SAFT Safety Insurance Group, Inc.

Insurance - Property & Casualty NasdaqGS

$78.84 +0.40 (0.51%)
update: 2025-06-30
Prev Close $78.44
Market Cap $1.13B
Day Range $78.20 - $79.42
Open $78.82
P/E Ratio 16.05
52W Change -4.01%
24H Volume 218.9K
Dividend Yield 4.72%
EPS
DAY WEEK PRICE LEVEL

Trading Signals

Overall Signal

BUY

Strong buyish signal based on multiple indicators.

Confidence: 14.4%
Updated: 2025-06-30

Key Price Levels

Support Levels

  • Strong Support $73.76
  • Medium Support $75.45
  • Weak Support $77.15

Resistance Levels

  • Weak Resistance $80.53
  • Medium Resistance $82.23
  • Strong Resistance $83.92

Stop Loss Suggestions

  • Conservative $76.91
  • Moderate $76.3
  • Aggressive $74.61

Signal Indicator

Indicator Signal Strength Timeframe
Moving Averages NEUTRAL
Short & Medium Term
Oscillators SELL
Short Term
Trend Indicators SELL
Short & Medium Term
Volume Indicators BUY
Short & Medium Term
Support/Resistance NEUTRAL
Short Term
Data Source: Consolidated ratings from various investment bank analysts. Ratings may change over time.

Stock Price Prediction Price Target Probabilities

Quarterly Outlook

SAFT Quarterly Outlook
2025-06-30

Bullish Scenario

Probability 38.22%
from current 11.13%
Prediction $88

Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (11.46) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (51.62) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.44) is above Signal line (0.21) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 3.51, indicating the average weekly price range.

SAFT Quarterly Outlook
2025-06-30

Base Scenario

Probability 52%
from current 2.67%
Prediction $81

Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (11.46) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (51.62) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.44) is above Signal line (0.21) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 3.51, indicating the average weekly price range.

SAFT Quarterly Outlook
2025-06-30

Bearish Scenario

Probability 9.78%
from current -8.9%
Prediction $72

Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (11.46) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (51.62) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.44) is above Signal line (0.21) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 3.51, indicating the average weekly price range.

Annual Outlook

SAFT Annual Outlook
2025-06-30

Bullish Scenario

Probability 38.22%
from current 22.26%
Prediction $96

Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (11.46) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (51.62) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.44) is above Signal line (0.21) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 3.51, indicating the average weekly price range.

SAFT Annual Outlook
2025-06-30

Base Scenario

Probability 52%
from current 5.34%
Prediction $83

Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (11.46) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (51.62) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.44) is above Signal line (0.21) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 3.51, indicating the average weekly price range.

SAFT Annual Outlook
2025-06-30

Bearish Scenario

Probability 9.78%
from current -17.81%
Prediction $65

Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (11.46) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (51.62) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.44) is above Signal line (0.21) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 3.51, indicating the average weekly price range.

Technical Analysis

Trend Identification

EMA

Exponential Moving Average

NEUTRAL
EMA(20) 79.41
EMA(55) 78.89
EMA(100) 78.4

Current price (78.84) is below both Short MA (79.41) and Long MA (78.89). This indicates strong bearish momentum. Short MA (79.41) is above Long MA (78.89), a bullish crossover ('Golden Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates an upward trend. MAs (79.41, 78.89, 78.40) show mixed alignment, suggesting market indecision or range-bound activity.

MACD

Moving Average Convergence Divergence

SELL
MACD Line(12) -0.5
Signal Line(26) -0.36
Histogram(9) -0.14

MACD line is below the Signal line (bearish crossover). This indicates downward momentum. Histogram (-0.1400) is negative and expanding, confirming bearish momentum. Both MACD and Signal lines are below the zero line, reinforcing bearish momentum (bearish territory). This is a strong sell signal. Consider short positions.

ADX

Average Directional Index

NEUTRAL
ADX(14) 16.24
+DI 15.82
-DI 20.73

ADX (16.24) indicates a weak or non-existent trend (ranging market). -DI (20.73) is above +DI (15.82), suggesting a bearish directional bias. Avoid trend-following strategies. Consider range-bound or reversal strategies, or wait for a clearer trend to develop.

Momentum Measurement

RSI

Relative Strength Index

SELL
Current RSI(14) 47.39
Oversold Neutral Overbought

RSI (47.39) is in the bearish territory, but not yet oversold. This indicates downward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of strength.

OBV

On-Balance Volume

Rising
OBV Trend Upward
OBV vs Price Confirming

OBV (433104.00) is rising, indicating buying pressure and accumulation. Price is rising and OBV is rising. This is bullish confirmation, indicating buying pressure supports the price increase. Consider holding long positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.

Stochastic

Stochastic Oscillator

BUY
%K Line 45.37
%D Line 39.98

Stochastics (%K: 45.37, %D: 39.98) are in the neutral zone (between 20 and 80). A bullish crossover (%K above %D) is observed, potentially signaling an upward trend reversal or continuation. Stronger signal if this occurs below 50.

CCI

Commodity Channel Index

SELL
CCI(20) -11.15

CCI (-11.15) is between -100 and 0. This indicates bearish momentum is present, but not yet extreme. A move below 0 from positive territory (bearish zero-line cross) can indicate a potential sell signal.

Volatility Measurement

ATR

Average True Range

1.68
ATR(14) 1.68
ATR % of Price ...%

Current ATR is 1.6800. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility Bands

SELL
Upper Band 81.9
Middle Band (MA20) 79.41
Lower Band 76.91
Band Width 6%

Current price (78.84) is within the Bollinger Bands (76.91 - 81.90). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is below the Middle Band (79.41), indicating short-term bearish bias.

Risk Management & Potential Reversals

SAR

Parabolic Stop and Reverse

BUY
Current SAR 76.91
Distance from Price 2.45%

SAR points below price indicate bullish trend. Current SAR at 76.91 is 2.45% from price. Consider SAR as a potential stop-loss level to protect gains in an uptrend.

RSI

Reversal Perspective

No Divergence
RSI Divergence None
Overbought/Oversold Neither

Current RSI level is in neutral territory. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.

Stochastic

Neutral

Approaching Overbought
Stochastic Position 45.4
Crossover Status Bullish

Stochastic is in neutral territory (45.4). No clear overbought/oversold signal. Current crossover status: Bullish.

Bollinger Bands

Reversal Perspective

Bearish Bias
Band Position Lower Half
Band Squeeze None

Bands show normal bandwidth. Price is in the lower half of the bands, suggesting a bearish bias.No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.

Holder List (Top 20)

Holder Name Holder Type Shares Pct. Held Date Reported
Blackrock Inc. INSTITUTIONAL 2254499 15.14% 2025-03-31
Srb Corp INSTITUTIONAL 1842284 12.37% 2025-03-31
Vanguard Group Inc INSTITUTIONAL 1638631 11% 2025-03-31
iShares Trust-iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF MUTUALFUND 891503 5.99% 2025-04-30
Victory Capital Management Inc. INSTITUTIONAL 864092 5.8% 2025-03-31
Dimensional Fund Advisors LP INSTITUTIONAL 728891 4.89% 2025-03-31
Victory Portfolios-Victory Sycamore Small Company Opportunity Fund MUTUALFUND 640000 4.3% 2025-03-31
State Street Corporation INSTITUTIONAL 581694 3.91% 2025-03-31
Times Square Capital Management, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 574795 3.86% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund MUTUALFUND 446716 3% 2025-03-31
iShares Trust-iShares Russell 2000 ETF MUTUALFUND 370912 2.49% 2025-04-30
Geode Capital Management, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 366229 2.46% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Small-Cap Index Fund MUTUALFUND 351397 2.36% 2025-03-31
Charles Schwab Investment Management, Inc. INSTITUTIONAL 231610 1.56% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Small-Cap Value Index Fund MUTUALFUND 227956 1.53% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Extended Market Index Fund MUTUALFUND 224661 1.51% 2025-03-31
Adage Capital Partners GP L.L.C. INSTITUTIONAL 217000 1.46% 2025-03-31
iShares Trust-iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value ETF MUTUALFUND 145990 0.98% 2025-04-30
Fidelity Salem Street Trust-Fidelity Small Cap Index Fund MUTUALFUND 145732 0.98% 2025-02-28
iShares Trust-iShares Russell 2000 Value ETF MUTUALFUND 139121 0.93% 2025-04-30