KYTX Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc.
Biotechnology NasdaqGS
SELL KYTX is showing a Bearish technical setup (SELL, 37.6% confidence) — RSI 32.1, MACD above its signal line. Key support $4.77, resistance $5.57.
Based on end-of-day data, updated after each U.S. market close. Not investment advice.
Trading Signals (KYTX)
How these signals performed on KYTX
Historical occurrences of each signal on this stock since January 2024, and the forward return that followed. Small samples are shown as-is—a handful of events is not a track record.
| Signal | Horizon | Times | Win rate | Median |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RSI oversold recovery | 5d | 7 | 14.3% | -8.35% |
| 10d | 6 | 16.7% | -4.53% | |
| 20d | 4 | 50.0% | -7.81% | |
| RSI overbought reversal | 5d | 5 | 20.0% | -10.40% |
| 10d | 5 | 60.0% | +0.79% | |
| 20d | 5 | 40.0% | -10.40% | |
| MACD golden cross | 5d | 22 | 45.5% | -2.27% |
| 10d | 22 | 31.8% | -5.92% | |
| 20d | 22 | 27.3% | -5.32% | |
| MACD death cross | 5d | 22 | 40.9% | -1.56% |
| 10d | 22 | 45.5% | -3.55% | |
| 20d | 22 | 50.0% | +0.15% | |
| MA20/MA60 golden cross | 5d | 3 | 33.3% | -3.58% |
| 10d | 3 | 66.7% | +18.25% | |
| 20d | 3 | 66.7% | +23.07% | |
| MA20/MA60 death cross | 5d | 3 | 100.0% | +4.68% |
| 10d | 3 | 66.7% | +3.58% |
Sample period from 2024-01-01 to the latest close. Returns are gross of transaction costs and do not account for liquidity. A small number of occurrences is not statistically meaningful. Full method and market-wide results: backtest.php. Not investment advice.
Overall Signal
SELL
Strong sellish signal based on multiple indicators.
Key Price Levels
Support Levels
- Strong Support $3.98
- Medium Support $4.38
- Weak Support $4.77
Resistance Levels
- Weak Resistance $5.57
- Medium Resistance $5.96
- Strong Resistance $6.36
Stop Loss Suggestions
- Conservative $6.08
- Moderate $5.77
- Aggressive $6.16
Analyst Ratings
Current Rating
Signal Indicator
| Indicator | Signal | Strength | Timeframe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moving Averages | SELL |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Oscillators | SELL |
|
Short Term |
| Trend Indicators | SELL |
|
Medium Term |
| Volume Indicators | BUY |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Support/Resistance | NEUTRAL |
|
Short Term |
Price Outlook Price Target Probabilities (KYTX)
Quarterly Outlook :
2026-11-05
Bullish Scenario
from current 28.63%
Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (19.44) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (30.70) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.74) is below Signal line (-0.41) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.74, indicating the average weekly price range.
2026-11-05
Base Scenario
from current -8.59%
Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (19.44) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (30.70) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.74) is below Signal line (-0.41) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.74, indicating the average weekly price range.
2026-11-05
Bearish Scenario
from current -35.78%
Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (19.44) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (30.70) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.74) is below Signal line (-0.41) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.74, indicating the average weekly price range.
Annual Outlook
2026-11-05
Bullish Scenario
from current 57.25%
Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (19.44) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (30.70) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.74) is below Signal line (-0.41) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.74, indicating the average weekly price range.
2026-11-05
Base Scenario
from current -17.18%
Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (19.44) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (30.70) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.74) is below Signal line (-0.41) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.74, indicating the average weekly price range.
2026-11-05
Bearish Scenario
from current -71.57%
Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (19.44) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (30.70) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.74) is below Signal line (-0.41) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.74, indicating the average weekly price range.
Technical Analysis (KYTX)
Trend Identification
EMA
Exponential Moving Average
Current price (5.17) is below both Short MA (5.79) and Long MA (7.37). This indicates strong bearish momentum. Short MA (5.79) is below Long MA (7.37), a bearish crossover ('Death Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates a downward trend. All MAs are in bearish order (Price < Short MA < Long MA < Very Long MA 7.89). This is a strong bearish alignment. Consider short positions. Use the MAs as dynamic resistance levels.
MACD
Moving Average Convergence Divergence
MACD line is above the Signal line (bullish crossover). This indicates upward momentum. Histogram (0.0100) is positive and expanding, confirming bullish momentum. Both MACD and Signal lines are below the zero line, reinforcing bearish momentum (bearish territory). A bullish crossover below the zero line can indicate a reversal from a prior downtrend. Consider this as a potential early buy signal.
ADX
Average Directional Index
ADX (29.30) indicates a strong trend is present. -DI (33.83) is above +DI (16.83), suggesting a bearish directional bias. This combination points to a strong downward trend. Consider taking short positions, as the strong downward trend is confirmed.
Momentum Measurement
RSI (2026-11-05)
Relative Strength Index
RSI (32.06) is in the bearish territory, but not yet oversold. This indicates downward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of strength.
OBV (2026-11-05)
On-Balance Volume
OBV (23264976.00) is rising, indicating buying pressure and accumulation. Price is rising and OBV is rising. This is bullish confirmation, indicating buying pressure supports the price increase. Consider holding long positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.
Stochastic (2026-11-05)
Stochastic Oscillator
Stochastics (%K: 10.84, %D: 26.88) are in the neutral zone (between 20 and 80). A bearish crossover (%K below %D) is observed. This indicates downward momentum. Be cautious if it's already in the oversold region.
CCI (2026-11-05)
Commodity Channel Index
CCI (-114.20) is below -100. This suggests a strong downward momentum and an oversold condition. Consider buying or looking for long entries cautiously. Confirm with price action; if price is making lower lows, momentum is strong. Look for rallies to enter short.
Volatility Measurement
ATR (2026-11-05)
Average True Range
Current ATR is 0.4300. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.
Bollinger Bands (2026-11-05)
Volatility Bands
Current price (5.17) is within the Bollinger Bands (4.82 - 6.76). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is below the Middle Band (5.79), indicating short-term bearish bias. Bollinger Bands are wide. This indicates high volatility. Prices tend to revert to the mean after extended periods of high volatility.
Risk Management & Potential Reversals (KYTX)
SAR (2026-11-05)
Parabolic Stop and Reverse
SAR points above price indicate bearish trend. Current SAR at 6.08 is 17.60% from price. Consider SAR as a potential take-profit level or to confirm a downtrend.
Stochastic (2026-11-05)
Oversold
Stochastic is in oversold territory (10.8). Monitor for potential bullish crossover or movement above 20, which could signal a reversal. Current crossover status: Bearish.
RSI (2026-11-05)
Reversal Perspective
Current RSI level is in neutral territory. An RSI divergence has been detected, which often precedes a price reversal. Monitor closely.
Bollinger Bands (2026-11-05)
Reversal Perspective
Bollinger Bands are widening, indicating high volatility and potential strong trend continuation.Price is in the lower half of the bands, suggesting a bearish bias.No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.
Holder List Top 20 (KYTX)
| Holder Name | Holder Type | Shares | Pct. Held | Date Reported |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vida Ventures Advisors, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 4523924 | 10.47% | 2025-03-31 |
| Gilead Sciences Inc | INSTITUTIONAL | 4126119 | 9.55% | 2025-03-31 |
| Bain Capital Life Sciences Investors, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 3368370 | 7.79% | 2025-03-31 |
| Novo Holdings A/S | INSTITUTIONAL | 1850000 | 4.28% | 2025-03-31 |
| Blackrock Inc. | INSTITUTIONAL | 1676268 | 3.88% | 2025-03-31 |
| Vanguard Group Inc | INSTITUTIONAL | 1298449 | 3% | 2025-03-31 |
| Citadel Advisors Llc | INSTITUTIONAL | 993620 | 2.3% | 2025-03-31 |
| Insight Holdings Group, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 989054 | 2.29% | 2025-03-31 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 806417 | 1.87% | 2025-03-31 |
| Franklin Resources, Inc. | INSTITUTIONAL | 692028 | 1.6% | 2025-03-31 |
| MBB Public Markets I LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 614477 | 1.42% | 2025-03-31 |
| iShares Trust-iShares Russell 2000 ETF | MUTUALFUND | 585127 | 1.35% | 2025-04-30 |
| T. Rowe Price Health Sciences Fund, Inc. | MUTUALFUND | 396569 | 0.92% | 2025-03-31 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Extended Market Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 284906 | 0.66% | 2025-03-31 |
| Fidelity Salem Street Trust-Fidelity Small Cap Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 255697 | 0.59% | 2025-02-28 |
| Franklin Strategic Series-FRANKLIN BIOTECHNOLOGY DISCOVERY FUND | MUTUALFUND | 244900 | 0.57% | 2025-01-31 |
| iShares Trust-iShares Biotechnology ETF | MUTUALFUND | 136728 | 0.32% | 2025-04-30 |
| iShares Trust-iShares Russell 2000 Growth ETF | MUTUALFUND | 135728 | 0.31% | 2025-04-30 |
| Fidelity Concord Street Trust-Fidelity Extended Market Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 122891 | 0.28% | 2025-04-30 |
| VANGUARD SCOTTSDALE FUNDS-Vanguard Russell 2000 Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 116394 | 0.27% | 2025-02-28 |