EC Ecopetrol SA

Oil & Gas Integrated NYSE

$8.85 -0.08 (-0.90%)
update: 2025-07-02
Prev Close $8.93
Market Cap $16.57B
Day Range $8.80 - $8.93
Open $8.88
P/E Ratio 5.1
52W Change -30.16%
24H Volume 1.62M
Dividend Yield 29.67%
EPS 1.73665
DAY WEEK PRICE LEVEL

Trading Signals

Overall Signal

SELL

Strong sellish signal based on multiple indicators.

Confidence: 78%
Updated: 2025-07-02

Key Price Levels

Support Levels

  • Strong Support $8.03
  • Medium Support $8.3
  • Weak Support $8.57

Resistance Levels

  • Weak Resistance $9.12
  • Medium Resistance $9.4
  • Strong Resistance $9.67

Stop Loss Suggestions

  • Conservative $9.83
  • Moderate $9.26
  • Aggressive $9.54

Analyst Ratings

Current Rating

Strong Buy 0
Buy 1
Hold 6
Sell 3
Strong Sell 1

Chart Analyst Ratings Loading

Last Month

Strong Buy 0
Buy 2
Hold 5
Sell 3
Strong Sell 1

2 Months Ago

Strong Buy 0
Buy 2
Hold 5
Sell 3
Strong Sell 1

3 Months Ago

Strong Buy 0
Buy 2
Hold 5
Sell 3
Strong Sell 1

Signal Indicator

Indicator Signal Strength Timeframe
Moving Averages SELL
Short & Medium Term
Oscillators SELL
Short Term
Trend Indicators SELL
Medium Term
Volume Indicators SELL
Short & Medium Term
Support/Resistance NEUTRAL
Short Term
Data Source: Consolidated ratings from various investment bank analysts. Ratings may change over time.

Stock Price Prediction Price Target Probabilities

Quarterly Outlook

EC Quarterly Outlook
2025-07-02

Bullish Scenario

Probability 27.24%
from current 15.14%
Prediction $10

Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (20.84) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (47.86) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.04) is above Signal line (-0.05) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.67, indicating the average weekly price range.

EC Quarterly Outlook
2025-07-02

Base Scenario

Probability 44.19%
from current -1.08%
Prediction $9

Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (20.84) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (47.86) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.04) is above Signal line (-0.05) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.67, indicating the average weekly price range.

EC Quarterly Outlook
2025-07-02

Bearish Scenario

Probability 28.57%
from current -15.14%
Prediction $8

Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (20.84) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (47.86) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.04) is above Signal line (-0.05) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.67, indicating the average weekly price range.

Annual Outlook

EC Annual Outlook
2025-07-02

Bullish Scenario

Probability 27.24%
from current 30.28%
Prediction $12

Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (20.84) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (47.86) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.04) is above Signal line (-0.05) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.67, indicating the average weekly price range.

EC Annual Outlook
2025-07-02

Base Scenario

Probability 44.19%
from current -2.16%
Prediction $9

Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (20.84) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (47.86) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.04) is above Signal line (-0.05) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.67, indicating the average weekly price range.

EC Annual Outlook
2025-07-02

Bearish Scenario

Probability 28.57%
from current -30.28%
Prediction $6

Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (20.84) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (47.86) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.04) is above Signal line (-0.05) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.67, indicating the average weekly price range.

Technical Analysis

Trend Identification

EMA

Exponential Moving Average

SELL
EMA(20) 9.18
EMA(55) 8.79
EMA(100) 9.3

Current price (8.85) is between Short MA (9.18) and Long MA (8.79), or near one of them. This suggests consolidation or mixed signals. Short MA (9.18) is above Long MA (8.79), a bullish crossover ('Golden Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates an upward trend. MAs (9.18, 8.79, 9.30) show mixed alignment, suggesting market indecision or range-bound activity. Market is in a choppy or sideways phase. Wait for a clearer trend to emerge before taking directional trades.

MACD

Moving Average Convergence Divergence

SELL
MACD Line(12) 0.11
Signal Line(26) 0.18
Histogram(9) -0.07

MACD line is below the Signal line (bearish crossover). This indicates downward momentum. Histogram (-0.0700) is negative and expanding, confirming bearish momentum. Both MACD and Signal lines are above the zero line, reinforcing bullish momentum (bullish territory). A bearish crossover above the zero line can indicate a reversal from a prior uptrend. Consider this as a potential early sell signal.

ADX

Average Directional Index

SELL
ADX(14) 23.25
+DI 21.4
-DI 26.66

ADX (23.25) indicates a developing or weakening trend. -DI (26.66) is above +DI (21.40), suggesting a bearish directional bias. Be cautious with current positions. Monitor for trend continuation or reversal signals.

Momentum Measurement

RSI

Relative Strength Index

SELL
Current RSI(14) 43.56
Oversold Neutral Overbought

RSI (43.56) is in the bearish territory, but not yet oversold. This indicates downward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of strength.

OBV

On-Balance Volume

Rising
OBV Trend Upward
OBV vs Price Confirming

OBV (8166500.00) is falling, indicating selling pressure and distribution. Price is falling and OBV is falling. This is bearish confirmation, indicating selling pressure supports the price decrease. Consider holding short positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.

Stochastic

Stochastic Oscillator

NEUTRAL
%K Line 8.72
%D Line 12.36

Stochastics (%K: 8.72, %D: 12.36) are in the oversold zone (below 20). This suggests the asset may be losing downward momentum. A bearish crossover (%K below %D) is observed. This indicates downward momentum. Be cautious if it's already in the oversold region.

CCI

Commodity Channel Index

BUY
CCI(20) -149.39

CCI (-149.39) is below -100. This suggests a strong downward momentum and an oversold condition. Consider buying or looking for long entries cautiously. Confirm with price action; if price is making lower lows, momentum is strong. Look for rallies to enter short.

Volatility Measurement

ATR

Average True Range

0.27
ATR(14) 0.27
ATR % of Price ...%

Current ATR is 0.2700. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility Bands

SELL
Upper Band 9.96
Middle Band (MA20) 9.18
Lower Band 8.4
Band Width 18%

Current price (8.85) is within the Bollinger Bands (8.40 - 9.96). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is below the Middle Band (9.18), indicating short-term bearish bias. Bollinger Bands are wide. This indicates high volatility. Prices tend to revert to the mean after extended periods of high volatility.

Risk Management & Potential Reversals

SAR

Parabolic Stop and Reverse

SELL
Current SAR 9.83
Distance from Price 11.07%

SAR points above price indicate bearish trend. Current SAR at 9.83 is 11.07% from price. Consider SAR as a potential take-profit level or to confirm a downtrend.

Stochastic

Oversold

Approaching Overbought
Stochastic Position 8.7
Crossover Status Bearish

Stochastic is in oversold territory (8.7). Monitor for potential bullish crossover or movement above 20, which could signal a reversal. Current crossover status: Bearish.

RSI

Reversal Perspective

No Divergence
RSI Divergence None
Overbought/Oversold Neither

Current RSI level is in neutral territory. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.

Bollinger Bands

Reversal Perspective

Bearish Bias
Band Position Lower Half
Band Squeeze None

Bollinger Bands are widening, indicating high volatility and potential strong trend continuation.Price is in the lower half of the bands, suggesting a bearish bias.No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.

Holder List (Top 20)

Holder Name Holder Type Shares Pct. Held Date Reported
Vanguard Group Inc INSTITUTIONAL 3214426 0.16% 2025-03-31
Oaktree Capital Management LP INSTITUTIONAL 3162122 0.15% 2025-03-31
Russell Investments Group, Ltd. INSTITUTIONAL 2043495 0.1% 2025-03-31
Blackrock Inc. INSTITUTIONAL 1328427 0.06% 2025-03-31
Mirae Asset Global ETFs Holdings Ltd. INSTITUTIONAL 1087763 0.05% 2025-03-31
Charles Schwab Investment Management, Inc. INSTITUTIONAL 1017544 0.05% 2025-03-31
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO INSTITUTIONAL 887826 0.04% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD Intl Eqy. INDEX Fd.S-Vanguard Emerging Markets Stock Index Fd MUTUALFUND 882134 0.04% 2025-01-31
iShares Trust-iShares Latin America 40 ETF MUTUALFUND 874078 0.04% 2025-04-30
GLOBAL X FUNDS-Global X SuperDividend ETF MUTUALFUND 773445 0.04% 2025-04-30
Arrowstreet Capital, Limited Partnership INSTITUTIONAL 770164 0.04% 2025-03-31
SCHWAB STRATEGIC TRUST-Schwab Fundamental Emerging Markets Equity ETF MUTUALFUND 631000 0.03% 2025-02-28
Goldman Sachs Group Inc INSTITUTIONAL 614596 0.03% 2025-03-31
Militia Capital Partners, LP INSTITUTIONAL 479200 0.02% 2025-03-31
First TRT Exch-Trd Fd. II-First TRT Indxx Global Natural Resources Inc MUTUALFUND 401693 0.02% 2025-04-30
American Century ETF Trust-Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF MUTUALFUND 371229 0.02% 2025-04-30
RUSSELL INVESTMENT CO-Tax-Managed International Equity Fund MUTUALFUND 263904 0.01% 2025-04-30
JPMorgan TRT IV-JPMorgan Emerging Markets Research Enhanced Eqy. Fd. MUTUALFUND 208881 0.01% 2025-01-31
Brookfield Investment Funds-Oaktree Emerging Markets Equity Fund MUTUALFUND 200885 0.01% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD Intl Eqy. INDEX Fd.S-Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US Index Fd. MUTUALFUND 194501 0.01% 2025-01-31