GPK Graphic Packaging Holding Co.

Packaging & Containers NYSE

$21.02 -0.14 (-0.67%)
update: 2025-06-30
Prev Close $21.16
Market Cap $6.44B
Day Range $20.87 - $21.29
Open $21.23
P/E Ratio 10.47
52W Change -21.11%
24H Volume 5.07M
Dividend Yield 2.06%
EPS 2.18895
DAY WEEK PRICE LEVEL

Trading Signals

Overall Signal

SELL

Strong sellish signal based on multiple indicators.

Confidence: 84%
Updated: 2025-06-30

Key Price Levels

Support Levels

  • Strong Support $19.6
  • Medium Support $20.08
  • Weak Support $20.55

Resistance Levels

  • Weak Resistance $21.49
  • Medium Resistance $21.96
  • Strong Resistance $22.44

Stop Loss Suggestions

  • Conservative $23.11
  • Moderate $21.73
  • Aggressive $22.2

Analyst Ratings

Current Rating

Strong Buy 3
Buy 4
Hold 6
Sell 0
Strong Sell 0

Chart Analyst Ratings Loading

Last Month

Strong Buy 3
Buy 4
Hold 5
Sell 0
Strong Sell 0

2 Months Ago

Strong Buy 3
Buy 4
Hold 5
Sell 0
Strong Sell 0

3 Months Ago

Strong Buy 3
Buy 4
Hold 4
Sell 0
Strong Sell 0

Signal Indicator

Indicator Signal Strength Timeframe
Moving Averages SELL
Short & Medium Term
Oscillators SELL
Short Term
Trend Indicators SELL
Medium Term
Volume Indicators SELL
Short & Medium Term
Support/Resistance NEUTRAL
Short Term
Data Source: Consolidated ratings from various investment bank analysts. Ratings may change over time.

Stock Price Prediction Price Target Probabilities

Quarterly Outlook

GPK Quarterly Outlook
2025-06-30

Bullish Scenario

Probability 9.3%
from current 13.99%
Prediction $24

Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (32.30) indicates a strong trend. -DI > +DI suggests strong bearish directional bias. RSI (33.27) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-1.59) is below Signal line (-1.32) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 1.47, indicating the average weekly price range.

GPK Quarterly Outlook
2025-06-30

Base Scenario

Probability 44.19%
from current -6.99%
Prediction $20

Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (32.30) indicates a strong trend. -DI > +DI suggests strong bearish directional bias. RSI (33.27) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-1.59) is below Signal line (-1.32) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 1.47, indicating the average weekly price range.

GPK Quarterly Outlook
2025-06-30

Bearish Scenario

Probability 46.51%
from current -17.48%
Prediction $17

Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (32.30) indicates a strong trend. -DI > +DI suggests strong bearish directional bias. RSI (33.27) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-1.59) is below Signal line (-1.32) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 1.47, indicating the average weekly price range.

Annual Outlook

GPK Annual Outlook
2025-06-30

Bullish Scenario

Probability 9.3%
from current 27.97%
Prediction $27

Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (32.30) indicates a strong trend. -DI > +DI suggests strong bearish directional bias. RSI (33.27) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-1.59) is below Signal line (-1.32) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 1.47, indicating the average weekly price range.

GPK Annual Outlook
2025-06-30

Base Scenario

Probability 44.19%
from current -13.99%
Prediction $18

Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (32.30) indicates a strong trend. -DI > +DI suggests strong bearish directional bias. RSI (33.27) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-1.59) is below Signal line (-1.32) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 1.47, indicating the average weekly price range.

GPK Annual Outlook
2025-06-30

Bearish Scenario

Probability 46.51%
from current -34.97%
Prediction $14

Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (32.30) indicates a strong trend. -DI > +DI suggests strong bearish directional bias. RSI (33.27) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-1.59) is below Signal line (-1.32) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 1.47, indicating the average weekly price range.

Technical Analysis

Trend Identification

EMA

Exponential Moving Average

SELL
EMA(20) 21.68
EMA(55) 23.1
EMA(100) 24.44

Current price (21.02) is below both Short MA (21.68) and Long MA (23.10). This indicates strong bearish momentum. Short MA (21.68) is below Long MA (23.10), a bearish crossover ('Death Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates a downward trend. All MAs are in bearish order (Price < Short MA < Long MA < Very Long MA 24.44). This is a strong bearish alignment. Consider short positions. Use the MAs as dynamic resistance levels.

MACD

Moving Average Convergence Divergence

BUY
MACD Line(12) -0.47
Signal Line(26) -0.48
Histogram(9) 0.01

MACD line is above the Signal line (bullish crossover). This indicates upward momentum. Histogram (0.0100) is positive and expanding, confirming bullish momentum. Both MACD and Signal lines are below the zero line, reinforcing bearish momentum (bearish territory). A bullish crossover below the zero line can indicate a reversal from a prior downtrend. Consider this as a potential early buy signal.

ADX

Average Directional Index

SELL
ADX(14) 40.67
+DI 11.25
-DI 31.75

ADX (40.67) indicates a strong trend is present. -DI (31.75) is above +DI (11.25), suggesting a bearish directional bias. This combination points to a strong downward trend. Consider taking short positions, as the strong downward trend is confirmed.

Momentum Measurement

RSI

Relative Strength Index

SELL
Current RSI(14) 36.23
Oversold Neutral Overbought

RSI (36.23) is in the bearish territory, but not yet oversold. This indicates downward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of strength.

OBV

On-Balance Volume

Rising
OBV Trend Upward
OBV vs Price Confirming

OBV (-53239938.00) is falling, indicating selling pressure and distribution. Price is falling and OBV is falling. This is bearish confirmation, indicating selling pressure supports the price decrease. Consider holding short positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.

Stochastic

Stochastic Oscillator

SELL
%K Line 25.04
%D Line 44.21

Stochastics (%K: 25.04, %D: 44.21) are in the neutral zone (between 20 and 80). A bearish crossover (%K below %D) is observed. This indicates downward momentum. Be cautious if it's already in the oversold region.

CCI

Commodity Channel Index

SELL
CCI(20) -91.21

CCI (-91.21) is between -100 and 0. This indicates bearish momentum is present, but not yet extreme. A move below 0 from positive territory (bearish zero-line cross) can indicate a potential sell signal.

Volatility Measurement

ATR

Average True Range

0.51
ATR(14) 0.51
ATR % of Price ...%

Current ATR is 0.5100. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility Bands

SELL
Upper Band 22.61
Middle Band (MA20) 21.68
Lower Band 20.76
Band Width 9%

Current price (21.02) is within the Bollinger Bands (20.76 - 22.61). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is below the Middle Band (21.68), indicating short-term bearish bias.

Risk Management & Potential Reversals

SAR

Parabolic Stop and Reverse

SELL
Current SAR 23.11
Distance from Price 9.94%

SAR points above price indicate bearish trend. Current SAR at 23.11 is 9.94% from price. Consider SAR as a potential take-profit level or to confirm a downtrend.

RSI

Reversal Perspective

No Divergence
RSI Divergence None
Overbought/Oversold Neither

Current RSI level is in neutral territory. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.

Stochastic

Approaching Oversold

Approaching Overbought
Stochastic Position 25.0
Crossover Status Bearish

Stochastic is approaching oversold territory (25.0). No reversal signal yet. Monitor for potential bullish crossover (K above D) or entry into oversold (20-) followed by reversal. Current crossover status: Bearish.

Bollinger Bands

Reversal Perspective

Bearish Bias
Band Position Lower Half
Band Squeeze None

Bands show normal bandwidth. Price is in the lower half of the bands, suggesting a bearish bias.No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.

Holder List (Top 20)

Holder Name Holder Type Shares Pct. Held Date Reported
Vanguard Group Inc INSTITUTIONAL 30655111 10.16% 2025-03-31
Blackrock Inc. INSTITUTIONAL 30248891 10.02% 2025-03-31
American Century Companies Inc INSTITUTIONAL 18488501 6.13% 2025-03-31
FMR, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 17917960 5.94% 2025-03-31
Allspring Global Investments Holdings, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 16371374 5.43% 2025-03-31
Fuller & Thaler Asset Management Inc. INSTITUTIONAL 14615607 4.84% 2025-03-31
ALLSPRING FUNDS TRUST-Allspring Special Mid Cap Value Fund MUTUALFUND 12907300 4.28% 2025-04-30
Massachusetts Financial Services Co. INSTITUTIONAL 10351192 3.43% 2025-03-31
State Street Corporation INSTITUTIONAL 9937338 3.29% 2025-03-31
iShares Trust-iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap ETF MUTUALFUND 9720274 3.22% 2025-04-30
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund MUTUALFUND 9528502 3.16% 2025-03-31
UNDISCOVERED MANAGERS Fd.S-Undiscovered Managers Behavioral Value Fd. MUTUALFUND 9293706 3.08% 2025-03-31
Victory Capital Management Inc. INSTITUTIONAL 9240697 3.06% 2025-03-31
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO INSTITUTIONAL 8495167 2.82% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Small-Cap Index Fund MUTUALFUND 7490862 2.48% 2025-03-31
MFS SERIES TRUST XI-MFS Mid Cap Value Fund MUTUALFUND 6652862 2.2% 2025-03-31
Victory Portfolios-Victory Sycamore Established Value Fund MUTUALFUND 5847005 1.94% 2025-03-31
American Century Capital Portfolios, Inc.-SMALL CAP VALUE FUND MUTUALFUND 5095000 1.69% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Small-Cap Value Index Fund MUTUALFUND 4854772 1.61% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Extended Market Index Fund MUTUALFUND 4611538 1.53% 2025-03-31