FACT II Acquisition Corp. logo

FACT FACT II Acquisition Corp.

NasdaqGM

$10.29 -0.01 (-0.10%)
update: 2025-07-05
Prev Close $10.3
Market Cap $245.64M
Day Range $10.29 - $10.29
Open $10.29
P/E Ratio
52W Change 0%
24H Volume 2.75K
Dividend Yield %
EPS
DAY WEEK PRICE LEVEL

Trading Signals (FACT)

Overall Signal

BUY

Strong buyish signal based on multiple indicators.

Confidence: 16.8%
Updated: 2025-07-05

Key Price Levels

Support Levels

  • Strong Support $10.24
  • Medium Support $10.26
  • Weak Support $10.28

Resistance Levels

  • Weak Resistance $10.31
  • Medium Resistance $10.33
  • Strong Resistance $10.35

Stop Loss Suggestions

  • Conservative $10.25
  • Moderate $10.27
  • Aggressive $10.25

Signal Indicator

Indicator Signal Strength Timeframe
Moving Averages BUY
Short & Medium Term
Oscillators SELL
Short Term
Trend Indicators BUY
Medium Term
Volume Indicators SELL
Short & Medium Term
Support/Resistance NEUTRAL
Short Term
Data Source: Consolidated ratings from various investment bank analysts. Ratings may change over time.

Stock Price Prediction Price Target Probabilities (FACT)

Quarterly Outlook :

FACT Quarterly Outlook
2025-07-05

Bullish Scenario

Probability 33.95%
from current 0.97%
Prediction $10

Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (96.66) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (87.51) is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential for price correction. MACD line is crossing Signal line, indicating potential trend change or consolidation. Current Weekly ATR is 0.05, indicating the average weekly price range.

FACT Quarterly Outlook
2025-07-05

Base Scenario

Probability 47.83%
from current 0.13%
Prediction $10

Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (96.66) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (87.51) is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential for price correction. MACD line is crossing Signal line, indicating potential trend change or consolidation. Current Weekly ATR is 0.05, indicating the average weekly price range.

FACT Quarterly Outlook
2025-07-05

Bearish Scenario

Probability 18.22%
from current -0.97%
Prediction $10

Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (96.66) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (87.51) is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential for price correction. MACD line is crossing Signal line, indicating potential trend change or consolidation. Current Weekly ATR is 0.05, indicating the average weekly price range.

Annual Outlook

FACT Annual Outlook
2025-07-05

Bullish Scenario

Probability 33.95%
from current 1.94%
Prediction $10

Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (96.66) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (87.51) is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential for price correction. MACD line is crossing Signal line, indicating potential trend change or consolidation. Current Weekly ATR is 0.05, indicating the average weekly price range.

FACT Annual Outlook
2025-07-05

Base Scenario

Probability 47.83%
from current 0.26%
Prediction $10

Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (96.66) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (87.51) is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential for price correction. MACD line is crossing Signal line, indicating potential trend change or consolidation. Current Weekly ATR is 0.05, indicating the average weekly price range.

FACT Annual Outlook
2025-07-05

Bearish Scenario

Probability 18.22%
from current -1.94%
Prediction $10

Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (96.66) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (87.51) is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential for price correction. MACD line is crossing Signal line, indicating potential trend change or consolidation. Current Weekly ATR is 0.05, indicating the average weekly price range.

Technical Analysis (FACT)

Trend Identification

FACT Technical Analysis 2025-07-05

EMA

Exponential Moving Average

BUY
EMA(20) 10.25
EMA(55) 10.16
EMA(100) 10.09

Current price (10.29) is above both Short MA (10.25) and Long MA (10.16). This indicates strong bullish momentum. Short MA (10.25) is above Long MA (10.16), a bullish crossover ('Golden Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates an upward trend. All MAs are in bullish order (Price > Short MA > Long MA > Very Long MA 10.09). This is a strong bullish alignment. Consider long positions. Use the MAs as dynamic support levels.

FACT Technical Analysis 2025-07-05

MACD

Moving Average Convergence Divergence

NEUTRAL
MACD Line(12) 0.03
Signal Line(26) 0.03
Histogram(9) 0

MACD line is crossing the Signal line. This is a crucial point, signaling a potential trend change. Monitor closely. Both MACD and Signal lines are above the zero line, reinforcing bullish momentum (bullish territory).

FACT Technical Analysis 2025-07-05

ADX

Average Directional Index

BUY
ADX(14) 66.93
+DI 57.9
-DI 9.95

ADX (66.93) indicates a strong trend is present. +DI (57.90) is above -DI (9.95), suggesting a bullish directional bias. This combination points to a strong upward trend. Consider taking long positions, as the strong upward trend is confirmed.

Momentum Measurement

RSI (2025-07-05)

Relative Strength Index

SELL
Current RSI(14) 73.5
Oversold Neutral Overbought

RSI (73.50) is in the overbought zone. This suggests the asset may be due for a price correction or a trend reversal downwards. Consider profit-taking or short-selling opportunities cautiously.

OBV (2025-07-05)

On-Balance Volume

Rising
OBV Trend Upward
OBV vs Price Confirming

OBV (1464450.00) is falling, indicating selling pressure and distribution. Price is falling and OBV is falling. This is bearish confirmation, indicating selling pressure supports the price decrease. Consider holding short positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.

Stochastic (2025-07-05)

Stochastic Oscillator

NEUTRAL
%K Line 90.72
%D Line 82.5

Stochastics (%K: 90.72, %D: 82.50) are in the overbought zone (above 80). This suggests the asset may be losing upward momentum. A bullish crossover (%K above %D) is observed. This indicates upward momentum. Be cautious if it's already in the overbought region.

CCI (2025-07-05)

Commodity Channel Index

SELL
CCI(20) 126.14

CCI (126.14) is above +100. This suggests a strong upward momentum and an overbought condition. Consider profit-taking or looking for short entries cautiously. Confirm with price action; if price is making higher highs, momentum is strong. Look for pullbacks to enter long.

Volatility Measurement

ATR (2025-07-05)

Average True Range

0.02
ATR(14) 0.02
ATR % of Price ...%

Current ATR is 0.0200. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.

Bollinger Bands (2025-07-05)

Volatility Bands

BUY
Upper Band 10.3
Middle Band (MA20) 10.25
Lower Band 10.19
Band Width 1%

Current price (10.29) is within the Bollinger Bands (10.19 - 10.30). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is above the Middle Band (10.25), indicating short-term bullish bias. Bollinger Bands are very narrow. This indicates low volatility and could precede a significant price move (a 'squeeze'). Prepare for a breakout. Trade breakouts with confirmation from volume or other momentum indicators.

Risk Management & Potential Reversals (FACT)

SAR (2025-07-05)

Parabolic Stop and Reverse

BUY
Current SAR 10.25
Distance from Price 0.42%

SAR points below price indicate bullish trend. Current SAR at 10.25 is 0.42% from price. Consider SAR as a potential stop-loss level to protect gains in an uptrend.

Stochastic (2025-07-05)

Overbought

Approaching Overbought
Stochastic Position 90.7
Crossover Status Bullish

Stochastic is in overbought territory (90.7). Monitor for potential bearish crossover or movement below 80, which could signal a reversal. Current crossover status: Bullish.

RSI (2025-07-05)

Reversal Perspective

No Divergence
RSI Divergence None
Overbought/Oversold Overbought

Current RSI level suggests overbought conditions, indicating potential for a bearish reversal. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.

Bollinger Bands (2025-07-05)

Reversal Perspective

Bullish Bias
Band Position Upper Half
Band Squeeze Squeeze Detected

Bollinger Bands are narrowing, indicating low volatility and a potential 'squeeze'. This often precedes a significant price move.Price is in the upper half of the bands, suggesting a bullish bias.

Holder List Top 20 (FACT)

Holder Name Holder Type Shares Pct. Held Date Reported
Context Capital Management, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 1700000 9.2% 2025-03-31
AQR Arbitrage LLC INSTITUTIONAL 1277639 6.91% 2025-03-31
LMR Partners LLP INSTITUTIONAL 1002470 5.42% 2025-03-31
Healthcare of Ontario Pension Plan Trust Fund INSTITUTIONAL 1000000 5.41% 2025-03-31
Kepos Capital Lp INSTITUTIONAL 975700 5.28% 2025-03-31
Westchester Capital Management, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 883000 4.78% 2025-03-31
Merger Fund-The Merger Fund MUTUALFUND 821403 4.44% 2025-03-31
Hudson Bay Capital Management Lp INSTITUTIONAL 775000 4.19% 2025-03-31
Shaw D.E. & Co., Inc. INSTITUTIONAL 694144 3.75% 2025-03-31
Two Sigma Investments, LP INSTITUTIONAL 634375 3.43% 2025-03-31
Glazer Capital LLC INSTITUTIONAL 615676 3.33% 2025-03-31
Special Opportunities Fund, Inc. MUTUALFUND 194000 1.05% 2025-03-31
JNL Series Trust-JNL Multi-Manager Alternative Fund MUTUALFUND 44006 0.24% 2025-03-31
Merger Fund VL-The Merger Fund VL MUTUALFUND 11399 0.06% 2025-03-31
AQR Funds-AQR Diversified Arbitrage Fund MUTUALFUND 7453 0.04% 2025-03-31
Virtus Event Opportunities Trust-Virtus Westchester Credit Event Fund MUTUALFUND 6192 0.03% 2025-03-31