PROV Provident Financial Holdings, Inc.
Banks - Regional NasdaqGS
Trading Signals (PROV)
Overall Signal
BUY
Strong buyish signal based on multiple indicators.
Key Price Levels
Support Levels
- Strong Support $14.26
- Medium Support $14.71
- Weak Support $15.16
Resistance Levels
- Weak Resistance $16.06
- Medium Resistance $16.51
- Strong Resistance $16.96
Stop Loss Suggestions
- Conservative $15.1
- Moderate $14.94
- Aggressive $14.49
Analyst Ratings
Current Rating
Last Month
2 Months Ago
3 Months Ago
Signal Indicator
| Indicator | Signal | Strength | Timeframe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moving Averages | BUY |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Oscillators | BUY |
|
Short Term |
| Trend Indicators | NEUTRAL |
|
Medium Term |
| Volume Indicators | SELL |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Support/Resistance | NEUTRAL |
|
Short Term |
Stock Price Prediction Price Target Probabilities (PROV)
Quarterly Outlook :
2025-07-05
Bullish Scenario
from current 11.53%
Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (22.25) indicates a developing or moderate trend. +DI > -DI suggests bullish directional bias. RSI (58.16) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.24) is above Signal line (0.15) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.72, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-07-05
Base Scenario
from current 4.61%
Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (22.25) indicates a developing or moderate trend. +DI > -DI suggests bullish directional bias. RSI (58.16) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.24) is above Signal line (0.15) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.72, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-07-05
Bearish Scenario
from current -9.22%
Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (22.25) indicates a developing or moderate trend. +DI > -DI suggests bullish directional bias. RSI (58.16) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.24) is above Signal line (0.15) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.72, indicating the average weekly price range.
Annual Outlook
2025-07-05
Bullish Scenario
from current 23.06%
Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (22.25) indicates a developing or moderate trend. +DI > -DI suggests bullish directional bias. RSI (58.16) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.24) is above Signal line (0.15) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.72, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-07-05
Base Scenario
from current 9.22%
Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (22.25) indicates a developing or moderate trend. +DI > -DI suggests bullish directional bias. RSI (58.16) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.24) is above Signal line (0.15) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.72, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-07-05
Bearish Scenario
from current -18.45%
Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (22.25) indicates a developing or moderate trend. +DI > -DI suggests bullish directional bias. RSI (58.16) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.24) is above Signal line (0.15) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.72, indicating the average weekly price range.
Technical Analysis (PROV)
Trend Identification
EMA
Exponential Moving Average
Current price (15.61) is above both Short MA (15.50) and Long MA (15.11). This indicates strong bullish momentum. Short MA (15.50) is above Long MA (15.11), a bullish crossover ('Golden Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates an upward trend. All MAs are in bullish order (Price > Short MA > Long MA > Very Long MA 14.99). This is a strong bullish alignment. Consider long positions. Use the MAs as dynamic support levels.
MACD
Moving Average Convergence Divergence
MACD line is crossing the Signal line. This is a crucial point, signaling a potential trend change. Monitor closely. Both MACD and Signal lines are above the zero line, reinforcing bullish momentum (bullish territory).
ADX
Average Directional Index
ADX (18.76) indicates a weak or non-existent trend (ranging market). +DI (16.67) is above -DI (11.45), suggesting a bullish directional bias. Avoid trend-following strategies. Consider range-bound or reversal strategies, or wait for a clearer trend to develop.
Momentum Measurement
RSI (2025-07-05)
Relative Strength Index
RSI (54.15) is in the bullish territory, but not yet overbought. This indicates upward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of weakness.
OBV (2025-07-05)
On-Balance Volume
OBV (-185669.00) is falling, indicating selling pressure and distribution. Price is falling and OBV is falling. This is bearish confirmation, indicating selling pressure supports the price decrease. Consider holding short positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.
Stochastic (2025-07-05)
Stochastic Oscillator
Stochastics (%K: 66.58, %D: 68.94) are in the neutral zone (between 20 and 80). A bearish crossover (%K below %D) is observed, potentially signaling a downward trend reversal or continuation. Stronger signal if this occurs above 50.
CCI (2025-07-05)
Commodity Channel Index
CCI (82.00) is between 0 and +100. This indicates bullish momentum is present, but not yet extreme. A move above 0 from negative territory (bullish zero-line cross) can indicate a potential buy signal.
Volatility Measurement
ATR (2025-07-05)
Average True Range
Current ATR is 0.4100. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.
Bollinger Bands (2025-07-05)
Volatility Bands
Current price (15.61) is within the Bollinger Bands (15.15 - 15.85). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is above the Middle Band (15.50), indicating short-term bullish bias.
Risk Management & Potential Reversals (PROV)
SAR (2025-07-05)
Parabolic Stop and Reverse
SAR points below price indicate bullish trend. Current SAR at 15.10 is 3.27% from price. Consider SAR as a potential stop-loss level to protect gains in an uptrend.
Stochastic (2025-07-05)
Neutral
Stochastic is in neutral territory (66.6). No clear overbought/oversold signal.
RSI (2025-07-05)
Reversal Perspective
Current RSI level is in neutral territory. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.
Bollinger Bands (2025-07-05)
Reversal Perspective
Bands show normal bandwidth. Price is in the upper half of the bands, suggesting a bullish bias.No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.
Holder List Top 20 (PROV)
| Holder Name | Holder Type | Shares | Pct. Held | Date Reported |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dimensional Fund Advisors LP | INSTITUTIONAL | 488274 | 7.34% | 2025-03-31 |
| M3F, Inc. | INSTITUTIONAL | 438215 | 6.59% | 2025-03-31 |
| Raffles Associates Lp | INSTITUTIONAL | 393420 | 5.91% | 2025-03-31 |
| Manufacturers Life Insurance Co. | INSTITUTIONAL | 330012 | 4.96% | 2025-03-31 |
| Ameriprise Financial, Inc. | INSTITUTIONAL | 290354 | 4.36% | 2025-03-31 |
| Vanguard Group Inc | INSTITUTIONAL | 277306 | 4.17% | 2025-03-31 |
| Blackrock Inc. | INSTITUTIONAL | 274740 | 4.13% | 2025-03-31 |
| Renaissance Technologies, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 237247 | 3.57% | 2025-03-31 |
| Columbia Funds Series Trust I-Columbia Small Cap Value Fund I | MUTUALFUND | 206428 | 3.1% | 2025-01-31 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 178916 | 2.69% | 2025-03-31 |
| John Hancock Investment Trust II-Regional Bank Fund | MUTUALFUND | 171909 | 2.58% | 2025-04-30 |
| DFA INVESTMENT DIMENSIONS GROUP INC-U.S. SMALL CAP VALUE PORTFOLIO | MUTUALFUND | 170109 | 2.56% | 2025-01-31 |
| John Hancock Financial Opportunities Fund | MUTUALFUND | 108800 | 1.64% | 2025-04-30 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Extended Market Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 92550 | 1.39% | 2025-03-31 |
| Fourthstone LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 87654 | 1.32% | 2025-03-31 |
| DFA INVESTMENT DIMENSIONS GROUP INC-U.S. MICRO CAP PORTFOLIO | MUTUALFUND | 64625 | 0.97% | 2025-01-31 |
| Bridgeway Capital Management, Inc. | INSTITUTIONAL | 64284 | 0.97% | 2025-03-31 |
| Columbia Fd.s Varbl Insurance TRT-Columbia Varbl PORT. - Small Cap Val | MUTUALFUND | 53853 | 0.81% | 2025-03-31 |
| DFA INVESTMENT DIMENSIONS GROUP INC-U.S. Targeted Value Portfolio | MUTUALFUND | 48431 | 0.73% | 2025-01-31 |
| DFA INVESTMENT DIMENSIONS GROUP INC-U.S. SMALL CAP PORTFOLIO | MUTUALFUND | 45781 | 0.69% | 2025-01-31 |