SAFE Safehold, Inc.

REIT - Diversified NYSE

$15.76 -0.30 (-1.90%)
update: 2025-07-01
Prev Close $16.05
Market Cap $1.12B
Day Range $15.59 - $16.10
Open $15.99
P/E Ratio 10.68
52W Change -17.81%
24H Volume 968.3K
Dividend Yield 4.51%
EPS 1.60561
DAY WEEK PRICE LEVEL

Trading Signals

Overall Signal

SELL

Strong sellish signal based on multiple indicators.

Confidence: 12.8%
Updated: 2025-07-01

Key Price Levels

Support Levels

  • Strong Support $14.33
  • Medium Support $14.81
  • Weak Support $15.28

Resistance Levels

  • Weak Resistance $16.24
  • Medium Resistance $16.71
  • Strong Resistance $17.19

Stop Loss Suggestions

  • Conservative $16.14
  • Moderate $16.47
  • Aggressive $16.95

Analyst Ratings

Current Rating

Strong Buy 4
Buy 2
Hold 5
Sell 0
Strong Sell 0

Chart Analyst Ratings Loading

Last Month

Strong Buy 4
Buy 2
Hold 5
Sell 0
Strong Sell 0

2 Months Ago

Strong Buy 4
Buy 2
Hold 5
Sell 0
Strong Sell 0

3 Months Ago

Strong Buy 5
Buy 2
Hold 5
Sell 0
Strong Sell 0

Signal Indicator

Indicator Signal Strength Timeframe
Moving Averages NEUTRAL
Short & Medium Term
Oscillators BUY
Short Term
Trend Indicators BUY
Short & Medium Term
Volume Indicators SELL
Short & Medium Term
Support/Resistance NEUTRAL
Short Term
Data Source: Consolidated ratings from various investment bank analysts. Ratings may change over time.

Stock Price Prediction Price Target Probabilities

Quarterly Outlook

SAFE Quarterly Outlook
2025-07-01

Bullish Scenario

Probability 30.22%
from current 16.88%
Prediction $18

Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (17.33) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (44.45) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-1.00) is above Signal line (-1.12) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 1.33, indicating the average weekly price range.

SAFE Quarterly Outlook
2025-07-01

Base Scenario

Probability 53.85%
from current 2.11%
Prediction $16

Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (17.33) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (44.45) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-1.00) is above Signal line (-1.12) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 1.33, indicating the average weekly price range.

SAFE Quarterly Outlook
2025-07-01

Bearish Scenario

Probability 15.93%
from current -16.88%
Prediction $13

Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (17.33) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (44.45) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-1.00) is above Signal line (-1.12) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 1.33, indicating the average weekly price range.

Annual Outlook

SAFE Annual Outlook
2025-07-01

Bullish Scenario

Probability 30.22%
from current 33.76%
Prediction $21

Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (17.33) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (44.45) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-1.00) is above Signal line (-1.12) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 1.33, indicating the average weekly price range.

SAFE Annual Outlook
2025-07-01

Base Scenario

Probability 53.85%
from current 4.22%
Prediction $16

Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (17.33) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (44.45) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-1.00) is above Signal line (-1.12) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 1.33, indicating the average weekly price range.

SAFE Annual Outlook
2025-07-01

Bearish Scenario

Probability 15.93%
from current -33.76%
Prediction $10

Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (17.33) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (44.45) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-1.00) is above Signal line (-1.12) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 1.33, indicating the average weekly price range.

Technical Analysis

Trend Identification

EMA

Exponential Moving Average

NEUTRAL
EMA(20) 15.43
EMA(55) 15.48
EMA(100) 16.5

Current price (15.76) is above both Short MA (15.43) and Long MA (15.48). This indicates strong bullish momentum. Short MA (15.43) is below Long MA (15.48), a bearish crossover ('Death Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates a downward trend. MAs (15.43, 15.48, 16.50) show mixed alignment, suggesting market indecision or range-bound activity.

MACD

Moving Average Convergence Divergence

BUY
MACD Line(12) 0.06
Signal Line(26) 0.01
Histogram(9) 0.05

MACD line is above the Signal line (bullish crossover). This indicates upward momentum. Histogram (0.0500) is positive and expanding, confirming bullish momentum. Both MACD and Signal lines are above the zero line, reinforcing bullish momentum (bullish territory). This is a strong buy signal. Consider long positions.

ADX

Average Directional Index

NEUTRAL
ADX(14) 9.98
+DI 25.25
-DI 21.62

ADX (9.98) indicates a weak or non-existent trend (ranging market). +DI (25.25) is above -DI (21.62), suggesting a bullish directional bias. Avoid trend-following strategies. Consider range-bound or reversal strategies, or wait for a clearer trend to develop.

Momentum Measurement

RSI

Relative Strength Index

BUY
Current RSI(14) 54.02
Oversold Neutral Overbought

RSI (54.02) is in the bullish territory, but not yet overbought. This indicates upward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of weakness.

OBV

On-Balance Volume

Rising
OBV Trend Upward
OBV vs Price Confirming

OBV (-10247398.00) is falling, indicating selling pressure and distribution. Price is falling and OBV is falling. This is bearish confirmation, indicating selling pressure supports the price decrease. Consider holding short positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.

Stochastic

Stochastic Oscillator

SELL
%K Line 60
%D Line 61.82

Stochastics (%K: 60.00, %D: 61.82) are in the neutral zone (between 20 and 80). No clear bullish or bearish crossover signal currently. The lines are close or moving sideways.

CCI

Commodity Channel Index

BUY
CCI(20) 77.85

CCI (77.85) is between 0 and +100. This indicates bullish momentum is present, but not yet extreme. A move above 0 from negative territory (bullish zero-line cross) can indicate a potential buy signal.

Volatility Measurement

ATR

Average True Range

0.48
ATR(14) 0.48
ATR % of Price ...%

Current ATR is 0.4800. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility Bands

BUY
Upper Band 16.08
Middle Band (MA20) 15.43
Lower Band 14.79
Band Width 8%

Current price (15.76) is within the Bollinger Bands (14.79 - 16.08). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is above the Middle Band (15.43), indicating short-term bullish bias.

Risk Management & Potential Reversals

SAR

Parabolic Stop and Reverse

BUY
Current SAR 15.04
Distance from Price 4.57%

SAR points below price indicate bullish trend. Current SAR at 15.04 is 4.57% from price. Consider SAR as a potential stop-loss level to protect gains in an uptrend.

RSI

Reversal Perspective

No Divergence
RSI Divergence None
Overbought/Oversold Neither

Current RSI level is in neutral territory. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.

Stochastic

Neutral

Approaching Overbought
Stochastic Position 60.0
Crossover Status No Crossover

Stochastic is in neutral territory (60.0). No clear overbought/oversold signal.

Bollinger Bands

Reversal Perspective

Bullish Bias
Band Position Upper Half
Band Squeeze None

Bands show normal bandwidth. Price is in the upper half of the bands, suggesting a bullish bias.No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.

Holder List (Top 20)

Holder Name Holder Type Shares Pct. Held Date Reported
Blackrock Inc. INSTITUTIONAL 9164150 12.77% 2025-03-31
Vanguard Group Inc INSTITUTIONAL 7817950 10.89% 2025-03-31
MSD Capital, L.P. INSTITUTIONAL 5782745 8.06% 2025-03-31
T. Rowe Price Investment Management, Inc. INSTITUTIONAL 4305041 6% 2025-03-31
iShares Trust-iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF MUTUALFUND 2764860 3.85% 2025-04-30
State Street Corporation INSTITUTIONAL 2631525 3.67% 2025-03-31
T. Rowe Price Small-Cap Value Fund, Inc. MUTUALFUND 2470899 3.44% 2025-03-31
Newedge Wealth, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 2125287 2.96% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD SPECIALIZED FUNDS-Vanguard Real Estate Index Fund MUTUALFUND 1794374 2.5% 2025-01-31
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund MUTUALFUND 1691351 2.36% 2025-03-31
-Price (T.Rowe) U.S. Small-Cap Value Equity Trust MUTUALFUND 1431347 1.99% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Small-Cap Index Fund MUTUALFUND 1335708 1.86% 2025-03-31
iShares Trust-iShares Russell 2000 ETF MUTUALFUND 1296447 1.81% 2025-04-30
Geode Capital Management, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 1275722 1.78% 2025-03-31
Morgan Stanley INSTITUTIONAL 1006425 1.4% 2025-03-31
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO INSTITUTIONAL 949488 1.32% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Small-Cap Value Index Fund MUTUALFUND 866604 1.21% 2025-03-31
Charles Schwab Investment Management, Inc. INSTITUTIONAL 718755 1% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Extended Market Index Fund MUTUALFUND 715901 1% 2025-03-31
Fidelity Salem Street Trust-Fidelity Small Cap Index Fund MUTUALFUND 524062 0.73% 2025-02-28