Morgan Stanley Emerging Markets Debt Fund, Inc. logo

MSD Morgan Stanley Emerging Markets Debt Fund, Inc.

Asset Management NYSE

$7.74 +0.03 (0.39%)
update: 2025-07-07
Prev Close $7.71
Market Cap $154.92M
Day Range $7.71 - $7.74
Open $7.71
P/E Ratio 9.41
52W Change 7.27%
24H Volume 32.14K
Dividend Yield 12.06%
EPS
DAY WEEK PRICE LEVEL

Trading Signals (MSD)

Overall Signal

SELL

Strong sellish signal based on multiple indicators.

Confidence: 15.2%
Updated: 2025-07-07

Key Price Levels

Support Levels

  • Strong Support $7.46
  • Medium Support $7.55
  • Weak Support $7.64

Resistance Levels

  • Weak Resistance $7.83
  • Medium Resistance $7.92
  • Strong Resistance $8.01

Stop Loss Suggestions

  • Conservative $7.92
  • Moderate $7.87
  • Aggressive $7.96

Signal Indicator

Indicator Signal Strength Timeframe
Moving Averages SELL
Short & Medium Term
Oscillators SELL
Short Term
Trend Indicators SELL
Medium Term
Volume Indicators BUY
Short & Medium Term
Support/Resistance NEUTRAL
Short Term
Data Source: Consolidated ratings from various investment bank analysts. Ratings may change over time.

Stock Price Prediction Price Target Probabilities (MSD)

Quarterly Outlook :

MSD Quarterly Outlook
2025-07-07

Bullish Scenario

Probability 20.15%
from current 5.69%
Prediction $8

Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (21.54) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (54.22) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line is crossing Signal line, indicating potential trend change or consolidation. Current Weekly ATR is 0.22, indicating the average weekly price range.

MSD Quarterly Outlook
2025-07-07

Base Scenario

Probability 50.75%
from current -0.95%
Prediction $8

Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (21.54) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (54.22) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line is crossing Signal line, indicating potential trend change or consolidation. Current Weekly ATR is 0.22, indicating the average weekly price range.

MSD Quarterly Outlook
2025-07-07

Bearish Scenario

Probability 29.1%
from current -7.11%
Prediction $7

Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (21.54) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (54.22) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line is crossing Signal line, indicating potential trend change or consolidation. Current Weekly ATR is 0.22, indicating the average weekly price range.

Annual Outlook

MSD Annual Outlook
2025-07-07

Bullish Scenario

Probability 20.15%
from current 11.38%
Prediction $9

Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (21.54) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (54.22) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line is crossing Signal line, indicating potential trend change or consolidation. Current Weekly ATR is 0.22, indicating the average weekly price range.

MSD Annual Outlook
2025-07-07

Base Scenario

Probability 50.75%
from current -1.9%
Prediction $8

Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (21.54) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (54.22) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line is crossing Signal line, indicating potential trend change or consolidation. Current Weekly ATR is 0.22, indicating the average weekly price range.

MSD Annual Outlook
2025-07-07

Bearish Scenario

Probability 29.1%
from current -14.22%
Prediction $7

Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (21.54) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (54.22) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line is crossing Signal line, indicating potential trend change or consolidation. Current Weekly ATR is 0.22, indicating the average weekly price range.

Technical Analysis (MSD)

Trend Identification

MSD Technical Analysis 2025-07-07

EMA

Exponential Moving Average

SELL
EMA(20) 7.83
EMA(55) 7.63
EMA(100) 7.81

Current price (7.74) is between Short MA (7.83) and Long MA (7.63), or near one of them. This suggests consolidation or mixed signals. Short MA (7.83) is above Long MA (7.63), a bullish crossover ('Golden Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates an upward trend. MAs (7.83, 7.63, 7.81) show mixed alignment, suggesting market indecision or range-bound activity. Market is in a choppy or sideways phase. Wait for a clearer trend to emerge before taking directional trades.

MSD Technical Analysis 2025-07-07

MACD

Moving Average Convergence Divergence

SELL
MACD Line(12) 0.01
Signal Line(26) 0.04
Histogram(9) -0.03

MACD line is below the Signal line (bearish crossover). This indicates downward momentum. Histogram (-0.0300) is negative and expanding, confirming bearish momentum. Both MACD and Signal lines are above the zero line, reinforcing bullish momentum (bullish territory). A bearish crossover above the zero line can indicate a reversal from a prior uptrend. Consider this as a potential early sell signal.

MSD Technical Analysis 2025-07-07

ADX

Average Directional Index

SELL
ADX(14) 22.17
+DI 16.39
-DI 24.04

ADX (22.17) indicates a developing or weakening trend. -DI (24.04) is above +DI (16.39), suggesting a bearish directional bias. Be cautious with current positions. Monitor for trend continuation or reversal signals.

Momentum Measurement

RSI (2025-07-07)

Relative Strength Index

SELL
Current RSI(14) 45.96
Oversold Neutral Overbought

RSI (45.96) is in the bearish territory, but not yet oversold. This indicates downward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of strength.

OBV (2025-07-07)

On-Balance Volume

Rising
OBV Trend Upward
OBV vs Price Confirming

OBV (1171763.00) is rising, indicating buying pressure and accumulation. Price is rising and OBV is rising. This is bullish confirmation, indicating buying pressure supports the price increase. Consider holding long positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.

Stochastic (2025-07-07)

Stochastic Oscillator

SELL
%K Line 27.01
%D Line 28.99

Stochastics (%K: 27.01, %D: 28.99) are in the neutral zone (between 20 and 80). No clear bullish or bearish crossover signal currently. The lines are close or moving sideways.

CCI (2025-07-07)

Commodity Channel Index

BUY
CCI(20) -103.5

CCI (-103.50) is below -100. This suggests a strong downward momentum and an oversold condition. Consider buying or looking for long entries cautiously. Confirm with price action; if price is making lower lows, momentum is strong. Look for rallies to enter short.

Volatility Measurement

ATR (2025-07-07)

Average True Range

0.08
ATR(14) 0.08
ATR % of Price ...%

Current ATR is 0.0800. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.

Bollinger Bands (2025-07-07)

Volatility Bands

SELL
Upper Band 7.95
Middle Band (MA20) 7.83
Lower Band 7.71
Band Width 3%

Current price (7.74) is within the Bollinger Bands (7.71 - 7.95). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is below the Middle Band (7.83), indicating short-term bearish bias.

Risk Management & Potential Reversals (MSD)

SAR (2025-07-07)

Parabolic Stop and Reverse

SELL
Current SAR 7.92
Distance from Price 2.39%

SAR points above price indicate bearish trend. Current SAR at 7.92 is 2.39% from price. Consider SAR as a potential take-profit level or to confirm a downtrend.

Stochastic (2025-07-07)

Approaching Oversold

Approaching Overbought
Stochastic Position 27.0
Crossover Status No Crossover

Stochastic is approaching oversold territory (27.0). No reversal signal yet. Monitor for potential bullish crossover (K above D) or entry into oversold (20-) followed by reversal.

RSI (2025-07-07)

Reversal Perspective

No Divergence
RSI Divergence None
Overbought/Oversold Neither

Current RSI level is in neutral territory. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.

Bollinger Bands (2025-07-07)

Reversal Perspective

Bearish Bias
Band Position Lower Half
Band Squeeze None

Bands show normal bandwidth. Price is in the lower half of the bands, suggesting a bearish bias.No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.

Holder List Top 20 (MSD)

Holder Name Holder Type Shares Pct. Held Date Reported
Osaic Holdings Inc INSTITUTIONAL 528835 2.62% 2025-03-31
Royal Bank of Canada INSTITUTIONAL 412771 2.04% 2025-03-31
Invesco Ltd. INSTITUTIONAL 363287 1.8% 2025-03-31
GraniteShares Advisors LLC INSTITUTIONAL 343048 1.7% 2025-03-31
GraniteShares ETF Trust-GraniteShares HIPS US High Income ETF MUTUALFUND 343048 1.7% 2025-03-31
Whipplewood Advisors, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 283909 1.41% 2024-12-31
Ameriprise Financial, Inc. INSTITUTIONAL 271301 1.34% 2025-03-31
Morgan Stanley INSTITUTIONAL 270765 1.34% 2025-03-31
Wells Fargo & Company INSTITUTIONAL 266154 1.32% 2025-03-31
LPL Financial LLC INSTITUTIONAL 241135 1.19% 2025-03-31
Integrated Wealth Concepts LLC INSTITUTIONAL 237939 1.18% 2025-03-31
Invesco Exchange-Traded Fund Trust II-Invesco CEF Income Composite ETF MUTUALFUND 141089 0.7% 2025-04-30
LoCorr Investment Trust-LoCorr Spectrum Income Fund MUTUALFUND 78840 0.39% 2025-03-31
insidersPercentHeld MAJOR 0%
institutionsPercentHeld MAJOR 0%
institutionsFloatPercentHeld MAJOR 0%
institutionsCount MAJOR 0%