PAYX Paychex, Inc.

Software - Application NasdaqGS

$143.94 +2.93 (2.04%)
update: 2025-06-29
Prev Close $141
Market Cap $52.8B
Day Range $140.83 - $144.56
Open $141.21
P/E Ratio 30.48
52W Change 22.07%
24H Volume 3.85M
Dividend Yield 2.67%
EPS 4.99227
DAY WEEK PRICE LEVEL

Trading Signals

Overall Signal

SELL

Strong sellish signal based on multiple indicators.

Confidence: 28.8%
Updated: 2025-06-29

Key Price Levels

Support Levels

  • Strong Support $132.51
  • Medium Support $136.32
  • Weak Support $140.13

Resistance Levels

  • Weak Resistance $147.75
  • Medium Resistance $151.56
  • Strong Resistance $155.37

Stop Loss Suggestions

  • Conservative $150.37
  • Moderate $149.66
  • Aggressive $153.47

Analyst Ratings

Current Rating

Strong Buy 0
Buy 1
Hold 13
Sell 1
Strong Sell 3

Chart Analyst Ratings Loading

Last Month

Strong Buy 0
Buy 1
Hold 13
Sell 1
Strong Sell 3

2 Months Ago

Strong Buy 0
Buy 1
Hold 13
Sell 1
Strong Sell 3

3 Months Ago

Strong Buy 0
Buy 1
Hold 13
Sell 1
Strong Sell 3

Signal Indicator

Indicator Signal Strength Timeframe
Moving Averages SELL
Short & Medium Term
Oscillators SELL
Short Term
Trend Indicators SELL
Medium Term
Volume Indicators BUY
Short & Medium Term
Support/Resistance NEUTRAL
Short Term
Data Source: Consolidated ratings from various investment bank analysts. Ratings may change over time.

Stock Price Prediction Price Target Probabilities

Quarterly Outlook

PAYX Quarterly Outlook
2025-06-29

Bullish Scenario

Probability 9.3%
from current 9.66%
Prediction $158

Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (21.87) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (46.54) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (3.13) is below Signal line (3.83) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 6.95, indicating the average weekly price range.

PAYX Quarterly Outlook
2025-06-29

Base Scenario

Probability 44.19%
from current -4.83%
Prediction $137

Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (21.87) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (46.54) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (3.13) is below Signal line (3.83) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 6.95, indicating the average weekly price range.

PAYX Quarterly Outlook
2025-06-29

Bearish Scenario

Probability 46.51%
from current -12.07%
Prediction $127

Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (21.87) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (46.54) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (3.13) is below Signal line (3.83) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 6.95, indicating the average weekly price range.

Annual Outlook

PAYX Annual Outlook
2025-06-29

Bullish Scenario

Probability 9.3%
from current 19.31%
Prediction $172

Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (21.87) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (46.54) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (3.13) is below Signal line (3.83) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 6.95, indicating the average weekly price range.

PAYX Annual Outlook
2025-06-29

Base Scenario

Probability 44.19%
from current -9.66%
Prediction $130

Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (21.87) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (46.54) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (3.13) is below Signal line (3.83) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 6.95, indicating the average weekly price range.

PAYX Annual Outlook
2025-06-29

Bearish Scenario

Probability 46.51%
from current -24.14%
Prediction $109

Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (21.87) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (46.54) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (3.13) is below Signal line (3.83) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 6.95, indicating the average weekly price range.

Technical Analysis

Trend Identification

EMA

Exponential Moving Average

SELL
EMA(20) 152.86
EMA(55) 150.57
EMA(100) 149.93

Current price (143.94) is below both Short MA (152.86) and Long MA (150.57). This indicates strong bearish momentum. Short MA (152.86) is above Long MA (150.57), a bullish crossover ('Golden Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates an upward trend. MAs (152.86, 150.57, 149.93) show mixed alignment, suggesting market indecision or range-bound activity.

MACD

Moving Average Convergence Divergence

SELL
MACD Line(12) -2.66
Signal Line(26) -1.01
Histogram(9) -1.65

MACD line is below the Signal line (bearish crossover). This indicates downward momentum. Histogram (-1.6500) is negative and expanding, confirming bearish momentum. Both MACD and Signal lines are below the zero line, reinforcing bearish momentum (bearish territory). This is a strong sell signal. Consider short positions.

ADX

Average Directional Index

SELL
ADX(14) 24.28
+DI 19.14
-DI 41.63

ADX (24.28) indicates a developing or weakening trend. -DI (41.63) is above +DI (19.14), suggesting a bearish directional bias. Be cautious with current positions. Monitor for trend continuation or reversal signals.

Momentum Measurement

RSI

Relative Strength Index

SELL
Current RSI(14) 37.78
Oversold Neutral Overbought

RSI (37.78) is in the bearish territory, but not yet oversold. This indicates downward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of strength.

OBV

On-Balance Volume

Rising
OBV Trend Upward
OBV vs Price Confirming

OBV (1813500.00) is rising, indicating buying pressure and accumulation. Price is rising and OBV is rising. This is bullish confirmation, indicating buying pressure supports the price increase. Consider holding long positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.

Stochastic

Stochastic Oscillator

SELL
%K Line 25.99
%D Line 31.99

Stochastics (%K: 25.99, %D: 31.99) are in the neutral zone (between 20 and 80). A bearish crossover (%K below %D) is observed. This indicates downward momentum. Be cautious if it's already in the oversold region.

CCI

Commodity Channel Index

BUY
CCI(20) -118.91

CCI (-118.91) is below -100. This suggests a strong downward momentum and an oversold condition. Consider buying or looking for long entries cautiously. Confirm with price action; if price is making lower lows, momentum is strong. Look for rallies to enter short.

Volatility Measurement

ATR

Average True Range

3.41
ATR(14) 3.41
ATR % of Price ...%

Current ATR is 3.4100. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility Bands

SELL
Upper Band 164.68
Middle Band (MA20) 152.86
Lower Band 141.03
Band Width 16%

Current price (143.94) is within the Bollinger Bands (141.03 - 164.68). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is below the Middle Band (152.86), indicating short-term bearish bias. Bollinger Bands are wide. This indicates high volatility. Prices tend to revert to the mean after extended periods of high volatility.

Risk Management & Potential Reversals

SAR

Parabolic Stop and Reverse

SELL
Current SAR 150.37
Distance from Price 4.47%

SAR points above price indicate bearish trend. Current SAR at 150.37 is 4.47% from price. Consider SAR as a potential take-profit level or to confirm a downtrend.

RSI

Reversal Perspective

No Divergence
RSI Divergence None
Overbought/Oversold Neither

Current RSI level is in neutral territory. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.

Stochastic

Approaching Oversold

Approaching Overbought
Stochastic Position 26.0
Crossover Status Bearish

Stochastic is approaching oversold territory (26.0). No reversal signal yet. Monitor for potential bullish crossover (K above D) or entry into oversold (20-) followed by reversal. Current crossover status: Bearish.

Bollinger Bands

Reversal Perspective

Bearish Bias
Band Position Lower Half
Band Squeeze None

Bollinger Bands are widening, indicating high volatility and potential strong trend continuation.Price is in the lower half of the bands, suggesting a bearish bias.No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.

Holder List (Top 20)

Holder Name Holder Type Shares Pct. Held Date Reported
Vanguard Group Inc INSTITUTIONAL 31807843 8.83% 2025-03-31
Blackrock Inc. INSTITUTIONAL 27130381 7.53% 2025-03-31
Capital International Investors INSTITUTIONAL 25659515 7.12% 2025-03-31
State Street Corporation INSTITUTIONAL 13710773 3.81% 2025-03-31
Charles Schwab Investment Management, Inc. INSTITUTIONAL 10782173 2.99% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund MUTUALFUND 10245656 2.84% 2025-03-31
Geode Capital Management, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 9908924 2.75% 2025-03-31
Wells Fargo & Company INSTITUTIONAL 9337161 2.59% 2025-03-31
Bank Of New York Mellon Corporation INSTITUTIONAL 9070548 2.52% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard 500 Index Fund MUTUALFUND 8904344 2.47% 2025-03-31
WASHINGTON MUTUAL INVESTORS FUND MUTUALFUND 8700909 2.42% 2025-03-31
SCHWAB STRATEGIC TRUST-Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF MUTUALFUND 8438445 2.34% 2025-02-28
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 MUTUALFUND 7342689 2.04% 2025-04-30
Morgan Stanley INSTITUTIONAL 5976037 1.66% 2025-03-31
Bank of America Corporation INSTITUTIONAL 5875359 1.63% 2025-03-31
AMERICAN MUTUAL FUND MUTUALFUND 4196815 1.17% 2025-03-31
Fidelity Concord Street Trust-Fidelity 500 Index Fund MUTUALFUND 4025422 1.12% 2025-04-30
SPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUST MUTUALFUND 3860543 1.07% 2025-04-30
iShares Trust-iShares Core S&P 500 ETF MUTUALFUND 3796189 1.05% 2025-04-30
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Growth Index Fund MUTUALFUND 3641825 1.01% 2025-03-31