ACGL Arch Capital Group Ltd.
Insurance - Diversified NasdaqGS
Trading Signals (ACGL)
Overall Signal
SELL
Strong sellish signal based on multiple indicators.
Key Price Levels
Support Levels
- Strong Support $82.36
- Medium Support $84.24
- Weak Support $86.12
Resistance Levels
- Weak Resistance $89.88
- Medium Resistance $91.76
- Strong Resistance $93.64
Stop Loss Suggestions
- Conservative $90.36
- Moderate $90.82
- Aggressive $92.7
Analyst Ratings
Current Rating
Signal Indicator
| Indicator | Signal | Strength | Timeframe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moving Averages | SELL |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Oscillators | SELL |
|
Short Term |
| Trend Indicators | SELL |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Volume Indicators | BUY |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Support/Resistance | NEUTRAL |
|
Short Term |
Stock Price Prediction Price Target Probabilities (ACGL)
Quarterly Outlook :
2025-08-27
Bullish Scenario
from current 8.43%
Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (28.05) indicates a strong trend. -DI > +DI suggests strong bearish directional bias. RSI (45.24) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-1.77) is below Signal line (-1.51) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 3.71, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-08-27
Base Scenario
from current -4.22%
Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (28.05) indicates a strong trend. -DI > +DI suggests strong bearish directional bias. RSI (45.24) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-1.77) is below Signal line (-1.51) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 3.71, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-08-27
Bearish Scenario
from current -10.54%
Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (28.05) indicates a strong trend. -DI > +DI suggests strong bearish directional bias. RSI (45.24) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-1.77) is below Signal line (-1.51) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 3.71, indicating the average weekly price range.
Annual Outlook
2025-08-27
Bullish Scenario
from current 16.86%
Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (28.05) indicates a strong trend. -DI > +DI suggests strong bearish directional bias. RSI (45.24) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-1.77) is below Signal line (-1.51) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 3.71, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-08-27
Base Scenario
from current -8.43%
Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (28.05) indicates a strong trend. -DI > +DI suggests strong bearish directional bias. RSI (45.24) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-1.77) is below Signal line (-1.51) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 3.71, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-08-27
Bearish Scenario
from current -21.08%
Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (28.05) indicates a strong trend. -DI > +DI suggests strong bearish directional bias. RSI (45.24) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-1.77) is below Signal line (-1.51) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 3.71, indicating the average weekly price range.
Technical Analysis (ACGL)
Trend Identification
EMA
Exponential Moving Average
Current price (88.00) is below both Short MA (88.16) and Long MA (91.00). This indicates strong bearish momentum. Short MA (88.16) is below Long MA (91.00), a bearish crossover ('Death Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates a downward trend. All MAs are in bearish order (Price < Short MA < Long MA < Very Long MA 91.54). This is a strong bearish alignment. Consider short positions. Use the MAs as dynamic resistance levels.
MACD
Moving Average Convergence Divergence
MACD line is below the Signal line (bearish crossover). This indicates downward momentum. Histogram (-0.0500) is negative and expanding, confirming bearish momentum. Both MACD and Signal lines are below the zero line, reinforcing bearish momentum (bearish territory). This is a strong sell signal. Consider short positions.
ADX
Average Directional Index
ADX (12.95) indicates a weak or non-existent trend (ranging market). +DI (25.74) is above -DI (16.66), suggesting a bullish directional bias. Avoid trend-following strategies. Consider range-bound or reversal strategies, or wait for a clearer trend to develop.
Momentum Measurement
RSI (2025-08-27)
Relative Strength Index
RSI (47.89) is in the bearish territory, but not yet oversold. This indicates downward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of strength.
OBV (2025-08-27)
On-Balance Volume
OBV (-15556495.00) is rising, indicating buying pressure and accumulation. Price is rising and OBV is rising. This is bullish confirmation, indicating buying pressure supports the price increase. Consider holding long positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.
Stochastic (2025-08-27)
Stochastic Oscillator
Stochastics (%K: 34.79, %D: 20.46) are in the neutral zone (between 20 and 80). A bullish crossover (%K above %D) is observed, potentially signaling an upward trend reversal or continuation. Stronger signal if this occurs below 50.
CCI (2025-08-27)
Commodity Channel Index
CCI (-36.34) is between -100 and 0. This indicates bearish momentum is present, but not yet extreme. A move below 0 from positive territory (bearish zero-line cross) can indicate a potential sell signal.
Volatility Measurement
ATR (2025-08-27)
Average True Range
Current ATR is 1.9500. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.
Bollinger Bands (2025-08-27)
Volatility Bands
Current price (88.00) is within the Bollinger Bands (85.60 - 90.72). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is below the Middle Band (88.16), indicating short-term bearish bias.
Risk Management & Potential Reversals (ACGL)
SAR (2025-08-27)
Parabolic Stop and Reverse
SAR points above price indicate bearish trend. Current SAR at 90.36 is 2.68% from price. Consider SAR as a potential take-profit level or to confirm a downtrend.
Stochastic (2025-08-27)
Neutral
Stochastic is in neutral territory (34.8). No clear overbought/oversold signal. Current crossover status: Bullish.
RSI (2025-08-27)
Reversal Perspective
Current RSI level is in neutral territory. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.
Bollinger Bands (2025-08-27)
Reversal Perspective
Bands show normal bandwidth. Price is in the middle of bands with normal bandwidth. No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.
Holder List Top 20 (ACGL)
| Holder Name | Holder Type | Shares | Pct. Held | Date Reported |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Group Inc | INSTITUTIONAL | 41920974 | 11.16% | 2025-03-31 |
| Blackrock Inc. | INSTITUTIONAL | 33409935 | 8.9% | 2025-03-31 |
| Artisan Partners Limited Partnership | INSTITUTIONAL | 23424340 | 6.24% | 2025-03-31 |
| BAMCO Inc. | INSTITUTIONAL | 19966752 | 5.32% | 2025-03-31 |
| Artisan Partners Funds Inc.-Artisan International Value Fund | MUTUALFUND | 17163020 | 4.57% | 2025-03-31 |
| State Street Corporation | INSTITUTIONAL | 16996083 | 4.53% | 2025-03-31 |
| WCM Investment Management, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 13459738 | 3.58% | 2025-03-31 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 11296675 | 3.01% | 2025-03-31 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard 500 Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 10416591 | 2.77% | 2025-03-31 |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 10386538 | 2.77% | 2025-03-31 |
| BARON INVESTMENT Fd.S TRT -BARON GROWTH Fd. | MUTUALFUND | 8550000 | 2.28% | 2025-03-31 |
| Principal Financial Group, Inc. | INSTITUTIONAL | 8089827 | 2.15% | 2025-03-31 |
| Capital International Investors | INSTITUTIONAL | 7886923 | 2.1% | 2025-03-31 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Mid-Cap Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 7697374 | 2.05% | 2025-03-31 |
| JPMORGAN CHASE & CO | INSTITUTIONAL | 7470591 | 1.99% | 2025-03-31 |
| BARON SELECT FUNDS-Baron Partners Fund | MUTUALFUND | 6200000 | 1.65% | 2025-03-31 |
| Principal Funds, Inc-MidCap Fund (f/k/a MidCap Blend Fund) | MUTUALFUND | 5926641 | 1.58% | 2025-01-31 |
| Principal Funds, Inc-MidCap Fund | MUTUALFUND | 5796560 | 1.54% | 2025-04-30 |
| INVESTMENT MANAGERS SERIES TRUST-WCM Focused International Growth Fund | MUTUALFUND | 5198678 | 1.38% | 2025-03-31 |
| Fidelity Concord Street Trust-Fidelity 500 Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 4709010 | 1.25% | 2025-04-30 |