AEF abrdn Emerging Markets ex-China Fund, Inc.
Asset Management NYSE
Trading Signals (AEF)
Overall Signal
BUY
Strong buyish signal based on multiple indicators.
Key Price Levels
Support Levels
- Strong Support $5.73
- Medium Support $5.82
- Weak Support $5.92
Resistance Levels
- Weak Resistance $6.1
- Medium Resistance $6.2
- Strong Resistance $6.29
Stop Loss Suggestions
- Conservative $5.63
- Moderate $5.87
- Aggressive $5.78
Signal Indicator
| Indicator | Signal | Strength | Timeframe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moving Averages | BUY |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Oscillators | SELL |
|
Short Term |
| Trend Indicators | BUY |
|
Medium Term |
| Volume Indicators | BUY |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Support/Resistance | NEUTRAL |
|
Short Term |
Stock Price Prediction Price Target Probabilities (AEF)
Quarterly Outlook :
2025-07-05
Bullish Scenario
from current 6.99%
Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (19.46) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (73.06) is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential for price correction. MACD line (0.20) is above Signal line (0.12) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.21, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-07-05
Base Scenario
from current 0.58%
Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (19.46) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (73.06) is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential for price correction. MACD line (0.20) is above Signal line (0.12) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.21, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-07-05
Bearish Scenario
from current -6.99%
Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (19.46) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (73.06) is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential for price correction. MACD line (0.20) is above Signal line (0.12) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.21, indicating the average weekly price range.
Annual Outlook
2025-07-05
Bullish Scenario
from current 13.98%
Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (19.46) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (73.06) is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential for price correction. MACD line (0.20) is above Signal line (0.12) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.21, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-07-05
Base Scenario
from current 1.16%
Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (19.46) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (73.06) is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential for price correction. MACD line (0.20) is above Signal line (0.12) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.21, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-07-05
Bearish Scenario
from current -13.98%
Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (19.46) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (73.06) is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential for price correction. MACD line (0.20) is above Signal line (0.12) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.21, indicating the average weekly price range.
Technical Analysis (AEF)
Trend Identification
EMA
Exponential Moving Average
Current price (6.01) is above both Short MA (5.76) and Long MA (5.39). This indicates strong bullish momentum. Short MA (5.76) is above Long MA (5.39), a bullish crossover ('Golden Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates an upward trend. All MAs are in bullish order (Price > Short MA > Long MA > Very Long MA 5.30). This is a strong bullish alignment. Consider long positions. Use the MAs as dynamic support levels.
MACD
Moving Average Convergence Divergence
MACD line is above the Signal line (bullish crossover). This indicates upward momentum. Histogram (0.0200) is positive and expanding, confirming bullish momentum. Both MACD and Signal lines are above the zero line, reinforcing bullish momentum (bullish territory). This is a strong buy signal. Consider long positions.
ADX
Average Directional Index
ADX (27.48) indicates a strong trend is present. +DI (43.32) is above -DI (17.83), suggesting a bullish directional bias. This combination points to a strong upward trend. Consider taking long positions, as the strong upward trend is confirmed.
Momentum Measurement
RSI (2025-07-05)
Relative Strength Index
RSI (71.34) is in the overbought zone. This suggests the asset may be due for a price correction or a trend reversal downwards. Consider profit-taking or short-selling opportunities cautiously.
OBV (2025-07-05)
On-Balance Volume
OBV (2365276.00) is rising, indicating buying pressure and accumulation. Price is rising and OBV is rising. This is bullish confirmation, indicating buying pressure supports the price increase. Consider holding long positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.
Stochastic (2025-07-05)
Stochastic Oscillator
Stochastics (%K: 83.61, %D: 86.54) are in the overbought zone (above 80). This suggests the asset may be losing upward momentum. A bearish crossover (%K below %D) is observed, potentially signaling a downward trend reversal or continuation. Stronger signal if this occurs above 50. This is a strong sell signal, indicating potential downside.
CCI (2025-07-05)
Commodity Channel Index
CCI (127.37) is above +100. This suggests a strong upward momentum and an overbought condition. Consider profit-taking or looking for short entries cautiously. Confirm with price action; if price is making higher highs, momentum is strong. Look for pullbacks to enter long.
Volatility Measurement
ATR (2025-07-05)
Average True Range
Current ATR is 0.0900. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.
Bollinger Bands (2025-07-05)
Volatility Bands
Current price (6.01) is within the Bollinger Bands (5.49 - 6.02). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is above the Middle Band (5.76), indicating short-term bullish bias.
Risk Management & Potential Reversals (AEF)
SAR (2025-07-05)
Parabolic Stop and Reverse
SAR points below price indicate bullish trend. Current SAR at 5.63 is 6.32% from price. Consider SAR as a potential stop-loss level to protect gains in an uptrend.
Stochastic (2025-07-05)
Overbought
Stochastic is in overbought territory (83.6). Monitor for potential bearish crossover or movement below 80, which could signal a reversal.
RSI (2025-07-05)
Reversal Perspective
Current RSI level suggests overbought conditions, indicating potential for a bearish reversal. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.
Bollinger Bands (2025-07-05)
Reversal Perspective
Bands show normal bandwidth. Price is in the upper half of the bands, suggesting a bullish bias.No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.
Holder List Top 20 (AEF)
| Holder Name | Holder Type | Shares | Pct. Held | Date Reported |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| City of London Investment Management Co. Limited | INSTITUTIONAL | 12735804 | 31.37% | 2025-03-31 |
| Allspring Global Investments Holdings, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 3587102 | 8.83% | 2025-03-31 |
| 1607 Capital Partners, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 1936636 | 4.77% | 2025-03-31 |
| Lazard Asset Management LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 1517775 | 3.74% | 2025-03-31 |
| Rivernorth Capital Management, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 691164 | 1.7% | 2025-03-31 |
| Morgan Stanley | INSTITUTIONAL | 688349 | 1.7% | 2025-03-31 |
| RIVERNORTH OPPORTUNITIES FUND INC. | MUTUALFUND | 594115 | 1.46% | 2025-03-31 |
| Karpus Management, Inc. | INSTITUTIONAL | 521791 | 1.29% | 2025-03-31 |
| Absolute Investment Advisers, Llc | INSTITUTIONAL | 490272 | 1.21% | 2025-03-31 |
| PUBLIC EMPLOYEES RETIREMENT SYSTEM OF OHIO | INSTITUTIONAL | 459022 | 1.13% | 2025-03-31 |
| HC Capital Trust-The Emerging Markets Portfolio | MUTUALFUND | 428870 | 1.06% | 2025-03-31 |
| Wolverine Asset Management, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 428231 | 1.05% | 2025-03-31 |
| RIVERNORTH FUNDS-RiverNorth Core Opportunity Fund | MUTUALFUND | 97049 | 0.24% | 2025-03-31 |
| High Income Securities Fund | MUTUALFUND | 64960 | 0.16% | 2025-02-28 |
| Starboard Investment Trust-Matisse Discounted Closed-End Fund Strategy | MUTUALFUND | 40629 | 0.1% | 2025-03-31 |
| Unified Series Trust-Absolute CEF Opportunities | MUTUALFUND | 28909 | 0.07% | 2025-04-30 |
| Rydex Variable Trust-Multi-Hedge Strategies Fund | MUTUALFUND | 9166 | 0.02% | 2025-03-31 |
| JNL Series TRT-JNL/Morningstar PitchBook Listed Private Eqy. Index Fd. | MUTUALFUND | 8632 | 0.02% | 2025-03-31 |
| Rydex Series Funds-Guggenheim Multi-Hedge Strategies Fund | MUTUALFUND | 7047 | 0.02% | 2025-03-31 |
| Exchange Listed Funds Trust-Saba Closed-End Funds ETF | MUTUALFUND | 5932 | 0.01% | 2025-02-28 |