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NCA Nuveen California Municipal Value Fund

Asset Management NYSE

$8.67 +0.05 (0.58%)
update: 2025-07-08
Prev Close $8.62
Market Cap $282.74M
Day Range $8.66 - $8.69
Open $8.63
P/E Ratio 16
52W Change -3.17%
24H Volume 69.69K
Dividend Yield 4.07%
EPS
DAY WEEK PRICE LEVEL

Trading Signals (NCA)

Overall Signal

BUY

Strong buyish signal based on multiple indicators.

Confidence: 79%
Updated: 2025-07-08

Key Price Levels

Support Levels

  • Strong Support $8.45
  • Medium Support $8.52
  • Weak Support $8.6

Resistance Levels

  • Weak Resistance $8.74
  • Medium Resistance $8.82
  • Strong Resistance $8.89

Stop Loss Suggestions

  • Conservative $8.35
  • Moderate $8.56
  • Aggressive $8.48

Signal Indicator

Indicator Signal Strength Timeframe
Moving Averages BUY
Short & Medium Term
Oscillators BUY
Short Term
Trend Indicators BUY
Short & Medium Term
Volume Indicators BUY
Short & Medium Term
Support/Resistance NEUTRAL
Short Term
Data Source: Consolidated ratings from various investment bank analysts. Ratings may change over time.

Stock Price Prediction Price Target Probabilities (NCA)

Quarterly Outlook :

NCA Quarterly Outlook
2025-07-08

Bullish Scenario

Probability 35.16%
from current 5.19%
Prediction $9

Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (12.58) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (58.56) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.00) is above Signal line (-0.02) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.18, indicating the average weekly price range.

NCA Quarterly Outlook
2025-07-08

Base Scenario

Probability 53.85%
from current 1.04%
Prediction $9

Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (12.58) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (58.56) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.00) is above Signal line (-0.02) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.18, indicating the average weekly price range.

NCA Quarterly Outlook
2025-07-08

Bearish Scenario

Probability 10.99%
from current -4.15%
Prediction $8

Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (12.58) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (58.56) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.00) is above Signal line (-0.02) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.18, indicating the average weekly price range.

Annual Outlook

NCA Annual Outlook
2025-07-08

Bullish Scenario

Probability 35.16%
from current 10.38%
Prediction $10

Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (12.58) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (58.56) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.00) is above Signal line (-0.02) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.18, indicating the average weekly price range.

NCA Annual Outlook
2025-07-08

Base Scenario

Probability 53.85%
from current 2.08%
Prediction $9

Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (12.58) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (58.56) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.00) is above Signal line (-0.02) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.18, indicating the average weekly price range.

NCA Annual Outlook
2025-07-08

Bearish Scenario

Probability 10.99%
from current -8.3%
Prediction $8

Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (12.58) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (58.56) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.00) is above Signal line (-0.02) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.18, indicating the average weekly price range.

Technical Analysis (NCA)

Trend Identification

NCA Technical Analysis 2025-07-08

EMA

Exponential Moving Average

BUY
EMA(20) 8.5
EMA(55) 8.46
EMA(100) 8.53

Current price (8.67) is above both Short MA (8.50) and Long MA (8.46). This indicates strong bullish momentum. Short MA (8.50) is above Long MA (8.46), a bullish crossover ('Golden Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates an upward trend. MAs (8.50, 8.46, 8.53) show mixed alignment, suggesting market indecision or range-bound activity. Consider long positions. Use the MAs as dynamic support levels.

NCA Technical Analysis 2025-07-08

MACD

Moving Average Convergence Divergence

BUY
MACD Line(12) 0.04
Signal Line(26) 0.02
Histogram(9) 0.02

MACD line is above the Signal line (bullish crossover). This indicates upward momentum. Histogram (0.0200) is positive and expanding, confirming bullish momentum. Both MACD and Signal lines are above the zero line, reinforcing bullish momentum (bullish territory). This is a strong buy signal. Consider long positions.

NCA Technical Analysis 2025-07-08

ADX

Average Directional Index

NEUTRAL
ADX(14) 15.85
+DI 24.25
-DI 11.27

ADX (15.85) indicates a weak or non-existent trend (ranging market). +DI (24.25) is above -DI (11.27), suggesting a bullish directional bias. Avoid trend-following strategies. Consider range-bound or reversal strategies, or wait for a clearer trend to develop.

Momentum Measurement

RSI (2025-07-08)

Relative Strength Index

BUY
Current RSI(14) 64.56
Oversold Neutral Overbought

RSI (64.56) is in the bullish territory, but not yet overbought. This indicates upward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of weakness.

OBV (2025-07-08)

On-Balance Volume

Rising
OBV Trend Upward
OBV vs Price Confirming

OBV (-280259.00) is rising, indicating buying pressure and accumulation. Price is rising and OBV is rising. This is bullish confirmation, indicating buying pressure supports the price increase. Consider holding long positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.

Stochastic (2025-07-08)

Stochastic Oscillator

SELL
%K Line 81.44
%D Line 85.73

Stochastics (%K: 81.44, %D: 85.73) are in the overbought zone (above 80). This suggests the asset may be losing upward momentum. A bearish crossover (%K below %D) is observed, potentially signaling a downward trend reversal or continuation. Stronger signal if this occurs above 50. This is a strong sell signal, indicating potential downside.

CCI (2025-07-08)

Commodity Channel Index

SELL
CCI(20) 138.89

CCI (138.89) is above +100. This suggests a strong upward momentum and an overbought condition. Consider profit-taking or looking for short entries cautiously. Confirm with price action; if price is making higher highs, momentum is strong. Look for pullbacks to enter long.

Volatility Measurement

ATR (2025-07-08)

Average True Range

0.09
ATR(14) 0.09
ATR % of Price ...%

Current ATR is 0.0900. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.

Bollinger Bands (2025-07-08)

Volatility Bands

SELL
Upper Band 8.66
Middle Band (MA20) 8.5
Lower Band 8.35
Band Width 4%

Current price (8.67) is above the Upper Bollinger Band (8.66). This often indicates an overextended move and a potential reversal downwards, or strong upward momentum ('walking the band'). Consider shorting or taking profit on long positions, but confirm with other indicators.

Risk Management & Potential Reversals (NCA)

SAR (2025-07-08)

Parabolic Stop and Reverse

BUY
Current SAR 8.35
Distance from Price 3.69%

SAR points below price indicate bullish trend. Current SAR at 8.35 is 3.69% from price. Consider SAR as a potential stop-loss level to protect gains in an uptrend.

Stochastic (2025-07-08)

Overbought

Approaching Overbought
Stochastic Position 81.4
Crossover Status Bearish

Stochastic is in overbought territory (81.4). Monitor for potential bearish crossover or movement below 80, which could signal a reversal. Current crossover status: Bearish.

RSI (2025-07-08)

Reversal Perspective

No Divergence
RSI Divergence None
Overbought/Oversold Neither

Current RSI level is in neutral territory. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.

Bollinger Bands (2025-07-08)

Reversal Perspective

Overbought/Strong Trend
Band Position Above Upper Band
Band Squeeze None

Bands show normal bandwidth. Price is above the upper band, indicating overbought conditions or strong upward momentum. Expect a potential pullback or trend exhaustion.No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.

Holder List Top 20 (NCA)

Holder Name Holder Type Shares Pct. Held Date Reported
Morgan Stanley INSTITUTIONAL 1727763 5.22% 2025-03-31
UBS Group AG INSTITUTIONAL 1178860 3.56% 2025-03-31
Guggenheim Capital, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 643844 1.94% 2025-03-31
Advisors Asset Management, Inc. INSTITUTIONAL 638123 1.93% 2025-03-31
1607 Capital Partners, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 379495 1.15% 2025-03-31
Wells Fargo & Company INSTITUTIONAL 335211 1.01% 2025-03-31
LPL Financial LLC INSTITUTIONAL 294124 0.89% 2025-03-31
First Foundation Advisors INSTITUTIONAL 234392 0.71% 2025-03-31
Hennion & Walsh Asset Management, Inc. INSTITUTIONAL 223042 0.67% 2025-03-31
Royal Bank of Canada INSTITUTIONAL 144263 0.44% 2025-03-31
Rydex Variable Trust-Multi-Hedge Strategies Fund MUTUALFUND 356 0% 2025-03-31
Rydex Series Funds-Guggenheim Multi-Hedge Strategies Fund MUTUALFUND 274 0% 2025-03-31
insidersPercentHeld MAJOR 0%
institutionsPercentHeld MAJOR 0%
institutionsFloatPercentHeld MAJOR 0%
institutionsCount MAJOR 0%