RGLD Royal Gold, Inc.

Gold NasdaqGS

$177.84 +2.36 (1.33%)
update: 2025-07-02
Prev Close $175.47
Market Cap $11.71B
Day Range $174.38 - $178.08
Open $176.50
P/E Ratio 35.33
52W Change 45.62%
24H Volume 419.3K
Dividend Yield 1.01%
EPS 6.63153
DAY WEEK PRICE LEVEL

Trading Signals

Overall Signal

BUY

Strong buyish signal based on multiple indicators.

Confidence: 23.2%
Updated: 2025-07-02

Key Price Levels

Support Levels

  • Strong Support $164.46
  • Medium Support $168.92
  • Weak Support $173.38

Resistance Levels

  • Weak Resistance $182.3
  • Medium Resistance $186.76
  • Strong Resistance $191.22

Stop Loss Suggestions

  • Conservative $174.27
  • Moderate $171.15
  • Aggressive $166.69

Analyst Ratings

Current Rating

Strong Buy 4
Buy 4
Hold 2
Sell 0
Strong Sell 1

Chart Analyst Ratings Loading

Last Month

Strong Buy 4
Buy 4
Hold 2
Sell 0
Strong Sell 1

2 Months Ago

Strong Buy 4
Buy 4
Hold 2
Sell 0
Strong Sell 1

3 Months Ago

Strong Buy 3
Buy 4
Hold 2
Sell 0
Strong Sell 1

Signal Indicator

Indicator Signal Strength Timeframe
Moving Averages NEUTRAL
Short & Medium Term
Oscillators SELL
Short Term
Trend Indicators SELL
Short & Medium Term
Volume Indicators BUY
Short & Medium Term
Support/Resistance NEUTRAL
Short Term
Data Source: Consolidated ratings from various investment bank analysts. Ratings may change over time.

Stock Price Prediction Price Target Probabilities

Quarterly Outlook

RGLD Quarterly Outlook
2025-07-02

Bullish Scenario

Probability 38.6%
from current 14.14%
Prediction $203

Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (30.51) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (58.36) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (9.08) is below Signal line (9.72) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 10.06, indicating the average weekly price range.

RGLD Quarterly Outlook
2025-07-02

Base Scenario

Probability 44.19%
from current 2.26%
Prediction $182

Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (30.51) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (58.36) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (9.08) is below Signal line (9.72) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 10.06, indicating the average weekly price range.

RGLD Quarterly Outlook
2025-07-02

Bearish Scenario

Probability 17.21%
from current -11.31%
Prediction $158

Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (30.51) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (58.36) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (9.08) is below Signal line (9.72) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 10.06, indicating the average weekly price range.

Annual Outlook

RGLD Annual Outlook
2025-07-02

Bullish Scenario

Probability 38.6%
from current 28.28%
Prediction $228

Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (30.51) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (58.36) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (9.08) is below Signal line (9.72) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 10.06, indicating the average weekly price range.

RGLD Annual Outlook
2025-07-02

Base Scenario

Probability 44.19%
from current 4.53%
Prediction $186

Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (30.51) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (58.36) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (9.08) is below Signal line (9.72) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 10.06, indicating the average weekly price range.

RGLD Annual Outlook
2025-07-02

Bearish Scenario

Probability 17.21%
from current -22.63%
Prediction $138

Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (30.51) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (58.36) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (9.08) is below Signal line (9.72) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 10.06, indicating the average weekly price range.

Technical Analysis

Trend Identification

EMA

Exponential Moving Average

NEUTRAL
EMA(20) 179.56
EMA(55) 177.45
EMA(100) 167.51

Current price (177.84) is between Short MA (179.56) and Long MA (177.45), or near one of them. This suggests consolidation or mixed signals. Short MA (179.56) is above Long MA (177.45), a bullish crossover ('Golden Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates an upward trend. MAs (179.56, 177.45, 167.51) show mixed alignment, suggesting market indecision or range-bound activity. Market is in a choppy or sideways phase. Wait for a clearer trend to emerge before taking directional trades.

MACD

Moving Average Convergence Divergence

SELL
MACD Line(12) 0.11
Signal Line(26) 0.54
Histogram(9) -0.43

MACD line is below the Signal line (bearish crossover). This indicates downward momentum. Histogram (-0.4300) is negative and expanding, confirming bearish momentum. Both MACD and Signal lines are above the zero line, reinforcing bullish momentum (bullish territory). A bearish crossover above the zero line can indicate a reversal from a prior uptrend. Consider this as a potential early sell signal.

ADX

Average Directional Index

NEUTRAL
ADX(14) 14.4
+DI 23.83
-DI 23.41

ADX (14.40) indicates a weak or non-existent trend (ranging market). +DI (23.83) is above -DI (23.41), suggesting a bullish directional bias. Avoid trend-following strategies. Consider range-bound or reversal strategies, or wait for a clearer trend to develop.

Momentum Measurement

RSI

Relative Strength Index

SELL
Current RSI(14) 49.28
Oversold Neutral Overbought

RSI (49.28) is in the bearish territory, but not yet oversold. This indicates downward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of strength.

OBV

On-Balance Volume

Rising
OBV Trend Upward
OBV vs Price Confirming

OBV (15525500.00) is rising, indicating buying pressure and accumulation. Price is rising and OBV is rising. This is bullish confirmation, indicating buying pressure supports the price increase. Consider holding long positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.

Stochastic

Stochastic Oscillator

BUY
%K Line 47.94
%D Line 36.27

Stochastics (%K: 47.94, %D: 36.27) are in the neutral zone (between 20 and 80). A bullish crossover (%K above %D) is observed, potentially signaling an upward trend reversal or continuation. Stronger signal if this occurs below 50.

CCI

Commodity Channel Index

SELL
CCI(20) -47.3

CCI (-47.30) is between -100 and 0. This indicates bearish momentum is present, but not yet extreme. A move below 0 from positive territory (bearish zero-line cross) can indicate a potential sell signal.

Volatility Measurement

ATR

Average True Range

4.65
ATR(14) 4.65
ATR % of Price ...%

Current ATR is 4.6500. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility Bands

SELL
Upper Band 186.69
Middle Band (MA20) 179.56
Lower Band 172.44
Band Width 8%

Current price (177.84) is within the Bollinger Bands (172.44 - 186.69). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is below the Middle Band (179.56), indicating short-term bearish bias.

Risk Management & Potential Reversals

SAR

Parabolic Stop and Reverse

SELL
Current SAR 185.11
Distance from Price 4.09%

SAR points above price indicate bearish trend. Current SAR at 185.11 is 4.09% from price. Consider SAR as a potential take-profit level or to confirm a downtrend.

Stochastic

Neutral

Approaching Overbought
Stochastic Position 47.9
Crossover Status Bullish

Stochastic is in neutral territory (47.9). No clear overbought/oversold signal. Current crossover status: Bullish.

RSI

Reversal Perspective

No Divergence
RSI Divergence None
Overbought/Oversold Neither

Current RSI level is in neutral territory. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.

Bollinger Bands

Reversal Perspective

Bearish Bias
Band Position Lower Half
Band Squeeze None

Bands show normal bandwidth. Price is in the lower half of the bands, suggesting a bearish bias.No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.

Holder List (Top 20)

Holder Name Holder Type Shares Pct. Held Date Reported
Capital World Investors INSTITUTIONAL 8775844 13.34% 2025-03-31
Blackrock Inc. INSTITUTIONAL 7041849 10.7% 2025-03-31
Vanguard Group Inc INSTITUTIONAL 6698891 10.18% 2025-03-31
AMERICAN BALANCED FUND MUTUALFUND 4269700 6.49% 2025-03-31
First Eagle Investment Management, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 3412401 5.19% 2025-03-31
State Street Corporation INSTITUTIONAL 3405205 5.17% 2025-03-31
Van Eck Associates Corporation INSTITUTIONAL 2862592 4.35% 2025-03-31
VanEck ETF Trust-VanEck Gold Miners ETF MUTUALFUND 2236370 3.4% 2025-04-30
iShares Trust-iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap ETF MUTUALFUND 2129132 3.24% 2025-04-30
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund MUTUALFUND 2081167 3.16% 2025-03-31
AMERICAN FUNDS FUNDAMENTAL INVESTORS MUTUALFUND 1798569 2.73% 2025-03-31
Geode Capital Management, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 1689784 2.57% 2025-03-31
AQR Capital Management, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 1682911 2.56% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Small-Cap Index Fund MUTUALFUND 1640706 2.49% 2025-03-31
First Eagle Funds-First Eagle Global Fund MUTUALFUND 1476988 2.24% 2025-01-31
AMERICAN FUNDS INSURANCE SERIES-Asset Allocation Fund MUTUALFUND 1405000 2.14% 2025-03-31
Findlay Park Partners LLP INSTITUTIONAL 1241030 1.89% 2025-03-31
Northern Trust Corporation INSTITUTIONAL 1024360 1.56% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Extended Market Index Fund MUTUALFUND 1012377 1.54% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index Fund MUTUALFUND 919919 1.4% 2025-03-31