GMSGMS, Inc.
GMS, Inc. NYSE
Trading Signals
Overall Signal
BUY
Strong buyish signal based on multiple indicators.
Key Price Levels
Support Levels
- Strong Support $84.62
- Medium Support $89.84
- Weak Support $95.05
Resistance Levels
- Weak Resistance $105.49
- Medium Resistance $110.7
- Strong Resistance $115.92
Stop Loss Suggestions
- Conservative $73.06
- Moderate $92.45
- Aggressive $87.23
Signal Breakdown
| Indicator | Signal | Strength | Timeframe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moving Averages | BUY |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Oscillators | SELL |
|
Short Term |
| Trend Indicators | BUY |
|
Medium Term |
| Volume Indicators | BUY |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Support/Resistance | NEUTRAL |
|
Short Term |
Stock Price Prediction
Price Target Probabilities
Quarterly Outlook
Bullish Scenario
51.16% ProbabilityStrong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (28.04) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (53.52) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (-2.00) is above Signal line (-3.12) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 5.82, indicating the average weekly price range.
Base Scenario
44.19% ProbabilityPrice is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (28.04) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (53.52) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (-2.00) is above Signal line (-3.12) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 5.82, indicating the average weekly price range.
Bearish Scenario
4.65% ProbabilityIncreased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (28.04) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (53.52) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (-2.00) is above Signal line (-3.12) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 5.82, indicating the average weekly price range.
Annual Outlook
Bullish Scenario
51.16% ProbabilityLong-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (28.04) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (53.52) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (-2.00) is above Signal line (-3.12) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 5.82, indicating the average weekly price range.
Base Scenario
44.19% ProbabilitySteady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (28.04) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (53.52) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (-2.00) is above Signal line (-3.12) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 5.82, indicating the average weekly price range.
Bearish Scenario
4.65% ProbabilityLong-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (28.04) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (53.52) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (-2.00) is above Signal line (-3.12) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 5.82, indicating the average weekly price range.
Technical Analysis
Trend Identification
EMA
Exponential Moving Average
Current price (100.27) is above both Short MA (77.80) and Long MA (74.84). This indicates strong bullish momentum. Short MA (77.80) is above Long MA (74.84), a bullish crossover ('Golden Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates an upward trend. MAs (77.80, 74.84, 76.44) show mixed alignment, suggesting market indecision or range-bound activity. Consider long positions. Use the MAs as dynamic support levels.
MACD
Moving Average Convergence Divergence
MACD line is above the Signal line (bullish crossover). This indicates upward momentum. Histogram (1.4000) is positive and expanding, confirming bullish momentum. Both MACD and Signal lines are above the zero line, reinforcing bullish momentum (bullish territory). This is a strong buy signal. Consider long positions.
ADX
Average Directional Index
ADX (21.72) indicates a developing or weakening trend. +DI (56.06) is above -DI (11.54), suggesting a bullish directional bias. Be cautious with current positions. Monitor for trend continuation or reversal signals.
Momentum Measurement
RSI
Relative Strength Index
RSI (79.22) is in the overbought zone. This suggests the asset may be due for a price correction or a trend reversal downwards. Consider profit-taking or short-selling opportunities cautiously.
Stochastic
Stochastic Oscillator
Stochastics (%K: 49.89, %D: 28.84) are in the neutral zone (between 20 and 80). A bullish crossover (%K above %D) is observed, potentially signaling an upward trend reversal or continuation. Stronger signal if this occurs below 50.
CCI
Commodity Channel Index
CCI (406.99) is above +100. This suggests a strong upward momentum and an overbought condition. Consider profit-taking or looking for short entries cautiously. Confirm with price action; if price is making higher highs, momentum is strong. Look for pullbacks to enter long.
MACD
Momentum Perspective
MACD line is above the Signal line (bullish crossover). This indicates upward momentum. Histogram (1.4000) is positive and expanding, confirming bullish momentum. Both MACD and Signal lines are above the zero line, reinforcing bullish momentum (bullish territory). This is a strong buy signal. Consider long positions.
Volatility Measurement
ATR
Average True Range
Current ATR is 4.2900. ATR indicates significantly high volatility. This may suggest strong breakouts, panics, or trend capitulation. High volatility can lead to wider stop-loss placements and larger profit targets, but also higher risk. The current price movement is exceptionally large, even for high volatility. Exercise extreme caution. Consider using ATR to set dynamic stop-loss levels (e.g., 2 * ATR below entry for long positions).
Bollinger Bands
Volatility Bands
Current price (100.27) is above the Upper Bollinger Band (88.93). This often indicates an overextended move and a potential reversal downwards, or strong upward momentum ('walking the band'). Bollinger Bands are wide. This indicates high volatility. Prices tend to revert to the mean after extended periods of high volatility. Consider shorting or taking profit on long positions, but confirm with other indicators.
Volume Analysis
OBV
On-Balance Volume
OBV (1626350.00) is rising, indicating buying pressure and accumulation. Price is rising and OBV is rising. This is bullish confirmation, indicating buying pressure supports the price increase. Consider holding long positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.
Risk Management & Potential Reversals
SAR
Parabolic Stop and Reverse
SAR points below price indicate bullish trend. Current SAR at 73.06 is 27.14% from price. Consider SAR as a potential stop-loss level to protect gains in an uptrend.
RSI
Reversal Perspective
Current RSI level suggests overbought conditions, indicating potential for a bearish reversal. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.
Stochastic
Neutral
Stochastic is in neutral territory (49.9). No clear overbought/oversold signal. Current crossover status: Bullish.
Bollinger Bands
Reversal Perspective
Bollinger Bands are widening, indicating high volatility and potential strong trend continuation.Price is above the upper band, indicating overbought conditions or strong upward momentum. Expect a potential pullback or trend exhaustion.No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.