GHLD Guild Holdings Co.
Mortgage Finance NYSE
Trading Signals (GHLD)
Overall Signal
BUY
Strong buyish signal based on multiple indicators.
Key Price Levels
Support Levels
- Strong Support $19.77
- Medium Support $19.8
- Weak Support $19.83
Resistance Levels
- Weak Resistance $19.89
- Medium Resistance $19.92
- Strong Resistance $19.95
Stop Loss Suggestions
- Conservative $19.84
- Moderate $19.82
- Aggressive $19.79
Analyst Ratings
Current Rating
Signal Indicator
| Indicator | Signal | Strength | Timeframe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moving Averages | BUY |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Oscillators | SELL |
|
Short Term |
| Trend Indicators | BUY |
|
Medium Term |
| Volume Indicators | BUY |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Support/Resistance | NEUTRAL |
|
Short Term |
Stock Price Prediction Price Target Probabilities (GHLD)
Quarterly Outlook :
2025-08-18
Bullish Scenario
from current 10.07%
Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (43.88) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (74.73) is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential for price correction. MACD line (1.75) is above Signal line (1.55) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.80, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-08-18
Base Scenario
from current 2.3%
Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (43.88) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (74.73) is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential for price correction. MACD line (1.75) is above Signal line (1.55) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.80, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-08-18
Bearish Scenario
from current -8.06%
Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (43.88) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (74.73) is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential for price correction. MACD line (1.75) is above Signal line (1.55) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.80, indicating the average weekly price range.
Annual Outlook
2025-08-18
Bullish Scenario
from current 20.14%
Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (43.88) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (74.73) is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential for price correction. MACD line (1.75) is above Signal line (1.55) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.80, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-08-18
Base Scenario
from current 4.6%
Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (43.88) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (74.73) is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential for price correction. MACD line (1.75) is above Signal line (1.55) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.80, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-08-18
Bearish Scenario
from current -16.11%
Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (43.88) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (74.73) is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential for price correction. MACD line (1.75) is above Signal line (1.55) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.80, indicating the average weekly price range.
Technical Analysis (GHLD)
Trend Identification
EMA
Exponential Moving Average
Current price (19.86) is above both Short MA (19.84) and Long MA (16.78). This indicates strong bullish momentum. Short MA (19.84) is above Long MA (16.78), a bullish crossover ('Golden Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates an upward trend. All MAs are in bullish order (Price > Short MA > Long MA > Very Long MA 15.47). This is a strong bullish alignment. Consider long positions. Use the MAs as dynamic support levels.
MACD
Moving Average Convergence Divergence
MACD line is below the Signal line (bearish crossover). This indicates downward momentum. Histogram (-0.1800) is negative and expanding, confirming bearish momentum. Both MACD and Signal lines are above the zero line, reinforcing bullish momentum (bullish territory). A bearish crossover above the zero line can indicate a reversal from a prior uptrend. Consider this as a potential early sell signal.
ADX
Average Directional Index
ADX (70.08) indicates a strong trend is present. +DI (48.62) is above -DI (6.60), suggesting a bullish directional bias. This combination points to a strong upward trend. Consider taking long positions, as the strong upward trend is confirmed.
Momentum Measurement
RSI (2025-08-18)
Relative Strength Index
RSI (80.33) is in the overbought zone. This suggests the asset may be due for a price correction or a trend reversal downwards. Consider profit-taking or short-selling opportunities cautiously.
OBV (2025-08-18)
On-Balance Volume
OBV (1670098.00) is rising, indicating buying pressure and accumulation. Price is rising and OBV is rising. This is bullish confirmation, indicating buying pressure supports the price increase. Consider holding long positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.
Stochastic (2025-08-18)
Stochastic Oscillator
Stochastics (%K: 26.19, %D: 30.95) are in the neutral zone (between 20 and 80). A bearish crossover (%K below %D) is observed. This indicates downward momentum. Be cautious if it's already in the oversold region.
CCI (2025-08-18)
Commodity Channel Index
CCI (72.37) is between 0 and +100. This indicates bullish momentum is present, but not yet extreme. A move above 0 from negative territory (bullish zero-line cross) can indicate a potential buy signal.
Volatility Measurement
ATR (2025-08-18)
Average True Range
Current ATR is 0.1400. ATR indicates significantly low volatility. This may suggest consolidation, sideways movement, or a potential upcoming breakout (low volatility often precedes high volatility). Low volatility can lead to tighter stop-loss placements. Prepare for a potential expansion of price range. Consider using ATR to set dynamic stop-loss levels (e.g., 2 * ATR below entry for long positions).
Bollinger Bands (2025-08-18)
Volatility Bands
Current price (19.86) is within the Bollinger Bands (19.80 - 19.87). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is above the Middle Band (19.84), indicating short-term bullish bias. Bollinger Bands are very narrow. This indicates low volatility and could precede a significant price move (a 'squeeze'). Prepare for a breakout. Trade breakouts with confirmation from volume or other momentum indicators.
Risk Management & Potential Reversals (GHLD)
SAR (2025-08-18)
Parabolic Stop and Reverse
SAR points above price indicate bearish trend. Current SAR at 20.10 is 1.21% from price. Consider SAR as a potential take-profit level or to confirm a downtrend.
Stochastic (2025-08-18)
Approaching Oversold
Stochastic is approaching oversold territory (26.2). No reversal signal yet. Monitor for potential bullish crossover (K above D) or entry into oversold (20-) followed by reversal. Current crossover status: Bearish.
RSI (2025-08-18)
Reversal Perspective
Current RSI level suggests overbought conditions, indicating potential for a bearish reversal. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.
Bollinger Bands (2025-08-18)
Reversal Perspective
Bollinger Bands are narrowing, indicating low volatility and a potential 'squeeze'. This often precedes a significant price move.Price is in the upper half of the bands, suggesting a bullish bias.
Holder List Top 20 (GHLD)
| Holder Name | Holder Type | Shares | Pct. Held | Date Reported |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayview Asset Management, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 1595844 | 7.4% | 2025-03-31 |
| Bridges Investment Management, Inc. | INSTITUTIONAL | 704741 | 3.27% | 2025-03-31 |
| Basswood Capital Management, L.L.C. | INSTITUTIONAL | 675633 | 3.13% | 2025-03-31 |
| Adage Capital Partners GP L.L.C. | INSTITUTIONAL | 657132 | 3.05% | 2025-03-31 |
| Vanguard Group Inc | INSTITUTIONAL | 464197 | 2.15% | 2025-03-31 |
| Bridgeway Capital Management, Inc. | INSTITUTIONAL | 439542 | 2.04% | 2025-03-31 |
| Donald Smith & Co., Inc. | INSTITUTIONAL | 380925 | 1.77% | 2025-03-31 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 299868 | 1.39% | 2025-03-31 |
| Empowered Funds, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 262761 | 1.22% | 2025-03-31 |
| EA Series Trust-EA Bridgeway Omni Small-Cap Value ETF | MUTUALFUND | 262761 | 1.22% | 2025-03-31 |
| Bridgeway Funds, Inc.-Omni Small-Cap Value Fund | MUTUALFUND | 176781 | 0.82% | 2025-03-31 |
| GoodHaven Capital Management, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 161524 | 0.75% | 2025-03-31 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Extended Market Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 144917 | 0.67% | 2025-03-31 |
| HighTower Advisors, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 124257 | 0.58% | 2025-03-31 |
| GoodHaven Funds Trust-GoodHaven Fund | MUTUALFUND | 85011 | 0.39% | 2025-02-28 |
| Fidelity Concord Street Trust-Fidelity Extended Market Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 53547 | 0.25% | 2025-04-30 |
| Fidelity Concord Street Trust-Fidelity Total Market Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 17349 | 0.08% | 2025-04-30 |
| Fidelity Concord Street Trust-Fidelity Series Total Market Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 13481 | 0.06% | 2025-04-30 |
| VANGUARD VALLEY FORGE FUNDS-VANGUARD BALANCED INDEX FUND | MUTUALFUND | 10380 | 0.05% | 2025-03-31 |
| RBC Funds Trust-RBC Microcap Value Fund | MUTUALFUND | 6500 | 0.03% | 2025-03-31 |