CINF Cincinnati Financial Corp.

Insurance - Property & Casualty NasdaqGS

$145.76 +2.04 (1.40%)
update: 2025-06-27
Prev Close $143.72
Market Cap $21.85B
Day Range $143.83 - $145.95
Open $144.37
P/E Ratio 15.24
52W Change 19.58%
24H Volume 337.6K
Dividend Yield 2.49%
EPS 5.45535
DAY WEEK PRICE LEVEL

Trading Signals

Overall Signal

SELL

Strong sellish signal based on multiple indicators.

Confidence: 72%
Updated: 2025-06-27

Key Price Levels

Support Levels

  • Strong Support $136.64
  • Medium Support $139
  • Weak Support $141.36

Resistance Levels

  • Weak Resistance $146.08
  • Medium Resistance $148.44
  • Strong Resistance $150.8

Stop Loss Suggestions

  • Conservative $149.25
  • Moderate $147.26
  • Aggressive $149.62

Analyst Ratings

Current Rating

Strong Buy 2
Buy 1
Hold 4
Sell 0
Strong Sell 0

Chart Analyst Ratings Loading

Last Month

Strong Buy 3
Buy 1
Hold 4
Sell 0
Strong Sell 0

2 Months Ago

Strong Buy 3
Buy 1
Hold 4
Sell 0
Strong Sell 0

3 Months Ago

Strong Buy 3
Buy 1
Hold 4
Sell 0
Strong Sell 0

Signal Indicator

Indicator Signal Strength Timeframe
Moving Averages NEUTRAL
Short & Medium Term
Oscillators SELL
Short Term
Trend Indicators SELL
Short & Medium Term
Volume Indicators SELL
Short & Medium Term
Support/Resistance NEUTRAL
Short Term
Data Source: Consolidated ratings from various investment bank analysts. Ratings may change over time.

Stock Price Prediction Price Target Probabilities

Quarterly Outlook

CINF Quarterly Outlook

Bullish Scenario

38.22% Probability
11.86% from current
$164

Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (14.03) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (54.76) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (2.70) is above Signal line (2.31) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 6.96, indicating the average weekly price range.

CINF Quarterly Outlook

Base Scenario

52% Probability
2.85% from current
$151

Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (14.03) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (54.76) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (2.70) is above Signal line (2.31) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 6.96, indicating the average weekly price range.

CINF Quarterly Outlook

Bearish Scenario

9.78% Probability
-9.49% from current
$133

Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (14.03) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (54.76) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (2.70) is above Signal line (2.31) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 6.96, indicating the average weekly price range.

Annual Outlook

CINF Annual Outlook

Bullish Scenario

38.22% Probability
23.72% from current
$181

Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (14.03) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (54.76) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (2.70) is above Signal line (2.31) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 6.96, indicating the average weekly price range.

CINF Annual Outlook

Base Scenario

52% Probability
5.69% from current
$155

Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (14.03) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (54.76) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (2.70) is above Signal line (2.31) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 6.96, indicating the average weekly price range.

CINF Annual Outlook

Bearish Scenario

9.78% Probability
-18.98% from current
$119

Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (14.03) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (54.76) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (2.70) is above Signal line (2.31) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 6.96, indicating the average weekly price range.

Technical Analysis

Trend Identification

EMA

Exponential Moving Average

NEUTRAL
EMA(20) 148.04
EMA(50) 143.1
EMA(200) 142.28

Current price (143.72) is between Short MA (148.04) and Long MA (143.10), or near one of them. This suggests consolidation or mixed signals. Short MA (148.04) is above Long MA (143.10), a bullish crossover ('Golden Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates an upward trend. MAs (148.04, 143.10, 142.28) show mixed alignment, suggesting market indecision or range-bound activity. Market is in a choppy or sideways phase. Wait for a clearer trend to emerge before taking directional trades.

MACD

Moving Average Convergence Divergence

SELL
MACD Line -0.19
Signal Line 0.45
Histogram -0.64

MACD line is below the Signal line (bearish crossover). This indicates downward momentum. Histogram (-0.6400) is negative and expanding, confirming bearish momentum. MACD and Signal lines are on opposite sides of the zero line, indicating a potential zero-line crossover. This is a significant trend indicator.

ADX

Average Directional Index

NEUTRAL
ADX 15.11
+DI 18.09
-DI 30.19

ADX (15.11) indicates a weak or non-existent trend (ranging market). -DI (30.19) is above +DI (18.09), suggesting a bearish directional bias. Avoid trend-following strategies. Consider range-bound or reversal strategies, or wait for a clearer trend to develop.

Momentum Measurement

RSI

Relative Strength Index

SELL
Current RSI 41.61
Oversold Neutral Overbought

RSI (41.61) is in the bearish territory, but not yet oversold. This indicates downward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of strength.

Stochastic

Stochastic Oscillator

SELL
%K Line 53.26
%D Line 57.51

Stochastics (%K: 53.26, %D: 57.51) are in the neutral zone (between 20 and 80). A bearish crossover (%K below %D) is observed, potentially signaling a downward trend reversal or continuation. Stronger signal if this occurs above 50.

CCI

Commodity Channel Index

BUY
CCI(20) -133.25

CCI (-133.25) is below -100. This suggests a strong downward momentum and an oversold condition. Consider buying or looking for long entries cautiously. Confirm with price action; if price is making lower lows, momentum is strong. Look for rallies to enter short.

MACD

Momentum Perspective

SELL
Histogram Value -0.64

MACD line is below the Signal line (bearish crossover). This indicates downward momentum. Histogram (-0.6400) is negative and expanding, confirming bearish momentum. MACD and Signal lines are on opposite sides of the zero line, indicating a potential zero-line crossover. This is a significant trend indicator.

Volatility Measurement

ATR

Average True Range

2.69
ATR(14) 2.69
ATR % of Price ...%

Current ATR is 2.6900. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility Bands

SELL
Upper Band 152.51
Middle Band (SMA20) 148.04
Lower Band 143.56
Band Width 6%

Current price (143.72) is within the Bollinger Bands (143.56 - 152.51). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is below the Middle Band (148.04), indicating short-term bearish bias.

Volume Analysis

OBV

On-Balance Volume

Rising
OBV Trend Upward
OBV vs Price Confirming

OBV (1256200.00) is falling, indicating selling pressure and distribution. Price is falling and OBV is falling. This is bearish confirmation, indicating selling pressure supports the price decrease. Consider holding short positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.

Risk Management & Potential Reversals

SAR

Parabolic Stop and Reverse

SELL
Current SAR 149.25
Distance from Price 3.85%

SAR points above price indicate bearish trend. Current SAR at 149.25 is 3.85% from price. Consider SAR as a potential take-profit level or to confirm a downtrend.

RSI

Reversal Perspective

No Divergence
RSI Divergence None
Overbought/Oversold Neither

Current RSI level is in neutral territory. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.

Stochastic

Neutral

Approaching Overbought
Stochastic Position 53.3
Crossover Status Bearish

Stochastic is in neutral territory (53.3). No clear overbought/oversold signal. Current crossover status: Bearish.

Bollinger Bands

Reversal Perspective

Bearish Bias
Band Position Lower Half
Band Squeeze None

Bands show normal bandwidth. Price is in the lower half of the bands, suggesting a bearish bias.No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.