CNF CNFinance Holdings Ltd.
Mortgage Finance NYSE
BUY CNF is showing a Bullish technical setup (BUY, 68% confidence) — RSI 52.3, MACD above its signal line. Key support $1.9, resistance $2.14.
Based on end-of-day data, updated after each U.S. market close. Not investment advice.
Trading Signals (CNF)
How these signals performed on CNF
Historical occurrences of each signal on this stock since January 2024, and the forward return that followed. Small samples are shown as-is—a handful of events is not a track record.
| Signal | Horizon | Times | Win rate | Median |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RSI oversold recovery | 5d | 15 | 33.3% | -4.26% |
| 10d | 15 | 33.3% | -6.94% | |
| 20d | 14 | 57.1% | +2.37% | |
| RSI overbought reversal | 5d | 6 | 50.0% | +5.30% |
| 10d | 6 | 50.0% | +4.78% | |
| 20d | 6 | 66.7% | +17.94% | |
| MACD golden cross | 5d | 12 | 41.7% | -0.36% |
| 10d | 12 | 41.7% | -1.53% | |
| 20d | 11 | 63.6% | +5.64% | |
| MACD death cross | 5d | 13 | 46.2% | -2.06% |
| 10d | 12 | 33.3% | -5.02% | |
| 20d | 12 | 25.0% | -15.90% | |
| MA20/MA60 golden cross | 5d | 6 | 16.7% | -8.36% |
| 10d | 6 | 16.7% | -12.98% | |
| 20d | 6 | 0.0% | -14.56% | |
| MA20/MA60 death cross | 5d | 6 | 16.7% | -7.38% |
| 10d | 6 | 33.3% | -8.13% | |
| 20d | 6 | 16.7% | -15.73% |
Sample period from 2024-01-01 to the latest close. Returns are gross of transaction costs and do not account for liquidity. A small number of occurrences is not statistically meaningful. Full method and market-wide results: backtest.php. Not investment advice.
Overall Signal
BUY
Strong buyish signal based on multiple indicators.
Key Price Levels
Support Levels
- Strong Support $1.65
- Medium Support $1.77
- Weak Support $1.9
Resistance Levels
- Weak Resistance $2.14
- Medium Resistance $2.27
- Strong Resistance $2.39
Stop Loss Suggestions
- Conservative $1.92
- Moderate $1.83
- Aggressive $1.71
Signal Indicator
| Indicator | Signal | Strength | Timeframe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moving Averages | NEUTRAL |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Oscillators | BUY |
|
Short Term |
| Trend Indicators | BUY |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Volume Indicators | BUY |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Support/Resistance | NEUTRAL |
|
Short Term |
Price Outlook Price Target Probabilities (CNF)
Quarterly Outlook :
2026-11-04
Bullish Scenario
from current 21.11%
Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (22.99) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (28.62) is in the oversold zone, suggesting potential for price bounce. MACD line is crossing Signal line, indicating potential trend change or consolidation. Current Weekly ATR is 0.19, indicating the average weekly price range.
2026-11-04
Base Scenario
from current 0%
Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (22.99) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (28.62) is in the oversold zone, suggesting potential for price bounce. MACD line is crossing Signal line, indicating potential trend change or consolidation. Current Weekly ATR is 0.19, indicating the average weekly price range.
2026-11-04
Bearish Scenario
from current -21.11%
Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (22.99) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (28.62) is in the oversold zone, suggesting potential for price bounce. MACD line is crossing Signal line, indicating potential trend change or consolidation. Current Weekly ATR is 0.19, indicating the average weekly price range.
Annual Outlook
2026-11-04
Bullish Scenario
from current 42.22%
Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (22.99) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (28.62) is in the oversold zone, suggesting potential for price bounce. MACD line is crossing Signal line, indicating potential trend change or consolidation. Current Weekly ATR is 0.19, indicating the average weekly price range.
2026-11-04
Base Scenario
from current 0%
Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (22.99) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (28.62) is in the oversold zone, suggesting potential for price bounce. MACD line is crossing Signal line, indicating potential trend change or consolidation. Current Weekly ATR is 0.19, indicating the average weekly price range.
2026-11-04
Bearish Scenario
from current -42.22%
Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (22.99) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (28.62) is in the oversold zone, suggesting potential for price bounce. MACD line is crossing Signal line, indicating potential trend change or consolidation. Current Weekly ATR is 0.19, indicating the average weekly price range.
Technical Analysis (CNF)
Trend Identification
EMA
Exponential Moving Average
Current price (2.02) is between Short MA (1.90) and Long MA (2.15), or near one of them. This suggests consolidation or mixed signals. Short MA (1.90) is below Long MA (2.15), a bearish crossover ('Death Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates a downward trend. MAs (1.90, 2.15, 2.50) show mixed alignment, suggesting market indecision or range-bound activity. Market is in a choppy or sideways phase. Wait for a clearer trend to emerge before taking directional trades.
MACD
Moving Average Convergence Divergence
MACD line is above the Signal line (bullish crossover). This indicates upward momentum. Histogram (0.0300) is positive and expanding, confirming bullish momentum. Both MACD and Signal lines are below the zero line, reinforcing bearish momentum (bearish territory). A bullish crossover below the zero line can indicate a reversal from a prior downtrend. Consider this as a potential early buy signal.
ADX
Average Directional Index
ADX (14.83) indicates a weak or non-existent trend (ranging market). +DI (24.26) is above -DI (16.79), suggesting a bullish directional bias. Avoid trend-following strategies. Consider range-bound or reversal strategies, or wait for a clearer trend to develop.
Momentum Measurement
RSI (2026-11-04)
Relative Strength Index
RSI (52.27) is in the bullish territory, but not yet overbought. This indicates upward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of weakness.
OBV (2026-11-04)
On-Balance Volume
OBV (-309713.00) is rising, indicating buying pressure and accumulation. Price is rising and OBV is rising. This is bullish confirmation, indicating buying pressure supports the price increase. Consider holding long positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.
Stochastic (2026-11-04)
Stochastic Oscillator
Stochastics (%K: 82.75, %D: 80.30) are in the overbought zone (above 80). This suggests the asset may be losing upward momentum. A bullish crossover (%K above %D) is observed. This indicates upward momentum. Be cautious if it's already in the overbought region.
CCI (2026-11-04)
Commodity Channel Index
CCI (96.67) is between 0 and +100. This indicates bullish momentum is present, but not yet extreme. A move above 0 from negative territory (bullish zero-line cross) can indicate a potential buy signal.
Volatility Measurement
ATR (2026-11-04)
Average True Range
Current ATR is 0.1300. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.
Bollinger Bands (2026-11-04)
Volatility Bands
Current price (2.02) is within the Bollinger Bands (1.73 - 2.08). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is above the Middle Band (1.90), indicating short-term bullish bias. Bollinger Bands are wide. This indicates high volatility. Prices tend to revert to the mean after extended periods of high volatility.
Risk Management & Potential Reversals (CNF)
SAR (2026-11-04)
Parabolic Stop and Reverse
SAR points above price indicate bearish trend. Current SAR at 2.09 is 3.47% from price. Consider SAR as a potential take-profit level or to confirm a downtrend.
Stochastic (2026-11-04)
Overbought
Stochastic is in overbought territory (82.8). Monitor for potential bearish crossover or movement below 80, which could signal a reversal.
RSI (2026-11-04)
Reversal Perspective
Current RSI level is in neutral territory. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.
Bollinger Bands (2026-11-04)
Reversal Perspective
Bollinger Bands are widening, indicating high volatility and potential strong trend continuation.Price is in the upper half of the bands, suggesting a bullish bias.No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.
Holder List Top 20 (CNF)
| Holder Name | Holder Type | Shares | Pct. Held | Date Reported |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paloma Partners Management Co | INSTITUTIONAL | 3053377 | 4.45% | 2025-03-31 |
| Gagnon Securities, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 2103222 | 3.07% | 2025-03-31 |
| Gagnon Advisors, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 784717 | 1.14% | 2025-03-31 |
| Dimensional Fund Advisors LP | INSTITUTIONAL | 150299 | 0.22% | 2025-03-31 |
| Savant Capital LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 66140 | 0.1% | 2025-03-31 |
| Argonautica Private Wealth Management, Inc | INSTITUTIONAL | 57000 | 0.08% | 2025-03-31 |
| DFA INVESTMENT DIMENSIONS GROUP INC-Emerging Markets Core Eqy. PORT. | MUTUALFUND | 48387 | 0.07% | 2025-01-31 |
| DFA INVESTMENT TRUST CO-The Emerging Markets Small Cap Series | MUTUALFUND | 46226 | 0.07% | 2025-01-31 |
| Citadel Advisors Llc | INSTITUTIONAL | 39062 | 0.06% | 2025-03-31 |
| UBS Group AG | INSTITUTIONAL | 27650 | 0.04% | 2025-03-31 |
| DFA INVESTMENT DIMENSIONS GROUP INC-Emerging Markets Social Core Eqy. | MUTUALFUND | 23410 | 0.03% | 2025-01-31 |
| DFA INVESTMENT DIMENSIONS GROUP INC-Emerging Markets Core Eqy. 2 PORT. | MUTUALFUND | 22412 | 0.03% | 2025-04-30 |
| Susquehanna International Group, LLP | INSTITUTIONAL | 21976 | 0.03% | 2025-03-31 |
| Creative Planning | INSTITUTIONAL | 19320 | 0.03% | 2025-03-31 |
| DFA INVESTMENT DIMENSIONS GROUP INC-World ex U.S. Core Eqy. PORT. | MUTUALFUND | 6181 | 0.01% | 2025-01-31 |
| Dimensional Emerging Markets Value Fund | MUTUALFUND | 5312 | 0.01% | 2025-01-31 |
| DFA INVESTMENT DIMENSIONS GROUP INC-Emerging Markets Targeted Value PO | MUTUALFUND | 3262 | 0% | 2025-01-31 |
| Gabelli 787 Fund, Inc.-Enterprise Mergers and Acquisitions Fund | MUTUALFUND | 2566 | 0% | 2025-03-31 |
| Gabelli Investor Funds Inc-THE GABELLI ABC FUND | MUTUALFUND | 2119 | 0% | 2025-03-31 |
| EQ Advisors Trust-1290 VT GAMCO Mergers & Acquisitions Portfolio | MUTUALFUND | 1765 | 0% | 2025-03-31 |