RLI RLI Corp.

Insurance - Property & Casualty NYSE

$71.32 -0.46 (-0.64%)
update: 2025-06-29
Prev Close $71.77
Market Cap $6.71B
Day Range $70.90 - $72.05
Open $71.87
P/E Ratio 24.16
52W Change 1.99%
24H Volume 1.48M
Dividend Yield 0.82%
EPS 3.0625
DAY WEEK PRICE LEVEL

Trading Signals

Overall Signal

SELL

Strong sellish signal based on multiple indicators.

Confidence: 78%
Updated: 2025-06-29

Key Price Levels

Support Levels

  • Strong Support $67.55
  • Medium Support $68.8
  • Weak Support $70.06

Resistance Levels

  • Weak Resistance $72.58
  • Medium Resistance $73.84
  • Strong Resistance $75.09

Stop Loss Suggestions

  • Conservative $74.62
  • Moderate $73.21
  • Aggressive $74.46

Analyst Ratings

Current Rating

Strong Buy 1
Buy 1
Hold 5
Sell 1
Strong Sell 0

Chart Analyst Ratings Loading

Last Month

Strong Buy 1
Buy 2
Hold 5
Sell 1
Strong Sell 0

2 Months Ago

Strong Buy
Buy
Hold
Sell
Strong Sell

3 Months Ago

Strong Buy
Buy
Hold
Sell
Strong Sell

Signal Indicator

Indicator Signal Strength Timeframe
Moving Averages SELL
Short & Medium Term
Oscillators SELL
Short Term
Trend Indicators SELL
Medium Term
Volume Indicators SELL
Short & Medium Term
Support/Resistance NEUTRAL
Short Term
Data Source: Consolidated ratings from various investment bank analysts. Ratings may change over time.

Stock Price Prediction Price Target Probabilities

Quarterly Outlook

RLI Quarterly Outlook
2025-06-29

Bullish Scenario

Probability 9.3%
from current 9.67%
Prediction $78

Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (21.12) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (40.68) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.98) is below Signal line (-0.53) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 3.45, indicating the average weekly price range.

RLI Quarterly Outlook
2025-06-29

Base Scenario

Probability 44.19%
from current -4.84%
Prediction $68

Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (21.12) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (40.68) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.98) is below Signal line (-0.53) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 3.45, indicating the average weekly price range.

RLI Quarterly Outlook
2025-06-29

Bearish Scenario

Probability 46.51%
from current -12.09%
Prediction $63

Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (21.12) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (40.68) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.98) is below Signal line (-0.53) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 3.45, indicating the average weekly price range.

Annual Outlook

RLI Annual Outlook
2025-06-29

Bullish Scenario

Probability 9.3%
from current 19.35%
Prediction $85

Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (21.12) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (40.68) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.98) is below Signal line (-0.53) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 3.45, indicating the average weekly price range.

RLI Annual Outlook
2025-06-29

Base Scenario

Probability 44.19%
from current -9.67%
Prediction $64

Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (21.12) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (40.68) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.98) is below Signal line (-0.53) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 3.45, indicating the average weekly price range.

RLI Annual Outlook
2025-06-29

Bearish Scenario

Probability 46.51%
from current -24.19%
Prediction $54

Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (21.12) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (40.68) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.98) is below Signal line (-0.53) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 3.45, indicating the average weekly price range.

Technical Analysis

Trend Identification

EMA

Exponential Moving Average

SELL
EMA(20) 73.73
EMA(55) 74.92
EMA(100) 75.44

Current price (71.32) is below both Short MA (73.73) and Long MA (74.92). This indicates strong bearish momentum. Short MA (73.73) is below Long MA (74.92), a bearish crossover ('Death Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates a downward trend. All MAs are in bearish order (Price < Short MA < Long MA < Very Long MA 75.44). This is a strong bearish alignment. Consider short positions. Use the MAs as dynamic resistance levels.

MACD

Moving Average Convergence Divergence

SELL
MACD Line(12) -0.93
Signal Line(26) -0.73
Histogram(9) -0.2

MACD line is below the Signal line (bearish crossover). This indicates downward momentum. Histogram (-0.2000) is negative and expanding, confirming bearish momentum. Both MACD and Signal lines are below the zero line, reinforcing bearish momentum (bearish territory). This is a strong sell signal. Consider short positions.

ADX

Average Directional Index

SELL
ADX(14) 20.76
+DI 17.08
-DI 28.37

ADX (20.76) indicates a developing or weakening trend. -DI (28.37) is above +DI (17.08), suggesting a bearish directional bias. Be cautious with current positions. Monitor for trend continuation or reversal signals.

Momentum Measurement

RSI

Relative Strength Index

SELL
Current RSI(14) 39.2
Oversold Neutral Overbought

RSI (39.20) is in the bearish territory, but not yet oversold. This indicates downward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of strength.

OBV

On-Balance Volume

Rising
OBV Trend Upward
OBV vs Price Confirming

OBV (6120415.00) is falling, indicating selling pressure and distribution. Price is falling and OBV is falling. This is bearish confirmation, indicating selling pressure supports the price decrease. Consider holding short positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.

Stochastic

Stochastic Oscillator

NEUTRAL
%K Line 14
%D Line 34.03

Stochastics (%K: 14.00, %D: 34.03) are in the neutral zone (between 20 and 80). A bearish crossover (%K below %D) is observed. This indicates downward momentum. Be cautious if it's already in the oversold region.

CCI

Commodity Channel Index

BUY
CCI(20) -109.19

CCI (-109.19) is below -100. This suggests a strong downward momentum and an oversold condition. Consider buying or looking for long entries cautiously. Confirm with price action; if price is making lower lows, momentum is strong. Look for rallies to enter short.

Volatility Measurement

ATR

Average True Range

1.35
ATR(14) 1.35
ATR % of Price ...%

Current ATR is 1.3500. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility Bands

SELL
Upper Band 77.39
Middle Band (MA20) 73.73
Lower Band 70.07
Band Width 10%

Current price (71.32) is within the Bollinger Bands (70.07 - 77.39). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is below the Middle Band (73.73), indicating short-term bearish bias.

Risk Management & Potential Reversals

SAR

Parabolic Stop and Reverse

SELL
Current SAR 74.62
Distance from Price 4.63%

SAR points above price indicate bearish trend. Current SAR at 74.62 is 4.63% from price. Consider SAR as a potential take-profit level or to confirm a downtrend.

RSI

Reversal Perspective

No Divergence
RSI Divergence None
Overbought/Oversold Neither

Current RSI level is in neutral territory. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.

Stochastic

Oversold

Approaching Overbought
Stochastic Position 14.0
Crossover Status Bearish

Stochastic is in oversold territory (14.0). Monitor for potential bullish crossover or movement above 20, which could signal a reversal. Current crossover status: Bearish.

Bollinger Bands

Reversal Perspective

Bearish Bias
Band Position Lower Half
Band Squeeze None

Bands show normal bandwidth. Price is in the lower half of the bands, suggesting a bearish bias.No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.

Holder List (Top 20)

Holder Name Holder Type Shares Pct. Held Date Reported
Vanguard Group Inc INSTITUTIONAL 8996643 9.8% 2025-03-31
State Street Corporation INSTITUTIONAL 8727037 9.51% 2025-03-31
Blackrock Inc. INSTITUTIONAL 7529570 8.2% 2025-03-31
Kayne Anderson Rudnick Investment Management LLC INSTITUTIONAL 5226797 5.7% 2025-03-31
Neuberger Berman Group, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 2750738 3% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund MUTUALFUND 2737035 2.98% 2025-03-31
iShares Trust-iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap ETF MUTUALFUND 2700150 2.94% 2025-04-30
Markel Group Inc INSTITUTIONAL 2394544 2.61% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Small-Cap Index Fund MUTUALFUND 2175109 2.37% 2025-03-31
Geode Capital Management, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 2161440 2.36% 2025-03-31
Dimensional Fund Advisors LP INSTITUTIONAL 1861984 2.03% 2025-03-31
NEUBERGER BERMAN EQUITY FUNDS-Neuberger Berman Genesis Fund MUTUALFUND 1590230 1.73% 2025-03-31
Maren Capital LLC INSTITUTIONAL 1552053 1.69% 2025-03-31
Port Capital LLC INSTITUTIONAL 1532011 1.67% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Extended Market Index Fund MUTUALFUND 1286604 1.4% 2025-03-31
Virtus Equity Trust-Virtus KAR Small-Cap Core Fund MUTUALFUND 825588 0.9% 2025-03-31
Thrivent Mutual Funds-Thrivent Small Cap Stock Fund MUTUALFUND 808374 0.88% 2025-01-31
SPDR SERIES TRUST-SPDR(R) S&P(R) Dividend ETF MUTUALFUND 763706 0.83% 2025-04-30
Invesco Exchange-Traded Fund Trust-Invesco S&P MidCap Quality ETF MUTUALFUND 710711 0.77% 2025-04-30
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Small-Cap Value Index Fund MUTUALFUND 704865 0.77% 2025-03-31