NLY Annaly Capital Management, Inc.

REIT - Mortgage NYSE

$19.41 -0.05 (-0.26%)
update: 2025-07-01
Prev Close $19.45
Market Cap $11.6B
Day Range $19.26 - $19.58
Open $19.52
P/E Ratio 21.1
52W Change 0.36%
24H Volume 11.4M
Dividend Yield 14.42%
EPS 2.82036
DAY WEEK PRICE LEVEL

Trading Signals

Overall Signal

SELL

Strong sellish signal based on multiple indicators.

Confidence: 12.8%
Updated: 2025-07-01

Key Price Levels

Support Levels

  • Strong Support $18.53
  • Medium Support $18.83
  • Weak Support $19.12

Resistance Levels

  • Weak Resistance $19.7
  • Medium Resistance $19.99
  • Strong Resistance $20.29

Stop Loss Suggestions

  • Conservative $19.64
  • Moderate $19.85
  • Aggressive $20.14

Analyst Ratings

Current Rating

Strong Buy 4
Buy 5
Hold 5
Sell 0
Strong Sell 0

Chart Analyst Ratings Loading

Last Month

Strong Buy 4
Buy 5
Hold 5
Sell 0
Strong Sell 0

2 Months Ago

Strong Buy 4
Buy 5
Hold 5
Sell 0
Strong Sell 0

3 Months Ago

Strong Buy
Buy
Hold
Sell
Strong Sell

Signal Indicator

Indicator Signal Strength Timeframe
Moving Averages NEUTRAL
Short & Medium Term
Oscillators BUY
Short Term
Trend Indicators BUY
Short & Medium Term
Volume Indicators SELL
Short & Medium Term
Support/Resistance NEUTRAL
Short Term
Data Source: Consolidated ratings from various investment bank analysts. Ratings may change over time.

Stock Price Prediction Price Target Probabilities

Quarterly Outlook

NLY Quarterly Outlook
2025-07-01

Bullish Scenario

Probability 20.33%
from current 9.17%
Prediction $21

Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (15.69) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (52.75) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.07) is below Signal line (0.13) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.89, indicating the average weekly price range.

NLY Quarterly Outlook
2025-07-01

Base Scenario

Probability 53.85%
from current -1.15%
Prediction $19

Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (15.69) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (52.75) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.07) is below Signal line (0.13) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.89, indicating the average weekly price range.

NLY Quarterly Outlook
2025-07-01

Bearish Scenario

Probability 25.82%
from current -9.17%
Prediction $18

Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (15.69) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (52.75) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.07) is below Signal line (0.13) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.89, indicating the average weekly price range.

Annual Outlook

NLY Annual Outlook
2025-07-01

Bullish Scenario

Probability 20.33%
from current 18.34%
Prediction $23

Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (15.69) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (52.75) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.07) is below Signal line (0.13) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.89, indicating the average weekly price range.

NLY Annual Outlook
2025-07-01

Base Scenario

Probability 53.85%
from current -2.29%
Prediction $19

Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (15.69) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (52.75) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.07) is below Signal line (0.13) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.89, indicating the average weekly price range.

NLY Annual Outlook
2025-07-01

Bearish Scenario

Probability 25.82%
from current -18.34%
Prediction $16

Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (15.69) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (52.75) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.07) is below Signal line (0.13) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.89, indicating the average weekly price range.

Technical Analysis

Trend Identification

EMA

Exponential Moving Average

NEUTRAL
EMA(20) 19.16
EMA(55) 19
EMA(100) 19.91

Current price (19.41) is above both Short MA (19.16) and Long MA (19.00). This indicates strong bullish momentum. Short MA (19.16) is above Long MA (19.00), a bullish crossover ('Golden Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates an upward trend. MAs (19.16, 19.00, 19.91) show mixed alignment, suggesting market indecision or range-bound activity. Consider long positions. Use the MAs as dynamic support levels.

MACD

Moving Average Convergence Divergence

BUY
MACD Line(12) 0.04
Signal Line(26) 0.01
Histogram(9) 0.03

MACD line is above the Signal line (bullish crossover). This indicates upward momentum. Histogram (0.0300) is positive and expanding, confirming bullish momentum. Both MACD and Signal lines are above the zero line, reinforcing bullish momentum (bullish territory). This is a strong buy signal. Consider long positions.

ADX

Average Directional Index

NEUTRAL
ADX(14) 11.11
+DI 20.48
-DI 20.94

ADX (11.11) indicates a weak or non-existent trend (ranging market). -DI (20.94) is above +DI (20.48), suggesting a bearish directional bias. Avoid trend-following strategies. Consider range-bound or reversal strategies, or wait for a clearer trend to develop.

Momentum Measurement

RSI

Relative Strength Index

BUY
Current RSI(14) 54.75
Oversold Neutral Overbought

RSI (54.75) is in the bullish territory, but not yet overbought. This indicates upward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of weakness.

OBV

On-Balance Volume

Rising
OBV Trend Upward
OBV vs Price Confirming

OBV (-42618400.00) is falling, indicating selling pressure and distribution. Price is falling and OBV is falling. This is bearish confirmation, indicating selling pressure supports the price decrease. Consider holding short positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.

Stochastic

Stochastic Oscillator

NEUTRAL
%K Line 83.4
%D Line 81.28

Stochastics (%K: 83.40, %D: 81.28) are in the overbought zone (above 80). This suggests the asset may be losing upward momentum. A bullish crossover (%K above %D) is observed. This indicates upward momentum. Be cautious if it's already in the overbought region.

CCI

Commodity Channel Index

SELL
CCI(20) 101.83

CCI (101.83) is above +100. This suggests a strong upward momentum and an overbought condition. Consider profit-taking or looking for short entries cautiously. Confirm with price action; if price is making higher highs, momentum is strong. Look for pullbacks to enter long.

Volatility Measurement

ATR

Average True Range

0.31
ATR(14) 0.31
ATR % of Price ...%

Current ATR is 0.3100. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility Bands

BUY
Upper Band 19.57
Middle Band (MA20) 19.16
Lower Band 18.75
Band Width 4%

Current price (19.41) is within the Bollinger Bands (18.75 - 19.57). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is above the Middle Band (19.16), indicating short-term bullish bias.

Risk Management & Potential Reversals

SAR

Parabolic Stop and Reverse

BUY
Current SAR 18.76
Distance from Price 3.35%

SAR points below price indicate bullish trend. Current SAR at 18.76 is 3.35% from price. Consider SAR as a potential stop-loss level to protect gains in an uptrend.

RSI

Reversal Perspective

No Divergence
RSI Divergence None
Overbought/Oversold Neither

Current RSI level is in neutral territory. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.

Stochastic

Overbought

Approaching Overbought
Stochastic Position 83.4
Crossover Status No Crossover

Stochastic is in overbought territory (83.4). Monitor for potential bearish crossover or movement below 80, which could signal a reversal.

Bollinger Bands

Reversal Perspective

Bullish Bias
Band Position Upper Half
Band Squeeze None

Bands show normal bandwidth. Price is in the upper half of the bands, suggesting a bullish bias.No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.

Holder List (Top 20)

Holder Name Holder Type Shares Pct. Held Date Reported
Blackrock Inc. INSTITUTIONAL 65734109 10.91% 2025-03-31
Vanguard Group Inc INSTITUTIONAL 56356579 9.36% 2025-03-31
Price (T.Rowe) Associates Inc INSTITUTIONAL 31946360 5.3% 2025-03-31
State Street Corporation INSTITUTIONAL 22072171 3.66% 2025-03-31
iShares Trust-iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap ETF MUTUALFUND 18725968 3.11% 2025-04-30
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund MUTUALFUND 18275902 3.03% 2025-03-31
Allspring Global Investments Holdings, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 18016915 2.99% 2025-03-31
ALLSPRING FUNDS TRUST-Allspring Special Mid Cap Value Fund MUTUALFUND 14430599 2.4% 2025-04-30
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Small-Cap Index Fund MUTUALFUND 14429829 2.4% 2025-03-31
Geode Capital Management, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 13976971 2.32% 2025-03-31
-Price (T.Rowe) U.S. Value Equity Trust MUTUALFUND 9515572 1.58% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Small-Cap Value Index Fund MUTUALFUND 9352587 1.55% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Extended Market Index Fund MUTUALFUND 8903672 1.48% 2025-03-31
T. Rowe Price Value Fund, Inc. MUTUALFUND 8271909 1.37% 2025-03-31
Northern Trust Corporation INSTITUTIONAL 7346340 1.22% 2025-03-31
NORGES BANK INSTITUTIONAL 6961567 1.16% 2024-12-31
T. Rowe Price Mid-Cap Value Fund, Inc. MUTUALFUND 6380666 1.06% 2025-03-31
iShares Trust-iShares Mortgage Real Estate ETF MUTUALFUND 5748707 0.95% 2025-04-30
Shaw D.E. & Co., Inc. INSTITUTIONAL 4910685 0.82% 2025-03-31
FMR, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 4808797 0.8% 2025-03-31