DLTR Dollar Tree, Inc.

Discount Stores NasdaqGS

$99.04 +0.34 (0.34%)
update: 2025-07-01
Prev Close $98.69
Market Cap $17.47B
Day Range $97.30 - $99.64
Open $98.65
P/E Ratio 16.82
52W Change -32.68%
24H Volume 2.76M
Dividend Yield %
EPS 5.2109
DAY WEEK PRICE LEVEL

Trading Signals

Overall Signal

BUY

Strong buyish signal based on multiple indicators.

Confidence: 83%
Updated: 2025-07-01

Key Price Levels

Support Levels

  • Strong Support $91.44
  • Medium Support $93.97
  • Weak Support $96.51

Resistance Levels

  • Weak Resistance $101.57
  • Medium Resistance $104.11
  • Strong Resistance $106.64

Stop Loss Suggestions

  • Conservative $92.49
  • Moderate $95.24
  • Aggressive $92.71

Analyst Ratings

Current Rating

Strong Buy 5
Buy 7
Hold 14
Sell 0
Strong Sell 1

Chart Analyst Ratings Loading

Last Month

Strong Buy 2
Buy 8
Hold 16
Sell 0
Strong Sell 1

2 Months Ago

Strong Buy 3
Buy 8
Hold 16
Sell 0
Strong Sell 1

3 Months Ago

Strong Buy 3
Buy 6
Hold 18
Sell 0
Strong Sell 1

Signal Indicator

Indicator Signal Strength Timeframe
Moving Averages BUY
Short & Medium Term
Oscillators BUY
Short Term
Trend Indicators BUY
Medium Term
Volume Indicators BUY
Short & Medium Term
Support/Resistance NEUTRAL
Short Term
Data Source: Consolidated ratings from various investment bank analysts. Ratings may change over time.

Stock Price Prediction Price Target Probabilities

Quarterly Outlook

DLTR Quarterly Outlook
2025-07-01

Bullish Scenario

Probability 42.19%
from current 14.89%
Prediction $114

Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (26.83) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (73.03) is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential for price correction. MACD line (5.71) is above Signal line (3.17) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 5.90, indicating the average weekly price range.

DLTR Quarterly Outlook
2025-07-01

Base Scenario

Probability 44.19%
from current 3.4%
Prediction $102

Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (26.83) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (73.03) is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential for price correction. MACD line (5.71) is above Signal line (3.17) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 5.90, indicating the average weekly price range.

DLTR Quarterly Outlook
2025-07-01

Bearish Scenario

Probability 13.62%
from current -11.91%
Prediction $87

Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (26.83) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (73.03) is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential for price correction. MACD line (5.71) is above Signal line (3.17) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 5.90, indicating the average weekly price range.

Annual Outlook

DLTR Annual Outlook
2025-07-01

Bullish Scenario

Probability 42.19%
from current 29.79%
Prediction $129

Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (26.83) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (73.03) is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential for price correction. MACD line (5.71) is above Signal line (3.17) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 5.90, indicating the average weekly price range.

DLTR Annual Outlook
2025-07-01

Base Scenario

Probability 44.19%
from current 6.81%
Prediction $106

Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (26.83) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (73.03) is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential for price correction. MACD line (5.71) is above Signal line (3.17) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 5.90, indicating the average weekly price range.

DLTR Annual Outlook
2025-07-01

Bearish Scenario

Probability 13.62%
from current -23.83%
Prediction $75

Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (26.83) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (73.03) is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential for price correction. MACD line (5.71) is above Signal line (3.17) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 5.90, indicating the average weekly price range.

Technical Analysis

Trend Identification

EMA

Exponential Moving Average

BUY
EMA(20) 96.48
EMA(55) 86.64
EMA(100) 80.34

Current price (99.04) is above both Short MA (96.48) and Long MA (86.64). This indicates strong bullish momentum. Short MA (96.48) is above Long MA (86.64), a bullish crossover ('Golden Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates an upward trend. All MAs are in bullish order (Price > Short MA > Long MA > Very Long MA 80.34). This is a strong bullish alignment. Consider long positions. Use the MAs as dynamic support levels.

MACD

Moving Average Convergence Divergence

SELL
MACD Line(12) 3.01
Signal Line(26) 3.23
Histogram(9) -0.22

MACD line is below the Signal line (bearish crossover). This indicates downward momentum. Histogram (-0.2200) is negative and expanding, confirming bearish momentum. Both MACD and Signal lines are above the zero line, reinforcing bullish momentum (bullish territory). A bearish crossover above the zero line can indicate a reversal from a prior uptrend. Consider this as a potential early sell signal.

ADX

Average Directional Index

BUY
ADX(14) 34.31
+DI 27.86
-DI 15.28

ADX (34.31) indicates a strong trend is present. +DI (27.86) is above -DI (15.28), suggesting a bullish directional bias. This combination points to a strong upward trend. Consider taking long positions, as the strong upward trend is confirmed.

Momentum Measurement

RSI

Relative Strength Index

BUY
Current RSI(14) 60.7
Oversold Neutral Overbought

RSI (60.70) is in the bullish territory, but not yet overbought. This indicates upward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of weakness.

OBV

On-Balance Volume

Rising
OBV Trend Upward
OBV vs Price Confirming

OBV (69338100.00) is rising, indicating buying pressure and accumulation. Price is rising and OBV is rising. This is bullish confirmation, indicating buying pressure supports the price increase. Consider holding long positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.

Stochastic

Stochastic Oscillator

SELL
%K Line 44.88
%D Line 52.22

Stochastics (%K: 44.88, %D: 52.22) are in the neutral zone (between 20 and 80). A bearish crossover (%K below %D) is observed. This indicates downward momentum. Be cautious if it's already in the oversold region.

CCI

Commodity Channel Index

BUY
CCI(20) 40.13

CCI (40.13) is between 0 and +100. This indicates bullish momentum is present, but not yet extreme. A move above 0 from negative territory (bullish zero-line cross) can indicate a potential buy signal.

Volatility Measurement

ATR

Average True Range

2.88
ATR(14) 2.88
ATR % of Price ...%

Current ATR is 2.8800. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility Bands

BUY
Upper Band 102.56
Middle Band (MA20) 96.48
Lower Band 90.41
Band Width 12%

Current price (99.04) is within the Bollinger Bands (90.41 - 102.56). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is above the Middle Band (96.48), indicating short-term bullish bias. Bollinger Bands are wide. This indicates high volatility. Prices tend to revert to the mean after extended periods of high volatility.

Risk Management & Potential Reversals

SAR

Parabolic Stop and Reverse

BUY
Current SAR 92.49
Distance from Price 6.61%

SAR points below price indicate bullish trend. Current SAR at 92.49 is 6.61% from price. Consider SAR as a potential stop-loss level to protect gains in an uptrend.

Stochastic

Neutral

Approaching Overbought
Stochastic Position 44.9
Crossover Status Bearish

Stochastic is in neutral territory (44.9). No clear overbought/oversold signal. Current crossover status: Bearish.

RSI

Reversal Perspective

Divergence Detected
RSI Divergence Detected
Overbought/Oversold Neither

Current RSI level is in neutral territory. An RSI divergence has been detected, which often precedes a price reversal. Monitor closely.

Bollinger Bands

Reversal Perspective

Bullish Bias
Band Position Upper Half
Band Squeeze None

Bollinger Bands are widening, indicating high volatility and potential strong trend continuation.Price is in the upper half of the bands, suggesting a bullish bias.No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.

Holder List (Top 20)

Holder Name Holder Type Shares Pct. Held Date Reported
Vanguard Group Inc INSTITUTIONAL 23839718 11.08% 2025-03-31
Blackrock Inc. INSTITUTIONAL 16375328 7.61% 2025-03-31
Mantle Ridge LP INSTITUTIONAL 12104393 5.63% 2025-03-31
T. Rowe Price Investment Management, Inc. INSTITUTIONAL 9994978 4.65% 2025-03-31
Capital International Investors INSTITUTIONAL 9954314 4.63% 2025-03-31
Edgepoint Investment Group Inc. INSTITUTIONAL 9641507 4.48% 2025-03-31
State Street Corporation INSTITUTIONAL 9291996 4.32% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund MUTUALFUND 6475156 3.01% 2025-03-31
Price (T.Rowe) Associates Inc INSTITUTIONAL 5848196 2.72% 2025-03-31
FIL LTD INSTITUTIONAL 5681606 2.64% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard 500 Index Fund MUTUALFUND 5618291 2.61% 2025-03-31
Geode Capital Management, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 5303338 2.47% 2025-03-31
T. Rowe Price Mid-Cap Growth Fund, Inc. MUTUALFUND 4726300 2.2% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Mid-Cap Index Fund MUTUALFUND 4399669 2.05% 2025-03-31
AMCAP FUND MUTUALFUND 3147363 1.46% 2025-03-31
-Price (T.Rowe) U.S. Value Equity Trust MUTUALFUND 2595093 1.21% 2025-03-31
Fidelity Concord Street Trust-Fidelity 500 Index Fund MUTUALFUND 2539150 1.18% 2025-04-30
SPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUST MUTUALFUND 2440976 1.13% 2025-04-30
iShares Trust-iShares Core S&P 500 ETF MUTUALFUND 2392696 1.11% 2025-04-30
Invesco Exchange-Traded Fund Trust-Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF MUTUALFUND 2268884 1.05% 2025-04-30