SJM The J. M. Smucker Co.
Packaged Foods NYSE
Trading Signals (SJM)
Overall Signal
SELL
Strong sellish signal based on multiple indicators.
Key Price Levels
Support Levels
- Strong Support $96.62
- Medium Support $98.93
- Weak Support $101.23
Resistance Levels
- Weak Resistance $105.83
- Medium Resistance $108.13
- Strong Resistance $110.44
Stop Loss Suggestions
- Conservative $105.37
- Moderate $106.98
- Aggressive $109.28
Analyst Ratings
Current Rating
Last Month
2 Months Ago
3 Months Ago
Signal Indicator
| Indicator | Signal | Strength | Timeframe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moving Averages | NEUTRAL |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Oscillators | BUY |
|
Short Term |
| Trend Indicators | BUY |
|
Medium Term |
| Volume Indicators | SELL |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Support/Resistance | NEUTRAL |
|
Short Term |
Stock Price Prediction Price Target Probabilities (SJM)
Quarterly Outlook :
2025-07-08
Bullish Scenario
from current 12.32%
Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (16.52) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (45.57) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-2.37) is below Signal line (-0.85) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 6.41, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-07-08
Base Scenario
from current -3.7%
Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (16.52) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (45.57) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-2.37) is below Signal line (-0.85) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 6.41, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-07-08
Bearish Scenario
from current -15.4%
Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (16.52) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (45.57) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-2.37) is below Signal line (-0.85) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 6.41, indicating the average weekly price range.
Annual Outlook
2025-07-08
Bullish Scenario
from current 24.63%
Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (16.52) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (45.57) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-2.37) is below Signal line (-0.85) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 6.41, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-07-08
Base Scenario
from current -7.39%
Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (16.52) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (45.57) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-2.37) is below Signal line (-0.85) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 6.41, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-07-08
Bearish Scenario
from current -30.79%
Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (16.52) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (45.57) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-2.37) is below Signal line (-0.85) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 6.41, indicating the average weekly price range.
Technical Analysis (SJM)
Trend Identification
EMA
Exponential Moving Average
Current price (103.53) is between Short MA (99.22) and Long MA (108.97), or near one of them. This suggests consolidation or mixed signals. Short MA (99.22) is below Long MA (108.97), a bearish crossover ('Death Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates a downward trend. MAs (99.22, 108.97, 109.87) show mixed alignment, suggesting market indecision or range-bound activity. Market is in a choppy or sideways phase. Wait for a clearer trend to emerge before taking directional trades.
MACD
Moving Average Convergence Divergence
MACD line is above the Signal line (bullish crossover). This indicates upward momentum. Histogram (1.3900) is positive and expanding, confirming bullish momentum. Both MACD and Signal lines are below the zero line, reinforcing bearish momentum (bearish territory). A bullish crossover below the zero line can indicate a reversal from a prior downtrend. Consider this as a potential early buy signal.
ADX
Average Directional Index
ADX (30.17) indicates a strong trend is present. +DI (28.12) is above -DI (25.24), suggesting a bullish directional bias. This combination points to a strong upward trend. Consider taking long positions, as the strong upward trend is confirmed.
Momentum Measurement
RSI (2025-07-08)
Relative Strength Index
RSI (52.40) is in the bullish territory, but not yet overbought. This indicates upward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of weakness.
OBV (2025-07-08)
On-Balance Volume
OBV (-18769662.00) is falling, indicating selling pressure and distribution. Price is falling and OBV is falling. This is bearish confirmation, indicating selling pressure supports the price decrease. Consider holding short positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.
Stochastic (2025-07-08)
Stochastic Oscillator
Stochastics (%K: 91.46, %D: 92.58) are in the overbought zone (above 80). This suggests the asset may be losing upward momentum. No clear bullish or bearish crossover signal currently. The lines are close or moving sideways. This is a strong sell signal, indicating potential downside.
CCI (2025-07-08)
Commodity Channel Index
CCI (120.96) is above +100. This suggests a strong upward momentum and an overbought condition. Consider profit-taking or looking for short entries cautiously. Confirm with price action; if price is making higher highs, momentum is strong. Look for pullbacks to enter long.
Volatility Measurement
ATR (2025-07-08)
Average True Range
Current ATR is 2.6000. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.
Bollinger Bands (2025-07-08)
Volatility Bands
Current price (103.53) is within the Bollinger Bands (88.93 - 109.51). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is above the Middle Band (99.22), indicating short-term bullish bias. Bollinger Bands are wide. This indicates high volatility. Prices tend to revert to the mean after extended periods of high volatility.
Risk Management & Potential Reversals (SJM)
SAR (2025-07-08)
Parabolic Stop and Reverse
SAR points above price indicate bearish trend. Current SAR at 105.00 is 1.42% from price. Consider SAR as a potential take-profit level or to confirm a downtrend.
Stochastic (2025-07-08)
Overbought
Stochastic is in overbought territory (91.5). Monitor for potential bearish crossover or movement below 80, which could signal a reversal.
RSI (2025-07-08)
Reversal Perspective
Current RSI level is in neutral territory. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.
Bollinger Bands (2025-07-08)
Reversal Perspective
Bollinger Bands are widening, indicating high volatility and potential strong trend continuation.Price is in the upper half of the bands, suggesting a bullish bias.No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.
Holder List Top 20 (SJM)
| Holder Name | Holder Type | Shares | Pct. Held | Date Reported |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Group Inc | INSTITUTIONAL | 13039306 | 12.25% | 2025-03-31 |
| Blackrock Inc. | INSTITUTIONAL | 8489180 | 7.98% | 2025-03-31 |
| State Street Corporation | INSTITUTIONAL | 7468634 | 7.02% | 2025-03-31 |
| FMR, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 4450869 | 4.18% | 2025-03-31 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 3204195 | 3.01% | 2025-03-31 |
| Citadel Advisors Llc | INSTITUTIONAL | 3040813 | 2.86% | 2025-03-31 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard 500 Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 2957713 | 2.78% | 2025-03-31 |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 2727544 | 2.56% | 2025-03-31 |
| Invesco Ltd. | INSTITUTIONAL | 2623254 | 2.47% | 2025-03-31 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Small-Cap Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 2523096 | 2.37% | 2025-03-31 |
| Dimensional Fund Advisors LP | INSTITUTIONAL | 2257127 | 2.12% | 2025-03-31 |
| Morgan Stanley | INSTITUTIONAL | 1980993 | 1.86% | 2025-03-31 |
| Nordea Investment Management AB | INSTITUTIONAL | 1973013 | 1.85% | 2025-03-31 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Small-Cap Value Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 1634819 | 1.54% | 2025-03-31 |
| ProShares Trust-ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF | MUTUALFUND | 1367881 | 1.29% | 2025-05-31 |
| Fidelity Concord Street Trust-Fidelity 500 Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 1336749 | 1.26% | 2025-04-30 |
| SPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUST | MUTUALFUND | 1286020 | 1.21% | 2025-04-30 |
| Invesco Exchange-Traded Fund Trust-Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF | MUTUALFUND | 1264545 | 1.19% | 2025-04-30 |
| iShares Trust-iShares Core S&P 500 ETF | MUTUALFUND | 1260944 | 1.18% | 2025-04-30 |
| SPDR SERIES TRUST-SPDR(R) S&P(R) Dividend ETF | MUTUALFUND | 1193704 | 1.12% | 2025-04-30 |