APLT Applied Therapeutics, Inc.
Biotechnology NasdaqGM
BUY APLT is showing a Bullish technical setup (BUY, 63% confidence) — RSI 53.6, MACD below its signal line. (Price levels withheld — underlying price history is being refreshed.)
Based on end-of-day data, updated after each U.S. market close. Not investment advice.
Trading Signals (APLT)
How these signals performed on APLT
Historical occurrences of each signal on this stock since January 2024, and the forward return that followed. Small samples are shown as-is—a handful of events is not a track record.
| Signal | Horizon | Times | Win rate | Median |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RSI oversold recovery | 5d | 6 | 16.7% | -10.55% |
| 10d | 5 | 20.0% | -5.71% | |
| 20d | 5 | 40.0% | -13.49% | |
| RSI overbought reversal | 5d | 12 | 25.0% | -6.35% |
| 10d | 12 | 41.7% | -3.54% | |
| 20d | 12 | 66.7% | +1.68% | |
| MACD golden cross | 5d | 13 | 61.5% | +2.90% |
| 10d | 13 | 61.5% | +4.59% | |
| 20d | 13 | 61.5% | +12.04% | |
| MACD death cross | 5d | 13 | 53.9% | +3.28% |
| 10d | 13 | 53.9% | +2.43% | |
| 20d | 13 | 61.5% | +12.20% |
Sample period from 2024-01-01 to the latest close. Returns are gross of transaction costs and do not account for liquidity. A small number of occurrences is not statistically meaningful. Full method and market-wide results: backtest.php. Not investment advice.
Overall Signal
BUY
Strong buyish signal based on multiple indicators.
Key Price Levels
Support Levels
- Strong Support $0.31
- Medium Support $0.36
- Weak Support $0.4
Resistance Levels
- Weak Resistance $0.5
- Medium Resistance $0.54
- Strong Resistance $0.59
Stop Loss Suggestions
- Conservative $0.41
- Moderate $0.38
- Aggressive $0.34
Analyst Ratings
Current Rating
Signal Indicator
| Indicator | Signal | Strength | Timeframe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moving Averages | BUY |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Oscillators | BUY |
|
Short Term |
| Trend Indicators | SELL |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Volume Indicators | BUY |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Support/Resistance | NEUTRAL |
|
Short Term |
Price Outlook Price Target Probabilities (APLT)
Quarterly Outlook :
2026-11-04
Bullish Scenario
from current 84.44%
Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (24.41) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (38.16) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.32) is above Signal line (-0.45) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.19, indicating the average weekly price range.
2026-11-04
Base Scenario
from current -6.03%
Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (24.41) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (38.16) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.32) is above Signal line (-0.45) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.19, indicating the average weekly price range.
2026-11-04
Bearish Scenario
from current -84.44%
Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (24.41) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (38.16) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.32) is above Signal line (-0.45) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.19, indicating the average weekly price range.
Annual Outlook
2026-11-04
Bullish Scenario
from current 168.89%
Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (24.41) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (38.16) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.32) is above Signal line (-0.45) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.19, indicating the average weekly price range.
2026-11-04
Base Scenario
from current -12.06%
Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (24.41) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (38.16) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.32) is above Signal line (-0.45) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.19, indicating the average weekly price range.
2026-11-04
Bearish Scenario
from current -168.89%
Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (24.41) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (38.16) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.32) is above Signal line (-0.45) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.19, indicating the average weekly price range.
Technical Analysis (APLT)
Trend Identification
EMA
Exponential Moving Average
Current price (0.45) is above both Short MA (0.44) and Long MA (0.40). This indicates strong bullish momentum. Short MA (0.44) is above Long MA (0.40), a bullish crossover ('Golden Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates an upward trend. MAs (0.44, 0.40, 0.42) show mixed alignment, suggesting market indecision or range-bound activity. Consider long positions. Use the MAs as dynamic support levels.
MACD
Moving Average Convergence Divergence
MACD line is below the Signal line (bearish crossover). This indicates downward momentum. Histogram (-0.0000) is negative but contracting, or just turned negative, indicating bearish momentum might be slowing or just beginning. Both MACD and Signal lines are above the zero line, reinforcing bullish momentum (bullish territory). A bearish crossover above the zero line can indicate a reversal from a prior uptrend. Consider this as a potential early sell signal.
ADX
Average Directional Index
ADX (15.93) indicates a weak or non-existent trend (ranging market). -DI (24.44) is above +DI (23.14), suggesting a bearish directional bias. Avoid trend-following strategies. Consider range-bound or reversal strategies, or wait for a clearer trend to develop.
Momentum Measurement
RSI (2026-11-04)
Relative Strength Index
RSI (53.56) is in the bullish territory, but not yet overbought. This indicates upward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of weakness.
OBV (2026-11-04)
On-Balance Volume
OBV (-244795211.00) is rising, indicating buying pressure and accumulation. Price is rising and OBV is rising. This is bullish confirmation, indicating buying pressure supports the price increase. Consider holding long positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.
Stochastic (2026-11-04)
Stochastic Oscillator
Stochastics (%K: 13.68, %D: 19.77) are in the oversold zone (below 20). This suggests the asset may be losing downward momentum. A bearish crossover (%K below %D) is observed. This indicates downward momentum. Be cautious if it's already in the oversold region.
CCI (2026-11-04)
Commodity Channel Index
CCI (-63.10) is between -100 and 0. This indicates bearish momentum is present, but not yet extreme. A move below 0 from positive territory (bearish zero-line cross) can indicate a potential sell signal.
Volatility Measurement
ATR (2026-11-04)
Average True Range
Current ATR is 0.0400. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.
Bollinger Bands (2026-11-04)
Volatility Bands
Current price (0.45) is within the Bollinger Bands (0.33 - 0.54). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is above the Middle Band (0.44), indicating short-term bullish bias. Bollinger Bands are wide. This indicates high volatility. Prices tend to revert to the mean after extended periods of high volatility.
Risk Management & Potential Reversals (APLT)
SAR (2026-11-04)
Parabolic Stop and Reverse
SAR points above price indicate bearish trend. Current SAR at 0.54 is 20.00% from price. Consider SAR as a potential take-profit level or to confirm a downtrend.
Stochastic (2026-11-04)
Oversold
Stochastic is in oversold territory (13.7). Monitor for potential bullish crossover or movement above 20, which could signal a reversal. Current crossover status: Bearish.
RSI (2026-11-04)
Reversal Perspective
Current RSI level is in neutral territory. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.
Bollinger Bands (2026-11-04)
Reversal Perspective
Bollinger Bands are widening, indicating high volatility and potential strong trend continuation.Price is in the middle of bands with normal bandwidth. No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.
Holder List Top 20 (APLT)
| Holder Name | Holder Type | Shares | Pct. Held | Date Reported |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vestal Point Capital, LP | INSTITUTIONAL | 11500000 | 8.12% | 2025-03-31 |
| Propel Bio Management, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 11285420 | 7.97% | 2025-03-31 |
| T. Rowe Price Investment Management, Inc. | INSTITUTIONAL | 10380590 | 7.33% | 2025-03-31 |
| Blackrock Inc. | INSTITUTIONAL | 9551302 | 6.75% | 2025-03-31 |
| Knoll Capital Management, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 7799687 | 5.51% | 2025-03-31 |
| T. Rowe Price Small-Cap Value Fund, Inc. | MUTUALFUND | 6470223 | 4.57% | 2025-03-31 |
| Vanguard Group Inc | INSTITUTIONAL | 5889193 | 4.16% | 2025-03-31 |
| VR Adviser, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 5567709 | 3.93% | 2025-03-31 |
| Schonfeld Strategic Advisors Llc | INSTITUTIONAL | 4673613 | 3.3% | 2025-03-31 |
| Simplify Asset Management, Inc. | INSTITUTIONAL | 4487505 | 3.17% | 2025-03-31 |
| Simplify Exchange Traded Funds-Simplify Propel Opportunities ETF | MUTUALFUND | 4487505 | 3.17% | 2025-03-31 |
| Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft | INSTITUTIONAL | 4466585 | 3.15% | 2025-03-31 |
| -Price (T.Rowe) U.S. Small-Cap Value Equity Trust | MUTUALFUND | 3646845 | 2.58% | 2025-03-31 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 3104435 | 2.19% | 2025-03-31 |
| iShares Trust-iShares Russell 2000 ETF | MUTUALFUND | 2809507 | 1.98% | 2025-04-30 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Extended Market Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 1260938 | 0.89% | 2025-03-31 |
| Fidelity Salem Street Trust-Fidelity Small Cap Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 985198 | 0.7% | 2025-02-28 |
| Franklin Strategic Series-FRANKLIN BIOTECHNOLOGY DISCOVERY FUND | MUTUALFUND | 740200 | 0.52% | 2025-01-31 |
| iShares Trust-iShares Biotechnology ETF | MUTUALFUND | 647252 | 0.46% | 2025-04-30 |
| iShares Trust-iShares Russell 2000 Growth ETF | MUTUALFUND | 515913 | 0.36% | 2025-04-30 |