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SAR Saratoga Investment Corp.

Asset Management NYSE

$22.98 -0.30 (-1.31%)
update: 2025-12-21
Prev Close $23.28
Market Cap $352.63M
Day Range $22.90 - $23.35
Open $23.23
P/E Ratio 9.91
52W Change 4.29%
24H Volume 71.5K
Dividend Yield 12.21%
EPS 3.99857
DAY WEEK PRICE LEVEL

Trading Signals (SAR)

Overall Signal

SELL

Strong sellish signal based on multiple indicators.

Confidence: 69%
Updated: 2025-12-21

Key Price Levels

Support Levels

  • Strong Support $23.45
  • Medium Support $23.85
  • Weak Support $24.25

Resistance Levels

  • Weak Resistance $25.05
  • Medium Resistance $25.45
  • Strong Resistance $25.85

Stop Loss Suggestions

  • Conservative $24.97
  • Moderate $25.25
  • Aggressive $25.65

Analyst Ratings

Current Rating

Strong Buy 1
Buy 2
Hold 5
Sell 0
Strong Sell 0

Chart Analyst Ratings Loading

Signal Indicator

Indicator Signal Strength Timeframe
Moving Averages NEUTRAL
Short & Medium Term
Oscillators SELL
Short Term
Trend Indicators SELL
Short & Medium Term
Volume Indicators SELL
Short & Medium Term
Support/Resistance NEUTRAL
Short Term
Data Source: Consolidated ratings from various investment bank analysts. Ratings may change over time.

Stock Price Prediction Price Target Probabilities (SAR)

Quarterly Outlook :

SAR Quarterly Outlook
2025-12-21

Bullish Scenario

Probability 20.33%
from current 6.65%
Prediction $26

Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (13.60) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (52.95) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.42) is below Signal line (0.50) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.82, indicating the average weekly price range.

SAR Quarterly Outlook
2025-12-21

Base Scenario

Probability 53.85%
from current -0.83%
Prediction $24

Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (13.60) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (52.95) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.42) is below Signal line (0.50) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.82, indicating the average weekly price range.

SAR Quarterly Outlook
2025-12-21

Bearish Scenario

Probability 25.82%
from current -6.65%
Prediction $23

Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (13.60) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (52.95) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.42) is below Signal line (0.50) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.82, indicating the average weekly price range.

Annual Outlook

SAR Annual Outlook
2025-12-21

Bullish Scenario

Probability 20.33%
from current 13.31%
Prediction $28

Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (13.60) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (52.95) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.42) is below Signal line (0.50) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.82, indicating the average weekly price range.

SAR Annual Outlook
2025-12-21

Base Scenario

Probability 53.85%
from current -1.66%
Prediction $24

Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (13.60) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (52.95) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.42) is below Signal line (0.50) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.82, indicating the average weekly price range.

SAR Annual Outlook
2025-12-21

Bearish Scenario

Probability 25.82%
from current -13.31%
Prediction $21

Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (13.60) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (52.95) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.42) is below Signal line (0.50) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.82, indicating the average weekly price range.

Technical Analysis (SAR)

Trend Identification

SAR Technical Analysis 2025-12-21

EMA

Exponential Moving Average

NEUTRAL
EMA(20) 25.03
EMA(55) 24.64
EMA(100) 24.38

Current price (24.65) is between Short MA (25.03) and Long MA (24.64), or near one of them. This suggests consolidation or mixed signals. Short MA (25.03) is above Long MA (24.64), a bullish crossover ('Golden Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates an upward trend. MAs (25.03, 24.64, 24.38) show mixed alignment, suggesting market indecision or range-bound activity. Market is in a choppy or sideways phase. Wait for a clearer trend to emerge before taking directional trades.

SAR Technical Analysis 2025-12-21

MACD

Moving Average Convergence Divergence

SELL
MACD Line(12) 0.06
Signal Line(26) 0.13
Histogram(9) -0.07

MACD line is below the Signal line (bearish crossover). This indicates downward momentum. Histogram (-0.0700) is negative and expanding, confirming bearish momentum. Both MACD and Signal lines are above the zero line, reinforcing bullish momentum (bullish territory). A bearish crossover above the zero line can indicate a reversal from a prior uptrend. Consider this as a potential early sell signal.

SAR Technical Analysis 2025-12-21

ADX

Average Directional Index

NEUTRAL
ADX(14) 12.39
+DI 17.88
-DI 24.2

ADX (12.39) indicates a weak or non-existent trend (ranging market). -DI (24.20) is above +DI (17.88), suggesting a bearish directional bias. Avoid trend-following strategies. Consider range-bound or reversal strategies, or wait for a clearer trend to develop.

Momentum Measurement

RSI (2025-12-21)

Relative Strength Index

SELL
Current RSI(14) 44.67
Oversold Neutral Overbought

RSI (44.67) is in the bearish territory, but not yet oversold. This indicates downward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of strength.

OBV (2025-12-21)

On-Balance Volume

Rising
OBV Trend Upward
OBV vs Price Confirming

OBV (-724309.00) is falling, indicating selling pressure and distribution. Price is falling and OBV is falling. This is bearish confirmation, indicating selling pressure supports the price decrease. Consider holding short positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.

Stochastic (2025-12-21)

Stochastic Oscillator

NEUTRAL
%K Line 13.56
%D Line 20.43

Stochastics (%K: 13.56, %D: 20.43) are in the neutral zone (between 20 and 80). A bearish crossover (%K below %D) is observed. This indicates downward momentum. Be cautious if it's already in the oversold region.

CCI (2025-12-21)

Commodity Channel Index

BUY
CCI(20) -101.2

CCI (-101.20) is below -100. This suggests a strong downward momentum and an oversold condition. Consider buying or looking for long entries cautiously. Confirm with price action; if price is making lower lows, momentum is strong. Look for rallies to enter short.

Volatility Measurement

ATR (2025-12-21)

Average True Range

0.38
ATR(14) 0.38
ATR % of Price ...%

Current ATR is 0.3800. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.

Bollinger Bands (2025-12-21)

Volatility Bands

SELL
Upper Band 25.63
Middle Band (MA20) 25.03
Lower Band 24.43
Band Width 5%

Current price (24.65) is within the Bollinger Bands (24.43 - 25.63). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is below the Middle Band (25.03), indicating short-term bearish bias.

Risk Management & Potential Reversals (SAR)

SAR (2025-12-21)

Parabolic Stop and Reverse

BUY
Current SAR 24.62
Distance from Price 0.12%

SAR points below price indicate bullish trend. Current SAR at 24.62 is 0.12% from price. Consider SAR as a potential stop-loss level to protect gains in an uptrend.

Stochastic (2025-12-21)

Oversold

Approaching Overbought
Stochastic Position 13.6
Crossover Status Bearish

Stochastic is in oversold territory (13.6). Monitor for potential bullish crossover or movement above 20, which could signal a reversal. Current crossover status: Bearish.

RSI (2025-12-21)

Reversal Perspective

No Divergence
RSI Divergence None
Overbought/Oversold Neither

Current RSI level is in neutral territory. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.

Bollinger Bands (2025-12-21)

Reversal Perspective

Bearish Bias
Band Position Lower Half
Band Squeeze None

Bands show normal bandwidth. Price is in the lower half of the bands, suggesting a bearish bias.No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.

Holder List Top 20 (SAR)

Holder Name Holder Type Shares Pct. Held Date Reported
Two Sigma Advisers, LP INSTITUTIONAL 282000 1.97% 2025-03-31
Two Sigma Investments, LP INSTITUTIONAL 235867 1.64% 2025-03-31
Hennion & Walsh Asset Management, Inc. INSTITUTIONAL 193168 1.35% 2025-03-31
Lido Advisors, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 130128 0.91% 2025-03-31
Private Advisor Group, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 125792 0.88% 2025-03-31
Advisors Asset Management, Inc. INSTITUTIONAL 114511 0.8% 2025-03-31
Wells Fargo & Company INSTITUTIONAL 100265 0.7% 2025-03-31
Legal & General Group PLC INSTITUTIONAL 93930 0.65% 2025-03-31
Morgan Stanley INSTITUTIONAL 92653 0.65% 2025-03-31
LPL Financial LLC INSTITUTIONAL 88665 0.62% 2025-03-31
ETFis Series Trust I-Virtus Private Credit Strategy ETF MUTUALFUND 37360 0.26% 2025-01-31
RBC Funds Trust-RBC Microcap Value Fund MUTUALFUND 3400 0.02% 2025-03-31
Blackstone Alternative Investment Fd.s-Blackstone Alternative Multi-St MUTUALFUND 2900 0.02% 2025-03-31
EA Series Trust-WHITEWOLF Publicly Listed Private Equity ETF MUTUALFUND 383 0% 2025-01-31
insidersPercentHeld MAJOR 0%
institutionsPercentHeld MAJOR 0%
institutionsFloatPercentHeld MAJOR 0%
institutionsCount MAJOR 0%

These predictions are generated using a combination of technical analysis, fundamental factors, market sentiment indicators, and machine learning models trained on historical price data. Probabilities represent the likelihood of reaching the target price within the specified timeframe based on our models. All predictions are for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice.