MOSThe Mosaic Co.
The Mosaic Co. NYSE
Trading Signals
Overall Signal
BUY
Strong buyish signal based on multiple indicators.
Key Price Levels
Support Levels
- Strong Support $33.16
- Medium Support $34.25
- Weak Support $35.35
Resistance Levels
- Weak Resistance $37.53
- Medium Resistance $38.63
- Strong Resistance $39.72
Stop Loss Suggestions
- Conservative $33.64
- Moderate $34.8
- Aggressive $33.71
Signal Breakdown
| Indicator | Signal | Strength | Timeframe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moving Averages | BUY |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Oscillators | BUY |
|
Short Term |
| Trend Indicators | BUY |
|
Medium Term |
| Volume Indicators | BUY |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Support/Resistance | NEUTRAL |
|
Short Term |
Stock Price Prediction
Price Target Probabilities
Quarterly Outlook
Bullish Scenario
30.22% ProbabilityStrong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (18.88) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (71.73) is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential for price correction. MACD line (2.41) is above Signal line (1.22) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 2.13, indicating the average weekly price range.
Base Scenario
50.75% ProbabilityPrice is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (18.88) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (71.73) is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential for price correction. MACD line (2.41) is above Signal line (1.22) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 2.13, indicating the average weekly price range.
Bearish Scenario
19.03% ProbabilityIncreased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (18.88) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (71.73) is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential for price correction. MACD line (2.41) is above Signal line (1.22) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 2.13, indicating the average weekly price range.
Annual Outlook
Bullish Scenario
30.22% ProbabilityLong-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (18.88) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (71.73) is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential for price correction. MACD line (2.41) is above Signal line (1.22) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 2.13, indicating the average weekly price range.
Base Scenario
50.75% ProbabilitySteady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (18.88) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (71.73) is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential for price correction. MACD line (2.41) is above Signal line (1.22) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 2.13, indicating the average weekly price range.
Bearish Scenario
19.03% ProbabilityLong-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (18.88) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (71.73) is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential for price correction. MACD line (2.41) is above Signal line (1.22) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 2.13, indicating the average weekly price range.
Technical Analysis
Trend Identification
EMA
Exponential Moving Average
Current price (36.44) is above both Short MA (35.69) and Long MA (31.20). This indicates strong bullish momentum. Short MA (35.69) is above Long MA (31.20), a bullish crossover ('Golden Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates an upward trend. All MAs are in bullish order (Price > Short MA > Long MA > Very Long MA 29.26). This is a strong bullish alignment. Consider long positions. Use the MAs as dynamic support levels.
MACD
Moving Average Convergence Divergence
MACD line is below the Signal line (bearish crossover). This indicates downward momentum. Histogram (-0.1900) is negative and expanding, confirming bearish momentum. Both MACD and Signal lines are above the zero line, reinforcing bullish momentum (bullish territory). A bearish crossover above the zero line can indicate a reversal from a prior uptrend. Consider this as a potential early sell signal.
ADX
Average Directional Index
ADX (37.24) indicates a strong trend is present. +DI (32.47) is above -DI (18.56), suggesting a bullish directional bias. This combination points to a strong upward trend. Consider taking long positions, as the strong upward trend is confirmed.
Momentum Measurement
RSI
Relative Strength Index
RSI (65.47) is in the bullish territory, but not yet overbought. This indicates upward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of weakness.
Stochastic
Stochastic Oscillator
Stochastics (%K: 80.27, %D: 77.61) are in the neutral zone (between 20 and 80). A bullish crossover (%K above %D) is observed. This indicates upward momentum. Be cautious if it's already in the overbought region.
CCI
Commodity Channel Index
CCI (61.27) is between 0 and +100. This indicates bullish momentum is present, but not yet extreme. A move above 0 from negative territory (bullish zero-line cross) can indicate a potential buy signal.
MACD
Momentum Perspective
MACD line is below the Signal line (bearish crossover). This indicates downward momentum. Histogram (-0.1900) is negative and expanding, confirming bearish momentum. Both MACD and Signal lines are above the zero line, reinforcing bullish momentum (bullish territory). A bearish crossover above the zero line can indicate a reversal from a prior uptrend. Consider this as a potential early sell signal.
Volatility Measurement
ATR
Average True Range
Current ATR is 0.9800. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.
Bollinger Bands
Volatility Bands
Current price (36.44) is within the Bollinger Bands (34.04 - 37.35). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is above the Middle Band (35.69), indicating short-term bullish bias.
Volume Analysis
OBV
On-Balance Volume
OBV (65611100.00) is rising, indicating buying pressure and accumulation. Price is rising and OBV is rising. This is bullish confirmation, indicating buying pressure supports the price increase. Consider holding long positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.
Risk Management & Potential Reversals
SAR
Parabolic Stop and Reverse
SAR points below price indicate bullish trend. Current SAR at 33.64 is 7.68% from price. Consider SAR as a potential stop-loss level to protect gains in an uptrend.
RSI
Reversal Perspective
Current RSI level is in neutral territory. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.
Stochastic
Overbought
Stochastic is in overbought territory (80.3). Monitor for potential bearish crossover or movement below 80, which could signal a reversal.
Bollinger Bands
Reversal Perspective
Bands show normal bandwidth. Price is in the upper half of the bands, suggesting a bullish bias.No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.