HOG Harley-Davidson, Inc.
Recreational Vehicles NYSE
Trading Signals (HOG)
Overall Signal
SELL
Strong sellish signal based on multiple indicators.
Key Price Levels
Support Levels
- Strong Support $19.46
- Medium Support $21.08
- Weak Support $22.71
Resistance Levels
- Weak Resistance $25.95
- Medium Resistance $27.58
- Strong Resistance $29.2
Stop Loss Suggestions
- Conservative $25.63
- Moderate $26.77
- Aggressive $28.39
Analyst Ratings
Current Rating
Signal Indicator
| Indicator | Signal | Strength | Timeframe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moving Averages | NEUTRAL |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Oscillators | BUY |
|
Short Term |
| Trend Indicators | BUY |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Volume Indicators | SELL |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Support/Resistance | NEUTRAL |
|
Short Term |
Stock Price Prediction Price Target Probabilities (HOG)
Quarterly Outlook :
2025-08-23
Bullish Scenario
from current 17.51%
Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (16.98) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (47.48) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.64) is above Signal line (-0.99) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 2.13, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-08-23
Base Scenario
from current 2.19%
Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (16.98) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (47.48) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.64) is above Signal line (-0.99) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 2.13, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-08-23
Bearish Scenario
from current -17.51%
Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (16.98) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (47.48) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.64) is above Signal line (-0.99) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 2.13, indicating the average weekly price range.
Annual Outlook
2025-08-23
Bullish Scenario
from current 35.02%
Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (16.98) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (47.48) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.64) is above Signal line (-0.99) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 2.13, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-08-23
Base Scenario
from current 4.38%
Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (16.98) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (47.48) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.64) is above Signal line (-0.99) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 2.13, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-08-23
Bearish Scenario
from current -35.02%
Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (16.98) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (47.48) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.64) is above Signal line (-0.99) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 2.13, indicating the average weekly price range.
Technical Analysis (HOG)
Trend Identification
EMA
Exponential Moving Average
Current price (24.33) is between Short MA (24.37) and Long MA (24.32), or near one of them. This suggests consolidation or mixed signals. Short MA (24.37) is above Long MA (24.32), a bullish crossover ('Golden Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates an upward trend. MAs (24.37, 24.32, 24.16) show mixed alignment, suggesting market indecision or range-bound activity. Market is in a choppy or sideways phase. Wait for a clearer trend to emerge before taking directional trades.
MACD
Moving Average Convergence Divergence
MACD line is above the Signal line (bullish crossover). This indicates upward momentum. Histogram (0.0400) is positive and expanding, confirming bullish momentum. MACD and Signal lines are on opposite sides of the zero line, indicating a potential zero-line crossover. This is a significant trend indicator.
ADX
Average Directional Index
ADX (12.94) indicates a weak or non-existent trend (ranging market). +DI (32.74) is above -DI (24.23), suggesting a bullish directional bias. Avoid trend-following strategies. Consider range-bound or reversal strategies, or wait for a clearer trend to develop.
Momentum Measurement
RSI (2025-08-23)
Relative Strength Index
RSI (50.22) is in the bullish territory, but not yet overbought. This indicates upward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of weakness.
OBV (2025-08-23)
On-Balance Volume
OBV (-4688268.00) is falling, indicating selling pressure and distribution. Price is falling and OBV is falling. This is bearish confirmation, indicating selling pressure supports the price decrease. Consider holding short positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.
Stochastic (2025-08-23)
Stochastic Oscillator
Stochastics (%K: 28.37, %D: 22.77) are in the neutral zone (between 20 and 80). A bullish crossover (%K above %D) is observed, potentially signaling an upward trend reversal or continuation. Stronger signal if this occurs below 50.
CCI (2025-08-23)
Commodity Channel Index
CCI (81.56) is between 0 and +100. This indicates bullish momentum is present, but not yet extreme. A move above 0 from negative territory (bullish zero-line cross) can indicate a potential buy signal.
Volatility Measurement
ATR (2025-08-23)
Average True Range
Current ATR is 1.3300. ATR indicates significantly high volatility. This may suggest strong breakouts, panics, or trend capitulation. High volatility can lead to wider stop-loss placements and larger profit targets, but also higher risk. The current price movement is exceptionally large, even for high volatility. Exercise extreme caution. Consider using ATR to set dynamic stop-loss levels (e.g., 2 * ATR below entry for long positions).
Bollinger Bands (2025-08-23)
Volatility Bands
Current price (24.33) is within the Bollinger Bands (22.90 - 25.84). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is below the Middle Band (24.37), indicating short-term bearish bias. Bollinger Bands are wide. This indicates high volatility. Prices tend to revert to the mean after extended periods of high volatility.
Risk Management & Potential Reversals (HOG)
SAR (2025-08-23)
Parabolic Stop and Reverse
SAR points below price indicate bullish trend. Current SAR at 22.85 is 6.08% from price. Consider SAR as a potential stop-loss level to protect gains in an uptrend.
Stochastic (2025-08-23)
Approaching Oversold
Stochastic is approaching oversold territory (28.4). No reversal signal yet. Monitor for potential bullish crossover (K above D) or entry into oversold (20-) followed by reversal. Current crossover status: Bullish.
RSI (2025-08-23)
Reversal Perspective
Current RSI level is in neutral territory. An RSI divergence has been detected, which often precedes a price reversal. Monitor closely.
Bollinger Bands (2025-08-23)
Reversal Perspective
Bollinger Bands are widening, indicating high volatility and potential strong trend continuation.Price is in the middle of bands with normal bandwidth. No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.
Holder List Top 20 (HOG)
| Holder Name | Holder Type | Shares | Pct. Held | Date Reported |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Group Inc | INSTITUTIONAL | 12547012 | 10.14% | 2025-03-31 |
| H Partners Management, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 11300000 | 9.13% | 2025-03-31 |
| Blackrock Inc. | INSTITUTIONAL | 11106517 | 8.98% | 2025-03-31 |
| Beutel, Goodman & Company Ltd | INSTITUTIONAL | 7575902 | 6.12% | 2025-03-31 |
| Dimensional Fund Advisors LP | INSTITUTIONAL | 6636352 | 5.36% | 2025-03-31 |
| Boston Partners | INSTITUTIONAL | 6298482 | 5.09% | 2025-03-31 |
| FMR, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 6119219 | 4.95% | 2025-03-31 |
| Pacer Funds Trust-Pacer US Cash Cows 100 ETF | MUTUALFUND | 5440209 | 4.4% | 2025-01-31 |
| LSV Asset Management | INSTITUTIONAL | 5369332 | 4.34% | 2025-03-31 |
| American Century Companies Inc | INSTITUTIONAL | 3766421 | 3.04% | 2025-03-31 |
| iShares Trust-iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap ETF | MUTUALFUND | 3710312 | 3% | 2025-04-30 |
| State Street Corporation | INSTITUTIONAL | 3693591 | 2.99% | 2025-03-31 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 3590280 | 2.9% | 2025-03-31 |
| American Century ETF Trust-Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF | MUTUALFUND | 3401464 | 2.75% | 2025-04-30 |
| John Hancock Funds III-John Hancock Disciplined Value Mid Cap Fund | MUTUALFUND | 2890123 | 2.34% | 2025-04-30 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Small-Cap Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 2799496 | 2.26% | 2025-03-31 |
| Fidelity Puritan Trust-Fidelity Low-Priced Stock Fund | MUTUALFUND | 2373729 | 1.92% | 2025-02-28 |
| DFA INVESTMENT DIMENSIONS GROUP INC-U.S. SMALL CAP VALUE PORTFOLIO | MUTUALFUND | 1920618 | 1.55% | 2025-01-31 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Small-Cap Value Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 1812516 | 1.47% | 2025-03-31 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Extended Market Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 1779012 | 1.44% | 2025-03-31 |