ORLY O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.
Auto Parts NasdaqGS
Trading Signals (ORLY)
Overall Signal
SELL
Strong sellish signal based on multiple indicators.
Key Price Levels
Support Levels
- Strong Support $87.1
- Medium Support $88.86
- Weak Support $90.62
Resistance Levels
- Weak Resistance $94.14
- Medium Resistance $95.9
- Strong Resistance $97.66
Stop Loss Suggestions
- Conservative $102.01
- Moderate $95.02
- Aggressive $96.78
Analyst Ratings
Current Rating
Last Month
2 Months Ago
3 Months Ago
Signal Indicator
| Indicator | Signal | Strength | Timeframe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moving Averages | NEUTRAL |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Oscillators | BUY |
|
Short Term |
| Trend Indicators | SELL |
|
Medium Term |
| Volume Indicators | SELL |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Support/Resistance | NEUTRAL |
|
Short Term |
Stock Price Prediction Price Target Probabilities (ORLY)
Quarterly Outlook :
2025-07-11
Bullish Scenario
from current 235.05%
Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (42.02) indicates a strong trend. -DI > +DI suggests strong bearish directional bias. RSI (11.68) is in the oversold zone, suggesting potential for price bounce. MACD line (-285.92) is below Signal line (-128.17) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 108.57, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-07-11
Base Scenario
from current -67.16%
Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (42.02) indicates a strong trend. -DI > +DI suggests strong bearish directional bias. RSI (11.68) is in the oversold zone, suggesting potential for price bounce. MACD line (-285.92) is below Signal line (-128.17) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 108.57, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-07-11
Bearish Scenario
from current -293.81%
Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (42.02) indicates a strong trend. -DI > +DI suggests strong bearish directional bias. RSI (11.68) is in the oversold zone, suggesting potential for price bounce. MACD line (-285.92) is below Signal line (-128.17) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 108.57, indicating the average weekly price range.
Annual Outlook
2025-07-11
Bullish Scenario
from current 470.1%
Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (42.02) indicates a strong trend. -DI > +DI suggests strong bearish directional bias. RSI (11.68) is in the oversold zone, suggesting potential for price bounce. MACD line (-285.92) is below Signal line (-128.17) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 108.57, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-07-11
Base Scenario
from current -134.31%
Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (42.02) indicates a strong trend. -DI > +DI suggests strong bearish directional bias. RSI (11.68) is in the oversold zone, suggesting potential for price bounce. MACD line (-285.92) is below Signal line (-128.17) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 108.57, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-07-11
Bearish Scenario
from current -587.63%
Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (42.02) indicates a strong trend. -DI > +DI suggests strong bearish directional bias. RSI (11.68) is in the oversold zone, suggesting potential for price bounce. MACD line (-285.92) is below Signal line (-128.17) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 108.57, indicating the average weekly price range.
Technical Analysis (ORLY)
Trend Identification
EMA
Exponential Moving Average
Current price (92.38) is between Short MA (90.11) and Long MA (669.23), or near one of them. This suggests consolidation or mixed signals. Short MA (90.11) is below Long MA (669.23), a bearish crossover ('Death Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates a downward trend. MAs (90.11, 669.23, 942.53) show mixed alignment, suggesting market indecision or range-bound activity. Market is in a choppy or sideways phase. Wait for a clearer trend to emerge before taking directional trades.
MACD
Moving Average Convergence Divergence
MACD line is above the Signal line (bullish crossover). This indicates upward momentum. Histogram (35.9700) is positive and expanding, confirming bullish momentum. Both MACD and Signal lines are below the zero line, reinforcing bearish momentum (bearish territory). A bullish crossover below the zero line can indicate a reversal from a prior downtrend. Consider this as a potential early buy signal.
ADX
Average Directional Index
ADX (77.69) indicates a strong trend is present. -DI (73.75) is above +DI (8.28), suggesting a bearish directional bias. This combination points to a strong downward trend. Consider taking short positions, as the strong downward trend is confirmed.
Momentum Measurement
RSI (2025-07-11)
Relative Strength Index
RSI (11.33) is in the oversold zone. This suggests the asset may be due for a price bounce or a trend reversal upwards. Consider buying opportunities cautiously.
OBV (2025-07-11)
On-Balance Volume
OBV (34145825.00) is falling, indicating selling pressure and distribution. Price is falling and OBV is falling. This is bearish confirmation, indicating selling pressure supports the price decrease. Consider holding short positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.
Stochastic (2025-07-11)
Stochastic Oscillator
Stochastics (%K: 78.70, %D: 82.94) are in the neutral zone (between 20 and 80). A bearish crossover (%K below %D) is observed, potentially signaling a downward trend reversal or continuation. Stronger signal if this occurs above 50.
CCI (2025-07-11)
Commodity Channel Index
CCI (127.76) is above +100. This suggests a strong upward momentum and an overbought condition. Consider profit-taking or looking for short entries cautiously. Confirm with price action; if price is making higher highs, momentum is strong. Look for pullbacks to enter long.
Volatility Measurement
ATR (2025-07-11)
Average True Range
Current ATR is 12.7800. ATR indicates significantly low volatility. This may suggest consolidation, sideways movement, or a potential upcoming breakout (low volatility often precedes high volatility). Low volatility can lead to tighter stop-loss placements. Prepare for a potential expansion of price range. Consider using ATR to set dynamic stop-loss levels (e.g., 2 * ATR below entry for long positions).
Bollinger Bands (2025-07-11)
Volatility Bands
Current price (92.38) is within the Bollinger Bands (87.13 - 93.08). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is above the Middle Band (90.11), indicating short-term bullish bias.
Risk Management & Potential Reversals (ORLY)
SAR (2025-07-11)
Parabolic Stop and Reverse
SAR points above price indicate bearish trend. Current SAR at 102.01 is 10.42% from price. Consider SAR as a potential take-profit level or to confirm a downtrend.
Stochastic (2025-07-11)
Approaching Overbought
Stochastic is approaching overbought territory (78.7). No reversal signal yet. Monitor for potential bearish crossover (K below D) or entry into overbought (80+) followed by reversal. Current crossover status: Bearish.
RSI (2025-07-11)
Reversal Perspective
Current RSI level suggests oversold conditions, indicating potential for a bullish reversal. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.
Bollinger Bands (2025-07-11)
Reversal Perspective
Bands show normal bandwidth. Price is in the upper half of the bands, suggesting a bullish bias.No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.
Holder List Top 20 (ORLY)
| Holder Name | Holder Type | Shares | Pct. Held | Date Reported |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Group Inc | INSTITUTIONAL | 78575940 | 137.82% | 2025-03-31 |
| Blackrock Inc. | INSTITUTIONAL | 62328885 | 109.32% | 2025-03-31 |
| State Street Corporation | INSTITUTIONAL | 36588450 | 64.18% | 2025-03-31 |
| Wellington Management Group, LLP | INSTITUTIONAL | 28869045 | 50.64% | 2025-03-31 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 27350190 | 47.97% | 2025-03-31 |
| Principal Financial Group, Inc. | INSTITUTIONAL | 26566170 | 46.6% | 2025-03-31 |
| FMR, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 24017295 | 42.13% | 2025-03-31 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard 500 Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 23947965 | 42% | 2025-03-31 |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 23018175 | 40.37% | 2025-03-31 |
| Bank Of New York Mellon Corporation | INSTITUTIONAL | 18673845 | 32.75% | 2025-03-31 |
| Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 | MUTUALFUND | 17513190 | 30.72% | 2025-04-30 |
| Morgan Stanley | INSTITUTIONAL | 17122725 | 30.03% | 2025-03-31 |
| Principal Funds, Inc-MidCap Fund (f/k/a MidCap Blend Fund) | MUTUALFUND | 15337650 | 26.9% | 2025-01-31 |
| Principal Funds, Inc-MidCap Fund | MUTUALFUND | 14829825 | 26.01% | 2025-04-30 |
| Akre Capital Management, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 12958650 | 22.73% | 2025-03-31 |
| Fidelity Concord Street Trust-Fidelity 500 Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 10830930 | 19% | 2025-04-30 |
| SPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUST | MUTUALFUND | 10385055 | 18.22% | 2025-04-30 |
| iShares Trust-iShares Core S&P 500 ETF | MUTUALFUND | 10213845 | 17.91% | 2025-04-30 |
| VANGUARD WELLINGTON FUND | MUTUALFUND | 10142250 | 17.79% | 2025-02-28 |
| Professionally Managed Portfolios-Akre Focus Fund | MUTUALFUND | 9825000 | 17.23% | 2025-01-31 |