CHDN Churchill Downs, Inc.

Gambling NasdaqGS

$100.95 +0.35 (0.35%)
update: 2025-06-30
Prev Close $100.59
Market Cap $6.56B
Day Range $100.36 - $101.47
Open $100.74
P/E Ratio 16.18
52W Change -32.14%
24H Volume 1.27M
Dividend Yield 0.45%
EPS 6.10113
DAY WEEK PRICE LEVEL

Trading Signals

Overall Signal

BUY

Strong buyish signal based on multiple indicators.

Confidence: 72%
Updated: 2025-06-30

Key Price Levels

Support Levels

  • Strong Support $94.04
  • Medium Support $96.34
  • Weak Support $98.65

Resistance Levels

  • Weak Resistance $103.25
  • Medium Resistance $105.56
  • Strong Resistance $107.86

Stop Loss Suggestions

  • Conservative $96.88
  • Moderate $97.5
  • Aggressive $95.19

Analyst Ratings

Current Rating

Strong Buy 3
Buy 8
Hold 0
Sell 0
Strong Sell 0

Chart Analyst Ratings Loading

Last Month

Strong Buy 3
Buy 8
Hold 0
Sell 0
Strong Sell 0

2 Months Ago

Strong Buy 3
Buy 8
Hold 0
Sell 0
Strong Sell 0

3 Months Ago

Strong Buy 2
Buy 8
Hold 0
Sell 0
Strong Sell 0

Signal Indicator

Indicator Signal Strength Timeframe
Moving Averages NEUTRAL
Short & Medium Term
Oscillators BUY
Short Term
Trend Indicators BUY
Short & Medium Term
Volume Indicators BUY
Short & Medium Term
Support/Resistance NEUTRAL
Short Term
Data Source: Consolidated ratings from various investment bank analysts. Ratings may change over time.

Stock Price Prediction Price Target Probabilities

Quarterly Outlook

CHDN Quarterly Outlook
2025-06-30

Bullish Scenario

Probability 21.86%
from current 13.14%
Prediction $114

Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (41.03) indicates a strong trend. -DI > +DI suggests strong bearish directional bias. RSI (42.01) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-7.73) is above Signal line (-8.67) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 6.63, indicating the average weekly price range.

CHDN Quarterly Outlook
2025-06-30

Base Scenario

Probability 44.19%
from current -2.63%
Prediction $98

Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (41.03) indicates a strong trend. -DI > +DI suggests strong bearish directional bias. RSI (42.01) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-7.73) is above Signal line (-8.67) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 6.63, indicating the average weekly price range.

CHDN Quarterly Outlook
2025-06-30

Bearish Scenario

Probability 33.95%
from current -16.42%
Prediction $84

Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (41.03) indicates a strong trend. -DI > +DI suggests strong bearish directional bias. RSI (42.01) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-7.73) is above Signal line (-8.67) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 6.63, indicating the average weekly price range.

Annual Outlook

CHDN Annual Outlook
2025-06-30

Bullish Scenario

Probability 21.86%
from current 26.27%
Prediction $127

Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (41.03) indicates a strong trend. -DI > +DI suggests strong bearish directional bias. RSI (42.01) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-7.73) is above Signal line (-8.67) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 6.63, indicating the average weekly price range.

CHDN Annual Outlook
2025-06-30

Base Scenario

Probability 44.19%
from current -5.25%
Prediction $96

Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (41.03) indicates a strong trend. -DI > +DI suggests strong bearish directional bias. RSI (42.01) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-7.73) is above Signal line (-8.67) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 6.63, indicating the average weekly price range.

CHDN Annual Outlook
2025-06-30

Bearish Scenario

Probability 33.95%
from current -32.84%
Prediction $68

Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (41.03) indicates a strong trend. -DI > +DI suggests strong bearish directional bias. RSI (42.01) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-7.73) is above Signal line (-8.67) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 6.63, indicating the average weekly price range.

Technical Analysis

Trend Identification

EMA

Exponential Moving Average

NEUTRAL
EMA(20) 98.16
EMA(55) 97.63
EMA(100) 104.7

Current price (100.95) is above both Short MA (98.16) and Long MA (97.63). This indicates strong bullish momentum. Short MA (98.16) is above Long MA (97.63), a bullish crossover ('Golden Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates an upward trend. MAs (98.16, 97.63, 104.70) show mixed alignment, suggesting market indecision or range-bound activity. Consider long positions. Use the MAs as dynamic support levels.

MACD

Moving Average Convergence Divergence

BUY
MACD Line(12) 0.94
Signal Line(26) 0.61
Histogram(9) 0.33

MACD line is above the Signal line (bullish crossover). This indicates upward momentum. Histogram (0.3300) is positive and expanding, confirming bullish momentum. Both MACD and Signal lines are above the zero line, reinforcing bullish momentum (bullish territory). This is a strong buy signal. Consider long positions.

ADX

Average Directional Index

NEUTRAL
ADX(14) 10.62
+DI 24.25
-DI 19.61

ADX (10.62) indicates a weak or non-existent trend (ranging market). +DI (24.25) is above -DI (19.61), suggesting a bullish directional bias. Avoid trend-following strategies. Consider range-bound or reversal strategies, or wait for a clearer trend to develop.

Momentum Measurement

RSI

Relative Strength Index

BUY
Current RSI(14) 58.47
Oversold Neutral Overbought

RSI (58.47) is in the bullish territory, but not yet overbought. This indicates upward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of weakness.

OBV

On-Balance Volume

Rising
OBV Trend Upward
OBV vs Price Confirming

OBV (-4205478.00) is rising, indicating buying pressure and accumulation. Price is rising and OBV is rising. This is bullish confirmation, indicating buying pressure supports the price increase. Consider holding long positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.

Stochastic

Stochastic Oscillator

NEUTRAL
%K Line 85.78
%D Line 85.05

Stochastics (%K: 85.78, %D: 85.05) are in the overbought zone (above 80). This suggests the asset may be losing upward momentum. No clear bullish or bearish crossover signal currently. The lines are close or moving sideways. This is a strong sell signal, indicating potential downside.

CCI

Commodity Channel Index

SELL
CCI(20) 100.89

CCI (100.89) is above +100. This suggests a strong upward momentum and an overbought condition. Consider profit-taking or looking for short entries cautiously. Confirm with price action; if price is making higher highs, momentum is strong. Look for pullbacks to enter long.

Volatility Measurement

ATR

Average True Range

2.32
ATR(14) 2.32
ATR % of Price ...%

Current ATR is 2.3200. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility Bands

BUY
Upper Band 102.98
Middle Band (MA20) 98.16
Lower Band 93.34
Band Width 10%

Current price (100.95) is within the Bollinger Bands (93.34 - 102.98). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is above the Middle Band (98.16), indicating short-term bullish bias.

Risk Management & Potential Reversals

SAR

Parabolic Stop and Reverse

BUY
Current SAR 96.88
Distance from Price 4.03%

SAR points below price indicate bullish trend. Current SAR at 96.88 is 4.03% from price. Consider SAR as a potential stop-loss level to protect gains in an uptrend.

RSI

Reversal Perspective

No Divergence
RSI Divergence None
Overbought/Oversold Neither

Current RSI level is in neutral territory. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.

Stochastic

Overbought

Approaching Overbought
Stochastic Position 85.8
Crossover Status No Crossover

Stochastic is in overbought territory (85.8). Monitor for potential bearish crossover or movement below 80, which could signal a reversal.

Bollinger Bands

Reversal Perspective

Bullish Bias
Band Position Upper Half
Band Squeeze None

Bands show normal bandwidth. Price is in the upper half of the bands, suggesting a bullish bias.No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.

Holder List (Top 20)

Holder Name Holder Type Shares Pct. Held Date Reported
Blackrock Inc. INSTITUTIONAL 7658566 10.6% 2025-03-31
Vanguard Group Inc INSTITUTIONAL 6774570 9.38% 2025-03-31
FMR, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 3071489 4.25% 2025-03-31
iShares Trust-iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap ETF MUTUALFUND 2379673 3.29% 2025-04-30
State Street Corporation INSTITUTIONAL 2193295 3.04% 2025-03-31
LONDON CO OF VIRGINIA INSTITUTIONAL 2158776 2.99% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund MUTUALFUND 2092874 2.9% 2025-03-31
Boston Partners INSTITUTIONAL 1749767 2.42% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Small-Cap Index Fund MUTUALFUND 1651667 2.29% 2025-03-31
Citadel Advisors Llc INSTITUTIONAL 1642493 2.27% 2025-03-31
Schroder Investment Management Group INSTITUTIONAL 1584352 2.19% 2025-03-31
Touchstone Fd.s Group TRT-Touchstone Fd.s Group TRT-Touchstone Mid Cap MUTUALFUND 1524575 2.11% 2025-03-31
Geode Capital Management, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 1392467 1.93% 2025-03-31
ArrowMark Colorado Holdings LLC INSTITUTIONAL 1218518 1.69% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Extended Market Index Fund MUTUALFUND 1130371 1.56% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD EXPLORER FUND MUTUALFUND 989661 1.37% 2025-01-31
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index Fund MUTUALFUND 926079 1.28% 2025-03-31
John Hancock Funds III-John Hancock Disciplined Value Mid Cap Fund MUTUALFUND 908804 1.26% 2025-04-30
BlackRock Funds-BLACKROCK MID CAP GROWTH EQUITY PORTFOLIO MUTUALFUND 791322 1.1% 2025-02-28
AMCAP FUND MUTUALFUND 778741 1.08% 2025-03-31