DUOL Duolingo, Inc.
Software - Application NasdaqGS
Trading Signals
Overall Signal
SELL
Strong sellish signal based on multiple indicators.
Key Price Levels
Support Levels
- Strong Support $344.17
- Medium Support $366.54
- Weak Support $388.9
Resistance Levels
- Weak Resistance $433.62
- Medium Resistance $455.98
- Strong Resistance $478.35
Stop Loss Suggestions
- Conservative $451.04
- Moderate $444.8
- Aggressive $467.17
Analyst Ratings
Current Rating
Last Month
2 Months Ago
3 Months Ago
Signal Indicator
| Indicator | Signal | Strength | Timeframe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moving Averages | NEUTRAL |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Oscillators | SELL |
|
Short Term |
| Trend Indicators | SELL |
|
Medium Term |
| Volume Indicators | BUY |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Support/Resistance | NEUTRAL |
|
Short Term |
Stock Price Prediction Price Target Probabilities
Quarterly Outlook
2025-06-30
Bullish Scenario
from current 23%
Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (29.31) indicates a strong trend. -DI > +DI suggests strong bearish directional bias. RSI (51.22) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (44.35) is above Signal line (43.74) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 47.30, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-06-30
Base Scenario
from current 0%
Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (29.31) indicates a strong trend. -DI > +DI suggests strong bearish directional bias. RSI (51.22) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (44.35) is above Signal line (43.74) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 47.30, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-06-30
Bearish Scenario
from current -23%
Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (29.31) indicates a strong trend. -DI > +DI suggests strong bearish directional bias. RSI (51.22) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (44.35) is above Signal line (43.74) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 47.30, indicating the average weekly price range.
Annual Outlook
2025-06-30
Bullish Scenario
from current 46%
Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (29.31) indicates a strong trend. -DI > +DI suggests strong bearish directional bias. RSI (51.22) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (44.35) is above Signal line (43.74) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 47.30, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-06-30
Base Scenario
from current 0%
Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (29.31) indicates a strong trend. -DI > +DI suggests strong bearish directional bias. RSI (51.22) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (44.35) is above Signal line (43.74) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 47.30, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-06-30
Bearish Scenario
from current -46%
Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (29.31) indicates a strong trend. -DI > +DI suggests strong bearish directional bias. RSI (51.22) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (44.35) is above Signal line (43.74) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 47.30, indicating the average weekly price range.
Technical Analysis
Trend Identification
EMA
Exponential Moving Average
Current price (411.26) is below both Short MA (475.63) and Long MA (441.12). This indicates strong bearish momentum. Short MA (475.63) is above Long MA (441.12), a bullish crossover ('Golden Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates an upward trend. MAs (475.63, 441.12, 402.42) show mixed alignment, suggesting market indecision or range-bound activity.
MACD
Moving Average Convergence Divergence
MACD line is below the Signal line (bearish crossover). This indicates downward momentum. Histogram (-12.3300) is negative and expanding, confirming bearish momentum. Both MACD and Signal lines are below the zero line, reinforcing bearish momentum (bearish territory). This is a strong sell signal. Consider short positions.
ADX
Average Directional Index
ADX (30.30) indicates a strong trend is present. -DI (33.89) is above +DI (12.19), suggesting a bearish directional bias. This combination points to a strong downward trend. Consider taking short positions, as the strong downward trend is confirmed.
Momentum Measurement
RSI
Relative Strength Index
RSI (30.69) is in the bearish territory, but not yet oversold. This indicates downward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of strength.
OBV
On-Balance Volume
OBV (15171800.00) is rising, indicating buying pressure and accumulation. Price is rising and OBV is rising. This is bullish confirmation, indicating buying pressure supports the price increase. Consider holding long positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.
Stochastic
Stochastic Oscillator
Stochastics (%K: 15.92, %D: 9.62) are in the oversold zone (below 20). This suggests the asset may be losing downward momentum. A bullish crossover (%K above %D) is observed, potentially signaling an upward trend reversal or continuation. Stronger signal if this occurs below 50. This is a strong buy signal, indicating potential upside.
CCI
Commodity Channel Index
CCI (-130.54) is below -100. This suggests a strong downward momentum and an oversold condition. Consider buying or looking for long entries cautiously. Confirm with price action; if price is making lower lows, momentum is strong. Look for rallies to enter short.
Volatility Measurement
ATR
Average True Range
Current ATR is 21.8100. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.
Bollinger Bands
Volatility Bands
Current price (411.26) is within the Bollinger Bands (395.85 - 555.42). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is below the Middle Band (475.63), indicating short-term bearish bias. Bollinger Bands are wide. This indicates high volatility. Prices tend to revert to the mean after extended periods of high volatility.
Risk Management & Potential Reversals
SAR
Parabolic Stop and Reverse
SAR points above price indicate bearish trend. Current SAR at 451.04 is 9.67% from price. Consider SAR as a potential take-profit level or to confirm a downtrend.
RSI
Reversal Perspective
Current RSI level is in neutral territory. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.
Stochastic
Oversold
Stochastic is in oversold territory (15.9). Monitor for potential bullish crossover or movement above 20, which could signal a reversal. Current crossover status: Bullish.
Bollinger Bands
Reversal Perspective
Bollinger Bands are widening, indicating high volatility and potential strong trend continuation.Price is in the lower half of the bands, suggesting a bearish bias.No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.
Holder List (Top 20)
| Holder Name | Holder Type | Shares | Pct. Held | Date Reported |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackrock Inc. | INSTITUTIONAL | 3612451 | 9.21% | 2025-03-31 |
| FMR, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 3555887 | 9.06% | 2025-03-31 |
| Vanguard Group Inc | INSTITUTIONAL | 3531816 | 9% | 2025-03-31 |
| BAILLIE GIFFORD & CO | INSTITUTIONAL | 2477752 | 6.31% | 2025-03-31 |
| Durable Capital Partners Lp | INSTITUTIONAL | 1694283 | 4.32% | 2025-03-31 |
| Capital World Investors | INSTITUTIONAL | 1355796 | 3.46% | 2025-03-31 |
| Invesco Ltd. | INSTITUTIONAL | 1346278 | 3.43% | 2025-03-31 |
| Dragoneer Investment Group, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 1255861 | 3.2% | 2025-03-31 |
| iShares Trust-iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap ETF | MUTUALFUND | 1227024 | 3.13% | 2025-04-30 |
| Price (T.Rowe) Associates Inc | INSTITUTIONAL | 1190382 | 3.03% | 2025-03-31 |
| State Street Corporation | INSTITUTIONAL | 1158278 | 2.95% | 2025-03-31 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 1138942 | 2.9% | 2025-03-31 |
| Fidelity Contrafund | MUTUALFUND | 943263 | 2.4% | 2025-04-30 |
| VANGUARD WORLD FUND-Vanguard U.S. Growth Fund | MUTUALFUND | 924455 | 2.36% | 2025-02-28 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Small-Cap Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 898342 | 2.29% | 2025-03-31 |
| GROWTH FUND OF AMERICA | MUTUALFUND | 879911 | 2.24% | 2025-03-31 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Extended Market Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 583292 | 1.49% | 2025-03-31 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 503783 | 1.28% | 2025-03-31 |
| T. Rowe Price Mid-Cap Growth Fund, Inc. | MUTUALFUND | 419500 | 1.07% | 2025-03-31 |
| T. Rowe Price Growth Stock Fund, Inc. | MUTUALFUND | 401426 | 1.02% | 2025-03-31 |