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COST Costco Wholesale Corp.

Discount Stores NasdaqGS

$982.09 -3.75 (-0.38%)
update: 2025-07-11
Prev Close $985.84
Market Cap $443.25B
Day Range $972.28 - $988.39
Open $988.39
P/E Ratio 58.49
52W Change 34.3%
24H Volume 2.77M
Dividend Yield 0.52%
EPS 18.06499
DAY WEEK PRICE LEVEL

Trading Signals (COST)

Overall Signal

SELL

Strong sellish signal based on multiple indicators.

Confidence: 78%
Updated: 2025-07-11

Key Price Levels

Support Levels

  • Strong Support $939.62
  • Medium Support $953.78
  • Weak Support $967.93

Resistance Levels

  • Weak Resistance $996.25
  • Medium Resistance $1010.4
  • Strong Resistance $1024.56

Stop Loss Suggestions

  • Conservative $996.84
  • Moderate $1003.33
  • Aggressive $1017.48

Analyst Ratings

Current Rating

Strong Buy 5
Buy 16
Hold 14
Sell 1
Strong Sell 0

Chart Analyst Ratings Loading

Last Month

Strong Buy 5
Buy 17
Hold 15
Sell 1
Strong Sell 0

2 Months Ago

Strong Buy 5
Buy 17
Hold 15
Sell 1
Strong Sell 0

3 Months Ago

Strong Buy
Buy
Hold
Sell
Strong Sell

Signal Indicator

Indicator Signal Strength Timeframe
Moving Averages SELL
Short & Medium Term
Oscillators SELL
Short Term
Trend Indicators SELL
Short & Medium Term
Volume Indicators SELL
Short & Medium Term
Support/Resistance NEUTRAL
Short Term
Data Source: Consolidated ratings from various investment bank analysts. Ratings may change over time.

Stock Price Prediction Price Target Probabilities (COST)

Quarterly Outlook :

COST Quarterly Outlook
2025-07-11

Bullish Scenario

Probability 20.33%
from current 8.96%
Prediction $1070

Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (16.16) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (50.81) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (14.02) is below Signal line (19.55) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 44.02, indicating the average weekly price range.

COST Quarterly Outlook
2025-07-11

Base Scenario

Probability 53.85%
from current -1.12%
Prediction $971

Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (16.16) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (50.81) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (14.02) is below Signal line (19.55) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 44.02, indicating the average weekly price range.

COST Quarterly Outlook
2025-07-11

Bearish Scenario

Probability 25.82%
from current -8.96%
Prediction $894

Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (16.16) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (50.81) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (14.02) is below Signal line (19.55) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 44.02, indicating the average weekly price range.

Annual Outlook

COST Annual Outlook
2025-07-11

Bullish Scenario

Probability 20.33%
from current 17.93%
Prediction $1158

Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (16.16) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (50.81) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (14.02) is below Signal line (19.55) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 44.02, indicating the average weekly price range.

COST Annual Outlook
2025-07-11

Base Scenario

Probability 53.85%
from current -2.24%
Prediction $960

Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (16.16) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (50.81) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (14.02) is below Signal line (19.55) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 44.02, indicating the average weekly price range.

COST Annual Outlook
2025-07-11

Bearish Scenario

Probability 25.82%
from current -17.93%
Prediction $806

Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (16.16) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (50.81) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (14.02) is below Signal line (19.55) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 44.02, indicating the average weekly price range.

Technical Analysis (COST)

Trend Identification

COST Technical Analysis 2025-07-11

EMA

Exponential Moving Average

SELL
EMA(20) 989.03
EMA(55) 999.84
EMA(100) 989.03

Current price (982.09) is below both Short MA (989.03) and Long MA (999.84). This indicates strong bearish momentum. Short MA (989.03) is below Long MA (999.84), a bearish crossover ('Death Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates a downward trend. MAs (989.03, 999.84, 989.03) show mixed alignment, suggesting market indecision or range-bound activity. Consider short positions. Use the MAs as dynamic resistance levels.

COST Technical Analysis 2025-07-11

MACD

Moving Average Convergence Divergence

SELL
MACD Line(12) -5.62
Signal Line(26) -5.48
Histogram(9) -0.14

MACD line is below the Signal line (bearish crossover). This indicates downward momentum. Histogram (-0.1400) is negative and expanding, confirming bearish momentum. Both MACD and Signal lines are below the zero line, reinforcing bearish momentum (bearish territory). This is a strong sell signal. Consider short positions.

COST Technical Analysis 2025-07-11

ADX

Average Directional Index

NEUTRAL
ADX(14) 12.62
+DI 17.03
-DI 22.32

ADX (12.62) indicates a weak or non-existent trend (ranging market). -DI (22.32) is above +DI (17.03), suggesting a bearish directional bias. Avoid trend-following strategies. Consider range-bound or reversal strategies, or wait for a clearer trend to develop.

Momentum Measurement

RSI (2025-07-11)

Relative Strength Index

SELL
Current RSI(14) 43.67
Oversold Neutral Overbought

RSI (43.67) is in the bearish territory, but not yet oversold. This indicates downward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of strength.

OBV (2025-07-11)

On-Balance Volume

Rising
OBV Trend Upward
OBV vs Price Confirming

OBV (3224456.00) is falling, indicating selling pressure and distribution. Price is falling and OBV is falling. This is bearish confirmation, indicating selling pressure supports the price decrease. Consider holding short positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.

Stochastic (2025-07-11)

Stochastic Oscillator

SELL
%K Line 57.16
%D Line 58.64

Stochastics (%K: 57.16, %D: 58.64) are in the neutral zone (between 20 and 80). No clear bullish or bearish crossover signal currently. The lines are close or moving sideways.

CCI (2025-07-11)

Commodity Channel Index

SELL
CCI(20) -79

CCI (-79.00) is between -100 and 0. This indicates bearish momentum is present, but not yet extreme. A move below 0 from positive territory (bearish zero-line cross) can indicate a potential sell signal.

Volatility Measurement

ATR (2025-07-11)

Average True Range

15.92
ATR(14) 15.92
ATR % of Price ...%

Current ATR is 15.9200. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.

Bollinger Bands (2025-07-11)

Volatility Bands

SELL
Upper Band 1006.91
Middle Band (MA20) 989.03
Lower Band 971.16
Band Width 4%

Current price (982.09) is within the Bollinger Bands (971.16 - 1006.91). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is below the Middle Band (989.03), indicating short-term bearish bias.

Risk Management & Potential Reversals (COST)

SAR (2025-07-11)

Parabolic Stop and Reverse

SELL
Current SAR 996.84
Distance from Price 1.50%

SAR points above price indicate bearish trend. Current SAR at 996.84 is 1.50% from price. Consider SAR as a potential take-profit level or to confirm a downtrend.

Stochastic (2025-07-11)

Neutral

Approaching Overbought
Stochastic Position 57.2
Crossover Status No Crossover

Stochastic is in neutral territory (57.2). No clear overbought/oversold signal.

RSI (2025-07-11)

Reversal Perspective

No Divergence
RSI Divergence None
Overbought/Oversold Neither

Current RSI level is in neutral territory. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.

Bollinger Bands (2025-07-11)

Reversal Perspective

Bearish Bias
Band Position Lower Half
Band Squeeze None

Bands show normal bandwidth. Price is in the lower half of the bands, suggesting a bearish bias.No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.

Holder List Top 20 (COST)

Holder Name Holder Type Shares Pct. Held Date Reported
Vanguard Group Inc INSTITUTIONAL 42644711 9.61% 2025-03-31
Blackrock Inc. INSTITUTIONAL 34932168 7.87% 2025-03-31
State Street Corporation INSTITUTIONAL 18235309 4.11% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund MUTUALFUND 14023472 3.16% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard 500 Index Fund MUTUALFUND 12334780 2.78% 2025-03-31
Geode Capital Management, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 10124212 2.28% 2025-03-31
FMR, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 9518862 2.15% 2025-03-31
Morgan Stanley INSTITUTIONAL 9514874 2.14% 2025-03-31
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 MUTUALFUND 9049682 2.04% 2025-04-30
Bank of America Corporation INSTITUTIONAL 6710789 1.51% 2025-03-31
NORGES BANK INSTITUTIONAL 5655883 1.27% 2024-12-31
Fidelity Concord Street Trust-Fidelity 500 Index Fund MUTUALFUND 5576054 1.26% 2025-04-30
SPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUST MUTUALFUND 5347008 1.21% 2025-04-30
iShares Trust-iShares Core S&P 500 ETF MUTUALFUND 5258000 1.19% 2025-04-30
Northern Trust Corporation INSTITUTIONAL 5109095 1.15% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Growth Index Fund MUTUALFUND 4544993 1.02% 2025-03-31
Alliancebernstein L.P. INSTITUTIONAL 4332009 0.98% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD INSTITUTIONAL INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Institutional Index Fund MUTUALFUND 2736444 0.62% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD SPECIALIZED FUNDS-Vanguard Dividend Appreciation Index Fund MUTUALFUND 2425327 0.55% 2025-01-31
Fidelity Contrafund MUTUALFUND 1985572 0.45% 2025-04-30