ERIE Erie Indemnity Co.

Insurance Brokers NasdaqGS

$340.45 -0.28 (-0.08%)
update: 2025-06-30
Prev Close $340.73
Market Cap $18.36B
Day Range $333.33 - $341.56
Open $340.26
P/E Ratio 29.85
52W Change -9.97%
24H Volume 151.7K
Dividend Yield 1.55%
EPS 12.62
DAY WEEK PRICE LEVEL

Trading Signals

Overall Signal

SELL

Strong sellish signal based on multiple indicators.

Confidence: 85%
Updated: 2025-06-30

Key Price Levels

Support Levels

  • Strong Support $316.08
  • Medium Support $324.21
  • Weak Support $332.33

Resistance Levels

  • Weak Resistance $348.57
  • Medium Resistance $356.69
  • Strong Resistance $364.82

Stop Loss Suggestions

  • Conservative $368.55
  • Moderate $352.63
  • Aggressive $360.76

Analyst Ratings

Current Rating

Strong Buy 0
Buy 1
Hold 0
Sell 0
Strong Sell 0

Chart Analyst Ratings Loading

Last Month

Strong Buy 0
Buy 1
Hold 0
Sell 0
Strong Sell 0

2 Months Ago

Strong Buy
Buy
Hold
Sell
Strong Sell

3 Months Ago

Strong Buy
Buy
Hold
Sell
Strong Sell

Signal Indicator

Indicator Signal Strength Timeframe
Moving Averages SELL
Short & Medium Term
Oscillators SELL
Short Term
Trend Indicators SELL
Medium Term
Volume Indicators SELL
Short & Medium Term
Support/Resistance NEUTRAL
Short Term
Data Source: Consolidated ratings from various investment bank analysts. Ratings may change over time.

Stock Price Prediction Price Target Probabilities

Quarterly Outlook

ERIE Quarterly Outlook
2025-06-30

Bullish Scenario

Probability 9.3%
from current 15.24%
Prediction $392

Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (27.40) indicates a strong trend. -DI > +DI suggests strong bearish directional bias. RSI (38.02) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-18.50) is below Signal line (-15.00) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 25.94, indicating the average weekly price range.

ERIE Quarterly Outlook
2025-06-30

Base Scenario

Probability 44.19%
from current -7.62%
Prediction $315

Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (27.40) indicates a strong trend. -DI > +DI suggests strong bearish directional bias. RSI (38.02) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-18.50) is below Signal line (-15.00) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 25.94, indicating the average weekly price range.

ERIE Quarterly Outlook
2025-06-30

Bearish Scenario

Probability 46.51%
from current -19.05%
Prediction $276

Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (27.40) indicates a strong trend. -DI > +DI suggests strong bearish directional bias. RSI (38.02) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-18.50) is below Signal line (-15.00) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 25.94, indicating the average weekly price range.

Annual Outlook

ERIE Annual Outlook
2025-06-30

Bullish Scenario

Probability 9.3%
from current 30.48%
Prediction $444

Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (27.40) indicates a strong trend. -DI > +DI suggests strong bearish directional bias. RSI (38.02) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-18.50) is below Signal line (-15.00) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 25.94, indicating the average weekly price range.

ERIE Annual Outlook
2025-06-30

Base Scenario

Probability 44.19%
from current -15.24%
Prediction $289

Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (27.40) indicates a strong trend. -DI > +DI suggests strong bearish directional bias. RSI (38.02) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-18.50) is below Signal line (-15.00) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 25.94, indicating the average weekly price range.

ERIE Annual Outlook
2025-06-30

Bearish Scenario

Probability 46.51%
from current -38.1%
Prediction $211

Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (27.40) indicates a strong trend. -DI > +DI suggests strong bearish directional bias. RSI (38.02) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-18.50) is below Signal line (-15.00) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 25.94, indicating the average weekly price range.

Technical Analysis

Trend Identification

EMA

Exponential Moving Average

SELL
EMA(20) 355.81
EMA(55) 370.68
EMA(100) 387.8

Current price (340.45) is below both Short MA (355.81) and Long MA (370.68). This indicates strong bearish momentum. Short MA (355.81) is below Long MA (370.68), a bearish crossover ('Death Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates a downward trend. All MAs are in bearish order (Price < Short MA < Long MA < Very Long MA 387.80). This is a strong bearish alignment. Consider short positions. Use the MAs as dynamic resistance levels.

MACD

Moving Average Convergence Divergence

SELL
MACD Line(12) -5.8
Signal Line(26) -4.61
Histogram(9) -1.19

MACD line is below the Signal line (bearish crossover). This indicates downward momentum. Histogram (-1.1900) is negative and expanding, confirming bearish momentum. Both MACD and Signal lines are below the zero line, reinforcing bearish momentum (bearish territory). This is a strong sell signal. Consider short positions.

ADX

Average Directional Index

SELL
ADX(14) 24.48
+DI 14.7
-DI 32.65

ADX (24.48) indicates a developing or weakening trend. -DI (32.65) is above +DI (14.70), suggesting a bearish directional bias. Be cautious with current positions. Monitor for trend continuation or reversal signals.

Momentum Measurement

RSI

Relative Strength Index

SELL
Current RSI(14) 35.98
Oversold Neutral Overbought

RSI (35.98) is in the bearish territory, but not yet oversold. This indicates downward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of strength.

OBV

On-Balance Volume

Rising
OBV Trend Upward
OBV vs Price Confirming

OBV (-2613800.00) is falling, indicating selling pressure and distribution. Price is falling and OBV is falling. This is bearish confirmation, indicating selling pressure supports the price decrease. Consider holding short positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.

Stochastic

Stochastic Oscillator

NEUTRAL
%K Line 17.36
%D Line 26.67

Stochastics (%K: 17.36, %D: 26.67) are in the neutral zone (between 20 and 80). A bearish crossover (%K below %D) is observed. This indicates downward momentum. Be cautious if it's already in the oversold region.

CCI

Commodity Channel Index

BUY
CCI(20) -173.63

CCI (-173.63) is below -100. This suggests a strong downward momentum and an oversold condition. Consider buying or looking for long entries cautiously. Confirm with price action; if price is making lower lows, momentum is strong. Look for rallies to enter short.

Volatility Measurement

ATR

Average True Range

8.71
ATR(14) 8.71
ATR % of Price ...%

Current ATR is 8.7100. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility Bands

SELL
Upper Band 371.92
Middle Band (MA20) 355.81
Lower Band 339.7
Band Width 9%

Current price (340.45) is within the Bollinger Bands (339.70 - 371.92). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is below the Middle Band (355.81), indicating short-term bearish bias.

Risk Management & Potential Reversals

SAR

Parabolic Stop and Reverse

SELL
Current SAR 368.55
Distance from Price 8.25%

SAR points above price indicate bearish trend. Current SAR at 368.55 is 8.25% from price. Consider SAR as a potential take-profit level or to confirm a downtrend.

RSI

Reversal Perspective

No Divergence
RSI Divergence None
Overbought/Oversold Neither

Current RSI level is in neutral territory. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.

Stochastic

Oversold

Approaching Overbought
Stochastic Position 17.4
Crossover Status Bearish

Stochastic is in oversold territory (17.4). Monitor for potential bullish crossover or movement above 20, which could signal a reversal. Current crossover status: Bearish.

Bollinger Bands

Reversal Perspective

Bearish Bias
Band Position Lower Half
Band Squeeze None

Bands show normal bandwidth. Price is in the lower half of the bands, suggesting a bearish bias.No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.

Holder List (Top 20)

Holder Name Holder Type Shares Pct. Held Date Reported
PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. INSTITUTIONAL 4910823 10.63% 2025-03-31
Vanguard Group Inc INSTITUTIONAL 2944793 6.38% 2025-03-31
Cresset Asset Management, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 1748404 3.79% 2025-03-31
Blackrock Inc. INSTITUTIONAL 1644435 3.56% 2025-03-31
State Street Corporation INSTITUTIONAL 1428437 3.09% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund MUTUALFUND 805525 1.74% 2025-03-31
Geode Capital Management, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 763169 1.65% 2025-03-31
Franklin Resources, Inc. INSTITUTIONAL 713288 1.54% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard 500 Index Fund MUTUALFUND 692145 1.5% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Small-Cap Index Fund MUTUALFUND 633894 1.37% 2025-03-31
Franklin Managed Trust-FRANKLIN RISING DIVIDENDS FUND MUTUALFUND 604250 1.31% 2025-03-31
Invesco Ltd. INSTITUTIONAL 495840 1.07% 2025-03-31
ProShares Advisors, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 443992 0.96% 2025-03-31
ProShares Trust-ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF MUTUALFUND 390788 0.85% 2025-05-31
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index Fund MUTUALFUND 355415 0.77% 2025-03-31
Invesco Exchange-Traded Fund Trust-Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF MUTUALFUND 335166 0.73% 2025-04-30
Fidelity Concord Street Trust-Fidelity 500 Index Fund MUTUALFUND 313311 0.68% 2025-04-30
SPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUST MUTUALFUND 301490 0.65% 2025-04-30
iShares Trust-iShares Core S&P 500 ETF MUTUALFUND 295714 0.64% 2025-04-30
FMR, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 256509 0.56% 2025-03-31