FOSL Fossil Group, Inc.
Footwear & Accessories NasdaqGS
Trading Signals (FOSL)
Overall Signal
SELL
Strong sellish signal based on multiple indicators.
Key Price Levels
Support Levels
- Strong Support $1.33
- Medium Support $1.45
- Weak Support $1.57
Resistance Levels
- Weak Resistance $1.81
- Medium Resistance $1.93
- Strong Resistance $2.05
Stop Loss Suggestions
- Conservative $1.89
- Moderate $1.87
- Aggressive $1.99
Signal Indicator
| Indicator | Signal | Strength | Timeframe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moving Averages | NEUTRAL |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Oscillators | BUY |
|
Short Term |
| Trend Indicators | BUY |
|
Medium Term |
| Volume Indicators | SELL |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Support/Resistance | NEUTRAL |
|
Short Term |
Stock Price Prediction Price Target Probabilities (FOSL)
Quarterly Outlook :
2025-08-26
Bullish Scenario
from current 31.07%
Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (31.08) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (55.74) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.10) is above Signal line (0.07) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.21, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-08-26
Base Scenario
from current 12.43%
Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (31.08) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (55.74) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.10) is above Signal line (0.07) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.21, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-08-26
Bearish Scenario
from current -24.85%
Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (31.08) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (55.74) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.10) is above Signal line (0.07) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.21, indicating the average weekly price range.
Annual Outlook
2025-08-26
Bullish Scenario
from current 62.13%
Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (31.08) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (55.74) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.10) is above Signal line (0.07) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.21, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-08-26
Base Scenario
from current 24.85%
Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (31.08) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (55.74) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.10) is above Signal line (0.07) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.21, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-08-26
Bearish Scenario
from current -49.7%
Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (31.08) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (55.74) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.10) is above Signal line (0.07) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.21, indicating the average weekly price range.
Technical Analysis (FOSL)
Trend Identification
EMA
Exponential Moving Average
Current price (1.69) is between Short MA (1.70) and Long MA (1.52), or near one of them. This suggests consolidation or mixed signals. Short MA (1.70) is above Long MA (1.52), a bullish crossover ('Golden Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates an upward trend. MAs (1.70, 1.52, 1.36) show mixed alignment, suggesting market indecision or range-bound activity. Market is in a choppy or sideways phase. Wait for a clearer trend to emerge before taking directional trades.
MACD
Moving Average Convergence Divergence
MACD line is crossing the Signal line. This is a crucial point, signaling a potential trend change. Monitor closely. Both MACD and Signal lines are above the zero line, reinforcing bullish momentum (bullish territory).
ADX
Average Directional Index
ADX (32.24) indicates a strong trend is present. +DI (25.43) is above -DI (17.96), suggesting a bullish directional bias. This combination points to a strong upward trend. Consider taking long positions, as the strong upward trend is confirmed.
Momentum Measurement
RSI (2025-08-26)
Relative Strength Index
RSI (52.96) is in the bullish territory, but not yet overbought. This indicates upward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of weakness.
OBV (2025-08-26)
On-Balance Volume
OBV (28913333.00) is falling, indicating selling pressure and distribution. Price is falling and OBV is falling. This is bearish confirmation, indicating selling pressure supports the price decrease. Consider holding short positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.
Stochastic (2025-08-26)
Stochastic Oscillator
Stochastics (%K: 22.99, %D: 44.35) are in the neutral zone (between 20 and 80). A bearish crossover (%K below %D) is observed. This indicates downward momentum. Be cautious if it's already in the oversold region.
CCI (2025-08-26)
Commodity Channel Index
CCI (-19.37) is between -100 and 0. This indicates bearish momentum is present, but not yet extreme. A move below 0 from positive territory (bearish zero-line cross) can indicate a potential sell signal.
Volatility Measurement
ATR (2025-08-26)
Average True Range
Current ATR is 0.1100. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.
Bollinger Bands (2025-08-26)
Volatility Bands
Current price (1.69) is within the Bollinger Bands (1.53 - 1.87). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is below the Middle Band (1.70), indicating short-term bearish bias. Bollinger Bands are wide. This indicates high volatility. Prices tend to revert to the mean after extended periods of high volatility.
Risk Management & Potential Reversals (FOSL)
SAR (2025-08-26)
Parabolic Stop and Reverse
SAR points above price indicate bearish trend. Current SAR at 1.89 is 11.83% from price. Consider SAR as a potential take-profit level or to confirm a downtrend.
Stochastic (2025-08-26)
Approaching Oversold
Stochastic is approaching oversold territory (23.0). No reversal signal yet. Monitor for potential bullish crossover (K above D) or entry into oversold (20-) followed by reversal. Current crossover status: Bearish.
RSI (2025-08-26)
Reversal Perspective
Current RSI level is in neutral territory. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.
Bollinger Bands (2025-08-26)
Reversal Perspective
Bollinger Bands are widening, indicating high volatility and potential strong trend continuation.Price is in the middle of bands with normal bandwidth. No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.
Holder List Top 20 (FOSL)
| Holder Name | Holder Type | Shares | Pct. Held | Date Reported |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantahala Capital Management, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 4189177 | 7.87% | 2025-03-31 |
| Miller Value Partners, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 2965160 | 5.57% | 2025-03-31 |
| Ameriprise Financial, Inc. | INSTITUTIONAL | 2448655 | 4.6% | 2025-03-31 |
| Vanguard Group Inc | INSTITUTIONAL | 2215888 | 4.16% | 2025-03-31 |
| Columbia Funds Series Trust I-Columbia Small Cap Value Fund I | MUTUALFUND | 1692483 | 3.18% | 2025-01-31 |
| Renaissance Technologies, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 1510085 | 2.84% | 2025-03-31 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 1471211 | 2.76% | 2025-03-31 |
| Two Sigma Advisers, LP | INSTITUTIONAL | 977900 | 1.84% | 2025-03-31 |
| Two Sigma Investments, LP | INSTITUTIONAL | 806302 | 1.51% | 2025-03-31 |
| Blackrock Inc. | INSTITUTIONAL | 718036 | 1.35% | 2025-03-31 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Extended Market Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 651683 | 1.22% | 2025-03-31 |
| First Eagle Investment Management, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 649269 | 1.22% | 2025-03-31 |
| Arrowstreet Capital, Limited Partnership | INSTITUTIONAL | 522235 | 0.98% | 2025-03-31 |
| First Eagle Funds-First Eagle Small Cap Opportunity Fund | MUTUALFUND | 501265 | 0.94% | 2025-01-31 |
| Columbia Fd.s Varbl Insurance TRT-Columbia Varbl PORT. - Small Cap Val | MUTUALFUND | 441874 | 0.83% | 2025-03-31 |
| Fidelity Concord Street Trust-Fidelity Extended Market Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 266517 | 0.5% | 2025-04-30 |
| Invesco Exchange-Traded Fund Trust-Invesco RAFI US 1500 Small-Mid ETF | MUTUALFUND | 262730 | 0.49% | 2025-04-30 |
| Invesco Exch-Trd Fd. TRT-Invesco FTSE RAFI US 1500 Small-Mid ETF | MUTUALFUND | 262730 | 0.49% | 2025-04-30 |
| Bridgeway Funds, Inc.-Ultra-Small Company Fund | MUTUALFUND | 213300 | 0.4% | 2025-03-31 |
| -Price (T.Rowe) U.S. Equities Trust | MUTUALFUND | 88900 | 0.17% | 2025-03-31 |