AGO Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Insurance - Specialty NYSE
Trading Signals (AGO)
Overall Signal
BUY
Strong buyish signal based on multiple indicators.
Key Price Levels
Support Levels
- Strong Support $81.45
- Medium Support $82.49
- Weak Support $83.54
Resistance Levels
- Weak Resistance $85.63
- Medium Resistance $86.67
- Strong Resistance $87.72
Stop Loss Suggestions
- Conservative $82.18
- Moderate $83.01
- Aggressive $81.97
Analyst Ratings
Current Rating
Signal Indicator
| Indicator | Signal | Strength | Timeframe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moving Averages | NEUTRAL |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Oscillators | BUY |
|
Short Term |
| Trend Indicators | SELL |
|
Medium Term |
| Volume Indicators | BUY |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Support/Resistance | NEUTRAL |
|
Short Term |
Stock Price Prediction Price Target Probabilities (AGO)
Quarterly Outlook :
2025-09-14
Bullish Scenario
from current 6.88%
Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (18.00) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (48.79) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.54) is below Signal line (-0.45) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 2.91, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-09-14
Base Scenario
from current -2.06%
Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (18.00) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (48.79) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.54) is below Signal line (-0.45) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 2.91, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-09-14
Bearish Scenario
from current -8.6%
Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (18.00) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (48.79) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.54) is below Signal line (-0.45) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 2.91, indicating the average weekly price range.
Annual Outlook
2025-09-14
Bullish Scenario
from current 13.76%
Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (18.00) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (48.79) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.54) is below Signal line (-0.45) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 2.91, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-09-14
Base Scenario
from current -4.13%
Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (18.00) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (48.79) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.54) is below Signal line (-0.45) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 2.91, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-09-14
Bearish Scenario
from current -17.2%
Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (18.00) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (48.79) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.54) is below Signal line (-0.45) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 2.91, indicating the average weekly price range.
Technical Analysis (AGO)
Trend Identification
EMA
Exponential Moving Average
Current price (84.58) is between Short MA (83.80) and Long MA (85.09), or near one of them. This suggests consolidation or mixed signals. Short MA (83.80) is below Long MA (85.09), a bearish crossover ('Death Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates a downward trend. MAs (83.80, 85.09, 85.10) show mixed alignment, suggesting market indecision or range-bound activity. Market is in a choppy or sideways phase. Wait for a clearer trend to emerge before taking directional trades.
MACD
Moving Average Convergence Divergence
MACD line is above the Signal line (bullish crossover). This indicates upward momentum. Histogram (0.1400) is positive and expanding, confirming bullish momentum. Both MACD and Signal lines are below the zero line, reinforcing bearish momentum (bearish territory). A bullish crossover below the zero line can indicate a reversal from a prior downtrend. Consider this as a potential early buy signal.
ADX
Average Directional Index
ADX (21.91) indicates a developing or weakening trend. -DI (22.06) is above +DI (14.78), suggesting a bearish directional bias. Be cautious with current positions. Monitor for trend continuation or reversal signals.
Momentum Measurement
RSI (2025-09-14)
Relative Strength Index
RSI (51.90) is in the bullish territory, but not yet overbought. This indicates upward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of weakness.
OBV (2025-09-14)
On-Balance Volume
OBV (1788836.00) is rising, indicating buying pressure and accumulation. Price is rising and OBV is rising. This is bullish confirmation, indicating buying pressure supports the price increase. Consider holding long positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.
Stochastic (2025-09-14)
Stochastic Oscillator
Stochastics (%K: 55.88, %D: 50.18) are in the neutral zone (between 20 and 80). A bullish crossover (%K above %D) is observed. This indicates upward momentum. Be cautious if it's already in the overbought region.
CCI (2025-09-14)
Commodity Channel Index
CCI (70.12) is between 0 and +100. This indicates bullish momentum is present, but not yet extreme. A move above 0 from negative territory (bullish zero-line cross) can indicate a potential buy signal.
Volatility Measurement
ATR (2025-09-14)
Average True Range
Current ATR is 1.2700. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.
Bollinger Bands (2025-09-14)
Volatility Bands
Current price (84.58) is within the Bollinger Bands (82.19 - 85.40). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is above the Middle Band (83.80), indicating short-term bullish bias.
Risk Management & Potential Reversals (AGO)
SAR (2025-09-14)
Parabolic Stop and Reverse
SAR points below price indicate bullish trend. Current SAR at 82.18 is 2.84% from price. Consider SAR as a potential stop-loss level to protect gains in an uptrend.
Stochastic (2025-09-14)
Neutral
Stochastic is in neutral territory (55.9). No clear overbought/oversold signal. Current crossover status: Bullish.
RSI (2025-09-14)
Reversal Perspective
Current RSI level is in neutral territory. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.
Bollinger Bands (2025-09-14)
Reversal Perspective
Bands show normal bandwidth. Price is in the upper half of the bands, suggesting a bullish bias.No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.
Holder List Top 20 (AGO)
| Holder Name | Holder Type | Shares | Pct. Held | Date Reported |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Group Inc | INSTITUTIONAL | 6581102 | 13.18% | 2025-03-31 |
| Blackrock Inc. | INSTITUTIONAL | 6161973 | 12.34% | 2025-03-31 |
| Wellington Management Group, LLP | INSTITUTIONAL | 4290819 | 8.59% | 2025-03-31 |
| Dimensional Fund Advisors LP | INSTITUTIONAL | 3615070 | 7.24% | 2025-03-31 |
| Nuveen, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 3332935 | 6.67% | 2025-03-31 |
| iShares Trust-iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF | MUTUALFUND | 2901332 | 5.81% | 2025-04-30 |
| State Street Corporation | INSTITUTIONAL | 1896585 | 3.8% | 2025-03-31 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 1530538 | 3.06% | 2025-03-31 |
| First Trust Advisors LP | INSTITUTIONAL | 1325057 | 2.65% | 2025-03-31 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Small-Cap Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 1206972 | 2.42% | 2025-03-31 |
| Reinhart Partners, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 1134810 | 2.27% | 2025-03-31 |
| River Road Asset Management, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 1131771 | 2.27% | 2025-03-31 |
| DFA INVESTMENT DIMENSIONS GROUP INC-U.S. SMALL CAP VALUE PORTFOLIO | MUTUALFUND | 1126316 | 2.26% | 2025-01-31 |
| VANGUARD EXPLORER FUND | MUTUALFUND | 1076338 | 2.16% | 2025-01-31 |
| Fuller & Thaler Asset Management Inc. | INSTITUTIONAL | 1053347 | 2.11% | 2025-03-31 |
| American Century ETF Trust-Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF | MUTUALFUND | 912023 | 1.83% | 2025-04-30 |
| UNDISCOVERED MANAGERS Fd.S-Undiscovered Managers Behavioral Value Fd. | MUTUALFUND | 895870 | 1.79% | 2025-03-31 |
| VANGUARD FENWAY FUNDS-Vanguard Equity Income Fund | MUTUALFUND | 850921 | 1.7% | 2025-03-31 |
| First TRT Exch-Trd Fd. VI-First TRT SMID Cap Rising Dividend Achievers | MUTUALFUND | 790007 | 1.58% | 2025-04-30 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Small-Cap Value Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 781966 | 1.57% | 2025-03-31 |