Morgan Stanley China A Share Fund, Inc. logo

CAF Morgan Stanley China A Share Fund, Inc.

Asset Management NYSE

$13.80 +0.02 (0.14%)
update: 2025-07-08
Prev Close $13.78
Market Cap $217.62M
Day Range $13.80 - $13.84
Open $13.83
P/E Ratio 11.6
52W Change 0.64%
24H Volume 20.2K
Dividend Yield 0.02%
EPS
DAY WEEK PRICE LEVEL

Trading Signals (CAF)

Overall Signal

BUY

Strong buyish signal based on multiple indicators.

Confidence: 83%
Updated: 2025-07-08

Key Price Levels

Support Levels

  • Strong Support $13.39
  • Medium Support $13.53
  • Weak Support $13.66

Resistance Levels

  • Weak Resistance $13.94
  • Medium Resistance $14.07
  • Strong Resistance $14.21

Stop Loss Suggestions

  • Conservative $13.46
  • Moderate $13.59
  • Aggressive $13.46

Signal Indicator

Indicator Signal Strength Timeframe
Moving Averages BUY
Short & Medium Term
Oscillators BUY
Short Term
Trend Indicators BUY
Short & Medium Term
Volume Indicators BUY
Short & Medium Term
Support/Resistance NEUTRAL
Short Term
Data Source: Consolidated ratings from various investment bank analysts. Ratings may change over time.

Stock Price Prediction Price Target Probabilities (CAF)

Quarterly Outlook :

CAF Quarterly Outlook
2025-07-08

Bullish Scenario

Probability 51.16%
from current 8.88%
Prediction $15

Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (22.31) indicates a developing or moderate trend. +DI > -DI suggests bullish directional bias. RSI (64.24) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.30) is above Signal line (0.22) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.49, indicating the average weekly price range.

CAF Quarterly Outlook
2025-07-08

Base Scenario

Probability 44.19%
from current 3.55%
Prediction $14

Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (22.31) indicates a developing or moderate trend. +DI > -DI suggests bullish directional bias. RSI (64.24) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.30) is above Signal line (0.22) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.49, indicating the average weekly price range.

CAF Quarterly Outlook
2025-07-08

Bearish Scenario

Probability 4.65%
from current -7.1%
Prediction $13

Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (22.31) indicates a developing or moderate trend. +DI > -DI suggests bullish directional bias. RSI (64.24) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.30) is above Signal line (0.22) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.49, indicating the average weekly price range.

Annual Outlook

CAF Annual Outlook
2025-07-08

Bullish Scenario

Probability 51.16%
from current 17.75%
Prediction $16

Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (22.31) indicates a developing or moderate trend. +DI > -DI suggests bullish directional bias. RSI (64.24) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.30) is above Signal line (0.22) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.49, indicating the average weekly price range.

CAF Annual Outlook
2025-07-08

Base Scenario

Probability 44.19%
from current 7.1%
Prediction $15

Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (22.31) indicates a developing or moderate trend. +DI > -DI suggests bullish directional bias. RSI (64.24) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.30) is above Signal line (0.22) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.49, indicating the average weekly price range.

CAF Annual Outlook
2025-07-08

Bearish Scenario

Probability 4.65%
from current -14.2%
Prediction $12

Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (22.31) indicates a developing or moderate trend. +DI > -DI suggests bullish directional bias. RSI (64.24) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.30) is above Signal line (0.22) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.49, indicating the average weekly price range.

Technical Analysis (CAF)

Trend Identification

CAF Technical Analysis 2025-07-08

EMA

Exponential Moving Average

BUY
EMA(20) 13.6
EMA(55) 13.07
EMA(100) 12.98

Current price (13.80) is above both Short MA (13.60) and Long MA (13.07). This indicates strong bullish momentum. Short MA (13.60) is above Long MA (13.07), a bullish crossover ('Golden Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates an upward trend. All MAs are in bullish order (Price > Short MA > Long MA > Very Long MA 12.98). This is a strong bullish alignment. Consider long positions. Use the MAs as dynamic support levels.

CAF Technical Analysis 2025-07-08

MACD

Moving Average Convergence Divergence

BUY
MACD Line(12) 0.18
Signal Line(26) 0.17
Histogram(9) 0

MACD line is above the Signal line (bullish crossover). This indicates upward momentum. Histogram (0.0000) is positive but contracting, or just turned positive, indicating bullish momentum might be slowing or just beginning. Both MACD and Signal lines are above the zero line, reinforcing bullish momentum (bullish territory). This is a strong buy signal. Consider long positions.

CAF Technical Analysis 2025-07-08

ADX

Average Directional Index

NEUTRAL
ADX(14) 15.4
+DI 30.17
-DI 20.86

ADX (15.40) indicates a weak or non-existent trend (ranging market). +DI (30.17) is above -DI (20.86), suggesting a bullish directional bias. Avoid trend-following strategies. Consider range-bound or reversal strategies, or wait for a clearer trend to develop.

Momentum Measurement

RSI (2025-07-08)

Relative Strength Index

BUY
Current RSI(14) 62.01
Oversold Neutral Overbought

RSI (62.01) is in the bullish territory, but not yet overbought. This indicates upward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of weakness.

OBV (2025-07-08)

On-Balance Volume

Rising
OBV Trend Upward
OBV vs Price Confirming

OBV (1401743.00) is rising, indicating buying pressure and accumulation. Price is rising and OBV is rising. This is bullish confirmation, indicating buying pressure supports the price increase. Consider holding long positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.

Stochastic (2025-07-08)

Stochastic Oscillator

SELL
%K Line 49.7
%D Line 53.34

Stochastics (%K: 49.70, %D: 53.34) are in the neutral zone (between 20 and 80). A bearish crossover (%K below %D) is observed. This indicates downward momentum. Be cautious if it's already in the oversold region.

CCI (2025-07-08)

Commodity Channel Index

BUY
CCI(20) 61.41

CCI (61.41) is between 0 and +100. This indicates bullish momentum is present, but not yet extreme. A move above 0 from negative territory (bullish zero-line cross) can indicate a potential buy signal.

Volatility Measurement

ATR (2025-07-08)

Average True Range

0.17
ATR(14) 0.17
ATR % of Price ...%

Current ATR is 0.1700. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.

Bollinger Bands (2025-07-08)

Volatility Bands

BUY
Upper Band 13.99
Middle Band (MA20) 13.6
Lower Band 13.2
Band Width 6%

Current price (13.80) is within the Bollinger Bands (13.20 - 13.99). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is above the Middle Band (13.60), indicating short-term bullish bias.

Risk Management & Potential Reversals (CAF)

SAR (2025-07-08)

Parabolic Stop and Reverse

BUY
Current SAR 13.46
Distance from Price 2.46%

SAR points below price indicate bullish trend. Current SAR at 13.46 is 2.46% from price. Consider SAR as a potential stop-loss level to protect gains in an uptrend.

Stochastic (2025-07-08)

Neutral

Approaching Overbought
Stochastic Position 49.7
Crossover Status Bearish

Stochastic is in neutral territory (49.7). No clear overbought/oversold signal. Current crossover status: Bearish.

RSI (2025-07-08)

Reversal Perspective

No Divergence
RSI Divergence None
Overbought/Oversold Neither

Current RSI level is in neutral territory. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.

Bollinger Bands (2025-07-08)

Reversal Perspective

Bullish Bias
Band Position Upper Half
Band Squeeze None

Bands show normal bandwidth. Price is in the upper half of the bands, suggesting a bullish bias.No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.

Holder List Top 20 (CAF)

Holder Name Holder Type Shares Pct. Held Date Reported
City of London Investment Management Co. Limited INSTITUTIONAL 5585612 32.52% 2025-03-31
Lazard Asset Management LLC INSTITUTIONAL 2338810 13.62% 2025-03-31
Allspring Global Investments Holdings, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 2265734 13.19% 2025-03-31
1607 Capital Partners, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 744800 4.34% 2025-03-31
PUBLIC EMPLOYEES RETIREMENT SYSTEM OF OHIO INSTITUTIONAL 704149 4.1% 2025-03-31
Karpus Management, Inc. INSTITUTIONAL 617811 3.6% 2025-03-31
Matisse Capital INSTITUTIONAL 233000 1.36% 2025-03-31
Starboard Investment Trust-Matisse Discounted Closed-End Fund Strategy MUTUALFUND 140000 0.82% 2025-03-31
HC Capital Trust-The Emerging Markets Portfolio MUTUALFUND 76700 0.45% 2025-03-31
Oasis Management Co Ltd. INSTITUTIONAL 66666 0.39% 2025-03-31
Quantedge Capital Pte Ltd INSTITUTIONAL 55451 0.32% 2025-03-31
Morgan Stanley INSTITUTIONAL 51422 0.3% 2025-03-31
Cohen & Steers Closed-End Opportunity Fund, Inc. MUTUALFUND 27000 0.16% 2025-03-31
Calamos ETF Trust-Calamos CEF Income & Arbitrage ETF MUTUALFUND 14747 0.09% 2025-01-31
insidersPercentHeld MAJOR 0%
institutionsPercentHeld MAJOR 0%
institutionsFloatPercentHeld MAJOR 0%
institutionsCount MAJOR 0%