GCMG GCM Grosvenor, Inc.
Asset Management NasdaqGM
Trading Signals (GCMG)
Overall Signal
SELL
Strong sellish signal based on multiple indicators.
Key Price Levels
Support Levels
- Strong Support $11.15
- Medium Support $11.36
- Weak Support $11.58
Resistance Levels
- Weak Resistance $12
- Medium Resistance $12.22
- Strong Resistance $12.43
Stop Loss Suggestions
- Conservative $12.26
- Moderate $12.11
- Aggressive $12.32
Analyst Ratings
Current Rating
Signal Indicator
| Indicator | Signal | Strength | Timeframe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moving Averages | SELL |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Oscillators | SELL |
|
Short Term |
| Trend Indicators | BUY |
|
Medium Term |
| Volume Indicators | SELL |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Support/Resistance | NEUTRAL |
|
Short Term |
Stock Price Prediction Price Target Probabilities (GCMG)
Quarterly Outlook :
2025-09-07
Bullish Scenario
from current 8.14%
Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (21.54) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (43.99) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.14) is below Signal line (-0.10) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.48, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-09-07
Base Scenario
from current -4.07%
Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (21.54) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (43.99) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.14) is below Signal line (-0.10) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.48, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-09-07
Bearish Scenario
from current -10.18%
Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (21.54) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (43.99) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.14) is below Signal line (-0.10) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.48, indicating the average weekly price range.
Annual Outlook
2025-09-07
Bullish Scenario
from current 16.28%
Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (21.54) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (43.99) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.14) is below Signal line (-0.10) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.48, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-09-07
Base Scenario
from current -8.14%
Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (21.54) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (43.99) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.14) is below Signal line (-0.10) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.48, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-09-07
Bearish Scenario
from current -20.36%
Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (21.54) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (43.99) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.14) is below Signal line (-0.10) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.48, indicating the average weekly price range.
Technical Analysis (GCMG)
Trend Identification
EMA
Exponential Moving Average
Current price (11.79) is below both Short MA (11.84) and Long MA (12.10). This indicates strong bearish momentum. Short MA (11.84) is below Long MA (12.10), a bearish crossover ('Death Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates a downward trend. All MAs are in bearish order (Price < Short MA < Long MA < Very Long MA 12.37). This is a strong bearish alignment. Consider short positions. Use the MAs as dynamic resistance levels.
MACD
Moving Average Convergence Divergence
MACD line is above the Signal line (bullish crossover). This indicates upward momentum. Histogram (0.0100) is positive and expanding, confirming bullish momentum. MACD and Signal lines are near the zero line, indicating weak momentum or market consolidation.
ADX
Average Directional Index
ADX (20.59) indicates a developing or weakening trend. +DI (23.73) is above -DI (17.18), suggesting a bullish directional bias. Be cautious with current positions. Monitor for trend continuation or reversal signals.
Momentum Measurement
RSI (2025-09-07)
Relative Strength Index
RSI (46.05) is in the bearish territory, but not yet oversold. This indicates downward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of strength.
OBV (2025-09-07)
On-Balance Volume
OBV (-6371762.00) is falling, indicating selling pressure and distribution. Price is falling and OBV is falling. This is bearish confirmation, indicating selling pressure supports the price decrease. Consider holding short positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.
Stochastic (2025-09-07)
Stochastic Oscillator
Stochastics (%K: 11.09, %D: 20.64) are in the neutral zone (between 20 and 80). A bearish crossover (%K below %D) is observed. This indicates downward momentum. Be cautious if it's already in the oversold region.
CCI (2025-09-07)
Commodity Channel Index
CCI (-57.87) is between -100 and 0. This indicates bearish momentum is present, but not yet extreme. A move below 0 from positive territory (bearish zero-line cross) can indicate a potential sell signal.
Volatility Measurement
ATR (2025-09-07)
Average True Range
Current ATR is 0.2300. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.
Bollinger Bands (2025-09-07)
Volatility Bands
Current price (11.79) is within the Bollinger Bands (11.48 - 12.21). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is below the Middle Band (11.84), indicating short-term bearish bias.
Risk Management & Potential Reversals (GCMG)
SAR (2025-09-07)
Parabolic Stop and Reverse
SAR points above price indicate bearish trend. Current SAR at 12.26 is 3.99% from price. Consider SAR as a potential take-profit level or to confirm a downtrend.
Stochastic (2025-09-07)
Oversold
Stochastic is in oversold territory (11.1). Monitor for potential bullish crossover or movement above 20, which could signal a reversal. Current crossover status: Bearish.
RSI (2025-09-07)
Reversal Perspective
Current RSI level is in neutral territory. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.
Bollinger Bands (2025-09-07)
Reversal Perspective
Bands show normal bandwidth. Price is in the middle of bands with normal bandwidth. No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.
Holder List Top 20 (GCMG)
| Holder Name | Holder Type | Shares | Pct. Held | Date Reported |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cantor Fitzgerald, L.P. | INSTITUTIONAL | 6451535 | 3.45% | 2025-03-31 |
| Ameriprise Financial, Inc. | INSTITUTIONAL | 5893806 | 3.15% | 2025-03-31 |
| Columbia Acorn Trust-Columbia Acorn Fund | MUTUALFUND | 4944660 | 2.65% | 2025-03-31 |
| Ariel Investments, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 4429255 | 2.37% | 2025-03-31 |
| Vanguard Group Inc | INSTITUTIONAL | 4341245 | 2.32% | 2025-03-31 |
| Blackrock Inc. | INSTITUTIONAL | 3636513 | 1.95% | 2025-03-31 |
| Royce & Associates LP | INSTITUTIONAL | 2953365 | 1.58% | 2025-03-31 |
| Wasatch Advisors LP | INSTITUTIONAL | 2452248 | 1.31% | 2025-03-31 |
| Massachusetts Financial Services Co. | INSTITUTIONAL | 2326682 | 1.25% | 2025-03-31 |
| BAMCO Inc. | INSTITUTIONAL | 2200000 | 1.18% | 2025-03-31 |
| BARON INVESTMENT Fd.S TRT -BARON SMALL CAP Fd. | MUTUALFUND | 2200000 | 1.18% | 2025-03-31 |
| Ariel Investment Trust-Ariel Fund | MUTUALFUND | 2070647 | 1.11% | 2025-03-31 |
| MFS SERIES TRUST I-MFS New Discovery Fund | MUTUALFUND | 1543254 | 0.83% | 2025-02-28 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 1439205 | 0.77% | 2025-03-31 |
| WASATCH FUNDS TRUST-Wasatch Micro Cap Fund | MUTUALFUND | 1396212 | 0.75% | 2025-03-31 |
| State Street Corporation | INSTITUTIONAL | 1148514 | 0.61% | 2025-03-31 |
| iShares Trust-iShares Russell 2000 ETF | MUTUALFUND | 1134373 | 0.61% | 2025-04-30 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Small-Cap Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 1063585 | 0.57% | 2025-03-31 |
| ROYCE FUND-Royce Small-Cap Total Return Fund | MUTUALFUND | 1055792 | 0.56% | 2025-03-31 |
| Wanger Advisors Trust-Wanger Acorn | MUTUALFUND | 935719 | 0.5% | 2025-03-31 |