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ASML ASML Holding NV

Semiconductor Equipment & Materials NasdaqGS

$754.46 -0.43 (-0.06%)
update: 2025-08-26
Prev Close $754.89
Market Cap $262.21B
Day Range $752.09 - $758.19
Open $754.85
P/E Ratio 26.45
52W Change -26.05%
24H Volume 729.45K
Dividend Yield 1.25%
EPS 23.39576
DAY WEEK PRICE LEVEL

Trading Signals (ASML)

Overall Signal

SELL

Strong sellish signal based on multiple indicators.

Confidence: 81%
Updated: 2025-08-26

Key Price Levels

Support Levels

  • Strong Support $640.4
  • Medium Support $656.87
  • Weak Support $673.35

Resistance Levels

  • Weak Resistance $706.29
  • Medium Resistance $722.77
  • Strong Resistance $739.24

Stop Loss Suggestions

  • Conservative $770.45
  • Moderate $714.53
  • Aggressive $731

Analyst Ratings

Current Rating

Strong Buy 5
Buy 21
Hold 12
Sell 1
Strong Sell 0

Chart Analyst Ratings Loading

Signal Indicator

Indicator Signal Strength Timeframe
Moving Averages SELL
Short & Medium Term
Oscillators SELL
Short Term
Trend Indicators SELL
Medium Term
Volume Indicators SELL
Short & Medium Term
Support/Resistance NEUTRAL
Short Term
Data Source: Consolidated ratings from various investment bank analysts. Ratings may change over time.

Stock Price Prediction Price Target Probabilities (ASML)

Quarterly Outlook :

ASML Quarterly Outlook
2025-08-26

Bullish Scenario

Probability 14.22%
from current 11.17%
Prediction $767

Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (12.85) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (42.30) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-5.59) is below Signal line (0.30) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 38.51, indicating the average weekly price range.

ASML Quarterly Outlook
2025-08-26

Base Scenario

Probability 52%
from current -3.35%
Prediction $667

Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (12.85) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (42.30) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-5.59) is below Signal line (0.30) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 38.51, indicating the average weekly price range.

ASML Quarterly Outlook
2025-08-26

Bearish Scenario

Probability 33.78%
from current -13.96%
Prediction $594

Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (12.85) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (42.30) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-5.59) is below Signal line (0.30) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 38.51, indicating the average weekly price range.

Annual Outlook

ASML Annual Outlook
2025-08-26

Bullish Scenario

Probability 14.22%
from current 22.33%
Prediction $844

Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (12.85) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (42.30) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-5.59) is below Signal line (0.30) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 38.51, indicating the average weekly price range.

ASML Annual Outlook
2025-08-26

Base Scenario

Probability 52%
from current -6.7%
Prediction $644

Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (12.85) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (42.30) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-5.59) is below Signal line (0.30) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 38.51, indicating the average weekly price range.

ASML Annual Outlook
2025-08-26

Bearish Scenario

Probability 33.78%
from current -27.91%
Prediction $497

Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (12.85) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (42.30) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-5.59) is below Signal line (0.30) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 38.51, indicating the average weekly price range.

Technical Analysis (ASML)

Trend Identification

ASML Technical Analysis 2025-08-26

EMA

Exponential Moving Average

SELL
EMA(20) 748.98
EMA(55) 757.41
EMA(100) 724.96

Current price (689.82) is below both Short MA (748.98) and Long MA (757.41). This indicates strong bearish momentum. Short MA (748.98) is below Long MA (757.41), a bearish crossover ('Death Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates a downward trend. MAs (748.98, 757.41, 724.96) show mixed alignment, suggesting market indecision or range-bound activity. Consider short positions. Use the MAs as dynamic resistance levels.

ASML Technical Analysis 2025-08-26

MACD

Moving Average Convergence Divergence

SELL
MACD Line(12) -19.64
Signal Line(26) -13.27
Histogram(9) -6.37

MACD line is below the Signal line (bearish crossover). This indicates downward momentum. Histogram (-6.3700) is negative and expanding, confirming bearish momentum. Both MACD and Signal lines are below the zero line, reinforcing bearish momentum (bearish territory). This is a strong sell signal. Consider short positions.

ASML Technical Analysis 2025-08-26

ADX

Average Directional Index

SELL
ADX(14) 27.65
+DI 18.19
-DI 45.77

ADX (27.65) indicates a strong trend is present. -DI (45.77) is above +DI (18.19), suggesting a bearish directional bias. This combination points to a strong downward trend. Consider taking short positions, as the strong downward trend is confirmed.

Momentum Measurement

RSI (2025-08-26)

Relative Strength Index

SELL
Current RSI(14) 33.87
Oversold Neutral Overbought

RSI (33.87) is in the bearish territory, but not yet oversold. This indicates downward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of strength.

OBV (2025-08-26)

On-Balance Volume

Rising
OBV Trend Upward
OBV vs Price Confirming

OBV (-17586200.00) is falling, indicating selling pressure and distribution. Price is falling and OBV is falling. This is bearish confirmation, indicating selling pressure supports the price decrease. Consider holding short positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.

Stochastic (2025-08-26)

Stochastic Oscillator

SELL
%K Line 23.97
%D Line 38.96

Stochastics (%K: 23.97, %D: 38.96) are in the neutral zone (between 20 and 80). A bearish crossover (%K below %D) is observed. This indicates downward momentum. Be cautious if it's already in the oversold region.

CCI (2025-08-26)

Commodity Channel Index

BUY
CCI(20) -125.23

CCI (-125.23) is below -100. This suggests a strong downward momentum and an oversold condition. Consider buying or looking for long entries cautiously. Confirm with price action; if price is making lower lows, momentum is strong. Look for rallies to enter short.

Volatility Measurement

ATR (2025-08-26)

Average True Range

19.16
ATR(14) 19.16
ATR % of Price ...%

Current ATR is 19.1600. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.

Bollinger Bands (2025-08-26)

Volatility Bands

SELL
Upper Band 832.51
Middle Band (MA20) 748.98
Lower Band 665.45
Band Width 22%

Current price (689.82) is within the Bollinger Bands (665.45 - 832.51). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is below the Middle Band (748.98), indicating short-term bearish bias. Bollinger Bands are wide. This indicates high volatility. Prices tend to revert to the mean after extended periods of high volatility.

Risk Management & Potential Reversals (ASML)

SAR (2025-08-26)

Parabolic Stop and Reverse

SELL
Current SAR 770.45
Distance from Price 11.69%

SAR points above price indicate bearish trend. Current SAR at 770.45 is 11.69% from price. Consider SAR as a potential take-profit level or to confirm a downtrend.

Stochastic (2025-08-26)

Approaching Oversold

Approaching Overbought
Stochastic Position 24.0
Crossover Status Bearish

Stochastic is approaching oversold territory (24.0). No reversal signal yet. Monitor for potential bullish crossover (K above D) or entry into oversold (20-) followed by reversal. Current crossover status: Bearish.

RSI (2025-08-26)

Reversal Perspective

Divergence Detected
RSI Divergence Detected
Overbought/Oversold Neither

Current RSI level is in neutral territory. An RSI divergence has been detected, which often precedes a price reversal. Monitor closely.

Bollinger Bands (2025-08-26)

Reversal Perspective

Bearish Bias
Band Position Lower Half
Band Squeeze None

Bollinger Bands are widening, indicating high volatility and potential strong trend continuation.Price is in the lower half of the bands, suggesting a bearish bias.No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.

Holder List Top 20 (ASML)

Holder Name Holder Type Shares Pct. Held Date Reported
Capital World Investors INSTITUTIONAL 4457060 1.13% 2025-03-31
Fisher Asset Management, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 3993320 1.02% 2025-03-31
Capital International Investors INSTITUTIONAL 3320073 0.84% 2025-03-31
Edgewood Management Llc INSTITUTIONAL 2922009 0.74% 2025-03-31
State Farm Mutual Automobile Insurance Co INSTITUTIONAL 2758173 0.7% 2025-03-31
Price (T.Rowe) Associates Inc INSTITUTIONAL 2635326 0.67% 2025-03-31
iShares Trust-iShares Core MSCI EAFE ETF MUTUALFUND 2525190 0.64% 2025-04-30
FMR, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 2509241 0.64% 2025-03-31
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO INSTITUTIONAL 2223680 0.57% 2025-03-31
WASHINGTON MUTUAL INVESTORS FUND MUTUALFUND 1931589 0.49% 2025-03-31
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 MUTUALFUND 1841250 0.47% 2025-04-30
Bank of America Corporation INSTITUTIONAL 1814473 0.46% 2025-03-31
Morgan Stanley INSTITUTIONAL 1716309 0.44% 2025-03-31
ADVISORS' INNER CIRCLE FUND-EDGEWOOD GROWTH FUND MUTUALFUND 1524303 0.39% 2025-03-31
VanEck ETF Trust-VanEck Semiconductor ETF MUTUALFUND 1421845 0.36% 2025-04-30
iShares Trust-iShares MSCI EAFE ETF MUTUALFUND 1333333 0.34% 2025-04-30
AMERICAN BALANCED FUND MUTUALFUND 1294264 0.33% 2025-03-31
NEW PERSPECTIVE FUND MUTUALFUND 1178798 0.3% 2025-03-31
GROWTH FUND OF AMERICA MUTUALFUND 985942 0.25% 2025-03-31
T. Rowe Price Blue Chip Growth Fund, Inc. MUTUALFUND 710321 0.18% 2025-03-31

These predictions are generated using a combination of technical analysis, fundamental factors, market sentiment indicators, and machine learning models trained on historical price data. Probabilities represent the likelihood of reaching the target price within the specified timeframe based on our models. All predictions are for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice.