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AITApplied Industrial Technologies, Inc.

Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. NYSE

$227.19 +1.01 (0.44%)
update: 2025-06-22
1D 5D 1M

Trading Signals

Overall Signal

SELL

Strong sellish signal based on multiple indicators.

Confidence: 21.6%
Updated: 2025-06-22

Key Price Levels

Support Levels

  • Strong Support $213.2
  • Medium Support $217.86
  • Weak Support $222.53

Resistance Levels

  • Weak Resistance $231.85
  • Medium Resistance $236.52
  • Strong Resistance $241.18

Stop Loss Suggestions

  • Conservative $230.92
  • Moderate $234.19
  • Aggressive $238.85

Signal Breakdown

Indicator Signal Strength Timeframe
Moving Averages SELL
Short & Medium Term
Oscillators SELL
Short Term
Trend Indicators SELL
Short & Medium Term
Volume Indicators BUY
Short & Medium Term
Support/Resistance NEUTRAL
Short Term

Stock Price Prediction

Price Target Probabilities

Quarterly Outlook

Bullish Scenario
9.3% Probability
$256.52
13.41% from current price

Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (20.58) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (47.62) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-2.91) is below Signal line (-2.07) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 15.17, indicating the average weekly price range.

Base Scenario
44.19% Probability
$211.01
-6.71% from current price

Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (20.58) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (47.62) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-2.91) is below Signal line (-2.07) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 15.17, indicating the average weekly price range.

Bearish Scenario
46.51% Probability
$188.25
-16.77% from current price

Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (20.58) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (47.62) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-2.91) is below Signal line (-2.07) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 15.17, indicating the average weekly price range.

Annual Outlook

Bullish Scenario
9.3% Probability
$286.86
26.83% from current price

Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (20.58) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (47.62) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-2.91) is below Signal line (-2.07) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 15.17, indicating the average weekly price range.

Base Scenario
44.19% Probability
$195.84
-13.41% from current price

Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (20.58) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (47.62) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-2.91) is below Signal line (-2.07) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 15.17, indicating the average weekly price range.

Bearish Scenario
46.51% Probability
$150.33
-33.54% from current price

Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (20.58) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (47.62) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-2.91) is below Signal line (-2.07) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 15.17, indicating the average weekly price range.

Technical Analysis

Trend Identification

EMA

Exponential Moving Average

SELL
EMA(20) 228.14
EMA(50) 227.18
EMA(200) 234.6

Current price (227.19) is between Short MA (228.14) and Long MA (227.18), or near one of them. This suggests consolidation or mixed signals. Short MA (228.14) is above Long MA (227.18), a bullish crossover ('Golden Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates an upward trend. MAs (228.14, 227.18, 234.60) show mixed alignment, suggesting market indecision or range-bound activity. Market is in a choppy or sideways phase. Wait for a clearer trend to emerge before taking directional trades.

MACD

Moving Average Convergence Divergence

SELL
MACD Line -0.21
Signal Line 0.18
Histogram -0.39

MACD line is below the Signal line (bearish crossover). This indicates downward momentum. Histogram (-0.3900) is negative and expanding, confirming bearish momentum. MACD and Signal lines are on opposite sides of the zero line, indicating a potential zero-line crossover. This is a significant trend indicator.

ADX

Average Directional Index

NEUTRAL
ADX 9.86
+DI 17.73
-DI 23.97

ADX (9.86) indicates a weak or non-existent trend (ranging market). -DI (23.97) is above +DI (17.73), suggesting a bearish directional bias. Avoid trend-following strategies. Consider range-bound or reversal strategies, or wait for a clearer trend to develop.

Momentum Measurement

RSI

Relative Strength Index

SELL
Current RSI 48.37
Oversold Neutral Overbought

RSI (48.37) is in the bearish territory, but not yet oversold. This indicates downward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of strength.

Stochastic

Stochastic Oscillator

SELL
%K Line 24.3
%D Line 26.38

Stochastics (%K: 24.30, %D: 26.38) are in the neutral zone (between 20 and 80). A bearish crossover (%K below %D) is observed. This indicates downward momentum. Be cautious if it's already in the oversold region.

CCI

Commodity Channel Index

SELL
CCI(20) -56.35

CCI (-56.35) is between -100 and 0. This indicates bearish momentum is present, but not yet extreme. A move below 0 from positive territory (bearish zero-line cross) can indicate a potential sell signal.

MACD

Momentum Perspective

SELL
Histogram Value -0.39

MACD line is below the Signal line (bearish crossover). This indicates downward momentum. Histogram (-0.3900) is negative and expanding, confirming bearish momentum. MACD and Signal lines are on opposite sides of the zero line, indicating a potential zero-line crossover. This is a significant trend indicator.

Volatility Measurement

ATR

Average True Range

5.42
ATR(14) 5.42
ATR % of Price ...%

Current ATR is 5.4200. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility Bands

SELL
Upper Band 234.22
Middle Band (SMA20) 228.14
Lower Band 222.06
Band Width 5%

Current price (227.19) is within the Bollinger Bands (222.06 - 234.22). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is below the Middle Band (228.14), indicating short-term bearish bias.

Volume Analysis

OBV

On-Balance Volume

Rising
OBV Trend Upward
OBV vs Price Confirming

OBV (-6455700.00) is rising, indicating buying pressure and accumulation. Price is rising and OBV is rising. This is bullish confirmation, indicating buying pressure supports the price increase. Consider holding long positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.

Risk Management & Potential Reversals

SAR

Parabolic Stop and Reverse

BUY
Current SAR 223.22
Distance from Price 1.75%

SAR points below price indicate bullish trend. Current SAR at 223.22 is 1.75% from price. Consider SAR as a potential stop-loss level to protect gains in an uptrend.

RSI

Reversal Perspective

No Divergence
RSI Divergence None
Overbought/Oversold Neither

Current RSI level is in neutral territory. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.

Stochastic

Approaching Oversold

Approaching Overbought
Stochastic Position 24.3
Crossover Status No Crossover

Stochastic is approaching oversold territory (24.3). No reversal signal yet. Monitor for potential bullish crossover (K above D) or entry into oversold (20-) followed by reversal.

Bollinger Bands

Reversal Perspective

Normal Volatility
Band Position Mid-Range
Band Squeeze None

Bands show normal bandwidth. Price is in the middle of bands with normal bandwidth. No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.