EXLS ExlService Holdings, Inc.
Information Technology Services NasdaqGS
Trading Signals
Overall Signal
SELL
Strong sellish signal based on multiple indicators.
Key Price Levels
Support Levels
- Strong Support $39.35
- Medium Support $40.64
- Weak Support $41.92
Resistance Levels
- Weak Resistance $44.5
- Medium Resistance $45.78
- Strong Resistance $47.07
Stop Loss Suggestions
- Conservative $47.77
- Moderate $45.14
- Aggressive $46.43
Analyst Ratings
Current Rating
Last Month
2 Months Ago
3 Months Ago
Signal Breakdown
| Indicator | Signal | Strength | Timeframe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moving Averages | SELL |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Oscillators | SELL |
|
Short Term |
| Trend Indicators | SELL |
|
Medium Term |
| Volume Indicators | SELL |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Support/Resistance | NEUTRAL |
|
Short Term |
Stock Price Prediction Price Target Probabilities
Quarterly Outlook
Bullish Scenario
15.38% ProbabilityStrong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (17.10) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (47.45) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (0.43) is below Signal line (0.81) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 2.50, indicating the average weekly price range.
Base Scenario
53.85% ProbabilityPrice is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (17.10) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (47.45) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (0.43) is below Signal line (0.81) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 2.50, indicating the average weekly price range.
Bearish Scenario
30.77% ProbabilityIncreased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (17.10) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (47.45) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (0.43) is below Signal line (0.81) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 2.50, indicating the average weekly price range.
Annual Outlook
Bullish Scenario
15.38% ProbabilityLong-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (17.10) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (47.45) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (0.43) is below Signal line (0.81) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 2.50, indicating the average weekly price range.
Base Scenario
53.85% ProbabilitySteady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (17.10) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (47.45) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (0.43) is below Signal line (0.81) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 2.50, indicating the average weekly price range.
Bearish Scenario
30.77% ProbabilityLong-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (17.10) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (47.45) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (0.43) is below Signal line (0.81) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 2.50, indicating the average weekly price range.
Technical Analysis
Trend Identification
EMA
Exponential Moving Average
Current price (43.21) is below both Short MA (46.39) and Long MA (45.82). This indicates strong bearish momentum. Short MA (46.39) is above Long MA (45.82), a bullish crossover ('Golden Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates an upward trend. MAs (46.39, 45.82, 46.90) show mixed alignment, suggesting market indecision or range-bound activity.
MACD
Moving Average Convergence Divergence
MACD line is below the Signal line (bearish crossover). This indicates downward momentum. Histogram (-0.4900) is negative and expanding, confirming bearish momentum. Both MACD and Signal lines are below the zero line, reinforcing bearish momentum (bearish territory). This is a strong sell signal. Consider short positions.
ADX
Average Directional Index
ADX (21.25) indicates a developing or weakening trend. -DI (35.53) is above +DI (13.92), suggesting a bearish directional bias. Be cautious with current positions. Monitor for trend continuation or reversal signals.
Momentum Measurement
RSI
Relative Strength Index
RSI (34.08) is in the bearish territory, but not yet oversold. This indicates downward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of strength.
Stochastic
Stochastic Oscillator
Stochastics (%K: 12.01, %D: 10.97) are in the oversold zone (below 20). This suggests the asset may be losing downward momentum. No clear bullish or bearish crossover signal currently. The lines are close or moving sideways.
CCI
Commodity Channel Index
CCI (-132.93) is below -100. This suggests a strong downward momentum and an oversold condition. Consider buying or looking for long entries cautiously. Confirm with price action; if price is making lower lows, momentum is strong. Look for rallies to enter short.
MACD
Momentum Perspective
MACD line is below the Signal line (bearish crossover). This indicates downward momentum. Histogram (-0.4900) is negative and expanding, confirming bearish momentum. Both MACD and Signal lines are below the zero line, reinforcing bearish momentum (bearish territory). This is a strong sell signal. Consider short positions.
Volatility Measurement
ATR
Average True Range
Current ATR is 1.1600. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.
Bollinger Bands
Volatility Bands
Current price (43.21) is below the Lower Bollinger Band (43.37). This often indicates an oversold condition and a potential reversal upwards, or strong downward momentum ('walking the band'). Bollinger Bands are wide. This indicates high volatility. Prices tend to revert to the mean after extended periods of high volatility. Consider buying or covering short positions, but confirm with other indicators.
Volume Analysis
OBV
On-Balance Volume
OBV (10747185.00) is falling, indicating selling pressure and distribution. Price is falling and OBV is falling. This is bearish confirmation, indicating selling pressure supports the price decrease. Consider holding short positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.
Risk Management & Potential Reversals
SAR
Parabolic Stop and Reverse
SAR points above price indicate bearish trend. Current SAR at 47.77 is 10.55% from price. Consider SAR as a potential take-profit level or to confirm a downtrend.
RSI
Reversal Perspective
Current RSI level is in neutral territory. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.
Stochastic
Oversold
Stochastic is in oversold territory (12.0). Monitor for potential bullish crossover or movement above 20, which could signal a reversal.
Bollinger Bands
Reversal Perspective
Bollinger Bands are widening, indicating high volatility and potential strong trend continuation.Price is below the lower band, indicating oversold conditions or strong downward momentum. Expect a potential rebound or trend exhaustion.No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.