekly price range.

Bearish Scenario

28.57% Probability

$70.38

-22.06% from current price

Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (23.64) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (45.52) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.42) is above Signal line (-0.52) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 4.98, indicating the average weekly price range.

Technical Analysis

Trend Identification

EMA

Exponential Moving Average

SELL

EMA(20) 92.7

EMA(50) 92.7

EMA(200) 92.28

Current price (90.17) is below both Short MA (92.70) and Long MA (92.70). This indicates strong bearish momentum. Short MA is crossing Long MA. This is a critical point signaling a potential trend change. Monitor closely. MAs (92.70, 92.70, 92.28) show mixed alignment, suggesting market indecision or range-bound activity.

MACD

Moving Average Convergence Divergence

SELL

MACD Line -0.8

Signal Line -0.39

Histogram -0.41

MACD line is below the Signal line (bearish crossover). This indicates downward momentum. Histogram (-0.4100) is negative and expanding, confirming bearish momentum. Both MACD and Signal lines are below the zero line, reinforcing bearish momentum (bearish territory). This is a strong sell signal. Consider short positions.

ADX

Average Directional Index

SELL

ADX 21.11

+DI 16.92

-DI 27.47

ADX (21.11) indicates a developing or weakening trend. -DI (27.47) is above +DI (16.92), suggesting a bearish directional bias. Be cautious with current positions. Monitor for trend continuation or reversal signals.

Momentum Measurement

RSI

Relative Strength Index

SELL

Current RSI 42.42

Oversold Neutral Overbought

RSI (42.42) is in the bearish territory, but not yet oversold. This indicates downward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of strength.

Stochastic

Stochastic Oscillator

SELL

%K Line 38.91

%D Line 44.14

Stochastics (%K: 38.91, %D: 44.14) are in the neutral zone (between 20 and 80). A bearish crossover (%K below %D) is observed. This indicates downward momentum. Be cautious if it's already in the oversold region.

CCI

Commodity Channel Index

SELL

CCI(20) -57.56

CCI (-57.56) is between -100 and 0. This indicates bearish momentum is present, but not yet extreme. A move below 0 from positive territory (bearish zero-line cross) can indicate a potential sell signal.

MACD

Momentum Perspective

SELL

Histogram Value -0.41

Volatility Measurement

ATR

Average True Range

2.09

ATR(14) 2.09

ATR % of Price ...%

Current ATR is 2.0900. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility Bands

SELL

Upper Band 97.06

Middle Band (SMA20) 92.7

Lower Band 88.34

Band Width 10%

Current price (90.17) is within the Bollinger Bands (88.34 - 97.06). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is below the Middle Band (92.70), indicating short-term bearish bias.

Volume Analysis

OBV

On-Balance Volume

Rising

OBV Trend Upward

OBV vs Price Confirming

OBV (-13610400.00) is falling, indicating selling pressure and distribution. Price is falling and OBV is falling. This is bearish confirmation, indicating selling pressure supports the price decrease. Consider holding short positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.

Risk Management & Potential Reversals

SAR

Parabolic Stop and Reverse

SELL

Current SAR 93.88

Distance from Price 4.11%

SAR points above price indicate bearish trend. Current SAR at 93.88 is 4.11% from price. Consider SAR as a potential take-profit level or to confirm a downtrend.

RSI

Reversal Perspective

No Divergence

RSI Divergence None

Overbought/Oversold Neither

Current RSI level is in neutral territory. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.

Stochastic

Neutral

Approaching Overbought

Stochastic Position 38.9

Crossover Status Bearish

Stochastic is in neutral territory (38.9). No clear overbought/oversold signal. Current crossover status: Bearish.

Bollinger Bands

Reversal Perspective

Bearish Bias

Band Position Lower Half

Band Squeeze None

Bands show normal bandwidth. Price is in the lower half of the bands, suggesting a bearish bias.No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.