ERIE Erie Indemnity Co.
Insurance Brokers NasdaqGS
Trading Signals (ERIE)
Overall Signal
SELL
Strong sellish signal based on multiple indicators.
Key Price Levels
Support Levels
- Strong Support $325.43
- Medium Support $333.87
- Weak Support $342.31
Resistance Levels
- Weak Resistance $359.19
- Medium Resistance $367.63
- Strong Resistance $376.07
Stop Loss Suggestions
- Conservative $371.95
- Moderate $363.41
- Aggressive $371.85
Analyst Ratings
Current Rating
Signal Indicator
| Indicator | Signal | Strength | Timeframe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moving Averages | SELL |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Oscillators | SELL |
|
Short Term |
| Trend Indicators | BUY |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Volume Indicators | SELL |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Support/Resistance | NEUTRAL |
|
Short Term |
Stock Price Prediction Price Target Probabilities (ERIE)
Quarterly Outlook :
2025-08-29
Bullish Scenario
from current 10.35%
Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (24.30) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (42.95) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-11.42) is above Signal line (-13.58) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 18.15, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-08-29
Base Scenario
from current -0.74%
Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (24.30) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (42.95) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-11.42) is above Signal line (-13.58) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 18.15, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-08-29
Bearish Scenario
from current -10.35%
Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (24.30) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (42.95) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-11.42) is above Signal line (-13.58) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 18.15, indicating the average weekly price range.
Annual Outlook
2025-08-29
Bullish Scenario
from current 20.7%
Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (24.30) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (42.95) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-11.42) is above Signal line (-13.58) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 18.15, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-08-29
Base Scenario
from current -1.48%
Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (24.30) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (42.95) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-11.42) is above Signal line (-13.58) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 18.15, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-08-29
Bearish Scenario
from current -20.7%
Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (24.30) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (42.95) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-11.42) is above Signal line (-13.58) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 18.15, indicating the average weekly price range.
Technical Analysis (ERIE)
Trend Identification
EMA
Exponential Moving Average
Current price (350.75) is below both Short MA (352.03) and Long MA (354.84). This indicates strong bearish momentum. Short MA (352.03) is below Long MA (354.84), a bearish crossover ('Death Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates a downward trend. All MAs are in bearish order (Price < Short MA < Long MA < Very Long MA 373.56). This is a strong bearish alignment. Consider short positions. Use the MAs as dynamic resistance levels.
MACD
Moving Average Convergence Divergence
MACD line is above the Signal line (bullish crossover). This indicates upward momentum. Histogram (0.1400) is positive and expanding, confirming bullish momentum. Both MACD and Signal lines are above the zero line, reinforcing bullish momentum (bullish territory). This is a strong buy signal. Consider long positions.
ADX
Average Directional Index
ADX (14.52) indicates a weak or non-existent trend (ranging market). -DI (21.14) is above +DI (16.51), suggesting a bearish directional bias. Avoid trend-following strategies. Consider range-bound or reversal strategies, or wait for a clearer trend to develop.
Momentum Measurement
RSI (2025-08-29)
Relative Strength Index
RSI (47.33) is in the bearish territory, but not yet oversold. This indicates downward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of strength.
OBV (2025-08-29)
On-Balance Volume
OBV (2514663.00) is falling, indicating selling pressure and distribution. Price is falling and OBV is falling. This is bearish confirmation, indicating selling pressure supports the price decrease. Consider holding short positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.
Stochastic (2025-08-29)
Stochastic Oscillator
Stochastics (%K: 27.72, %D: 20.38) are in the neutral zone (between 20 and 80). A bullish crossover (%K above %D) is observed, potentially signaling an upward trend reversal or continuation. Stronger signal if this occurs below 50.
CCI (2025-08-29)
Commodity Channel Index
CCI (-53.34) is between -100 and 0. This indicates bearish momentum is present, but not yet extreme. A move below 0 from positive territory (bearish zero-line cross) can indicate a potential sell signal.
Volatility Measurement
ATR (2025-08-29)
Average True Range
Current ATR is 8.2700. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.
Bollinger Bands (2025-08-29)
Volatility Bands
Current price (350.75) is within the Bollinger Bands (337.17 - 366.89). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is below the Middle Band (352.03), indicating short-term bearish bias.
Risk Management & Potential Reversals (ERIE)
SAR (2025-08-29)
Parabolic Stop and Reverse
SAR points above price indicate bearish trend. Current SAR at 371.95 is 6.04% from price. Consider SAR as a potential take-profit level or to confirm a downtrend.
Stochastic (2025-08-29)
Approaching Oversold
Stochastic is approaching oversold territory (27.7). No reversal signal yet. Monitor for potential bullish crossover (K above D) or entry into oversold (20-) followed by reversal. Current crossover status: Bullish.
RSI (2025-08-29)
Reversal Perspective
Current RSI level is in neutral territory. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.
Bollinger Bands (2025-08-29)
Reversal Perspective
Bands show normal bandwidth. Price is in the middle of bands with normal bandwidth. No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.
Holder List Top 20 (ERIE)
| Holder Name | Holder Type | Shares | Pct. Held | Date Reported |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. | INSTITUTIONAL | 4910823 | 10.63% | 2025-03-31 |
| Vanguard Group Inc | INSTITUTIONAL | 2944793 | 6.38% | 2025-03-31 |
| Cresset Asset Management, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 1748404 | 3.79% | 2025-03-31 |
| Blackrock Inc. | INSTITUTIONAL | 1644435 | 3.56% | 2025-03-31 |
| State Street Corporation | INSTITUTIONAL | 1428437 | 3.09% | 2025-03-31 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 805525 | 1.74% | 2025-03-31 |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 763169 | 1.65% | 2025-03-31 |
| Franklin Resources, Inc. | INSTITUTIONAL | 713288 | 1.54% | 2025-03-31 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard 500 Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 692145 | 1.5% | 2025-03-31 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Small-Cap Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 633894 | 1.37% | 2025-03-31 |
| Franklin Managed Trust-FRANKLIN RISING DIVIDENDS FUND | MUTUALFUND | 604250 | 1.31% | 2025-03-31 |
| Invesco Ltd. | INSTITUTIONAL | 495840 | 1.07% | 2025-03-31 |
| ProShares Advisors, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 443992 | 0.96% | 2025-03-31 |
| ProShares Trust-ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF | MUTUALFUND | 390788 | 0.85% | 2025-05-31 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 355415 | 0.77% | 2025-03-31 |
| Invesco Exchange-Traded Fund Trust-Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF | MUTUALFUND | 335166 | 0.73% | 2025-04-30 |
| Fidelity Concord Street Trust-Fidelity 500 Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 313311 | 0.68% | 2025-04-30 |
| SPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUST | MUTUALFUND | 301490 | 0.65% | 2025-04-30 |
| iShares Trust-iShares Core S&P 500 ETF | MUTUALFUND | 295714 | 0.64% | 2025-04-30 |
| FMR, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 256509 | 0.56% | 2025-03-31 |