SMCI Super Micro Computer, Inc.

Computer Hardware NasdaqGS

$47.58 -1.69 (-3.55%)
update: 2025-06-29
Prev Close $49.27
Market Cap $19.53B
Day Range $46.86 - $49.97
Open $49.48
P/E Ratio 14.23
52W Change -58.18%
24H Volume 53.69M
Dividend Yield %
EPS 2.47201
DAY WEEK PRICE LEVEL

Trading Signals

Overall Signal

BUY

Strong buyish signal based on multiple indicators.

Confidence: 35.2%
Updated: 2025-06-29

Key Price Levels

Support Levels

  • Strong Support $38.83
  • Medium Support $41.75
  • Weak Support $44.66

Resistance Levels

  • Weak Resistance $50.5
  • Medium Resistance $53.41
  • Strong Resistance $56.33

Stop Loss Suggestions

  • Conservative $41.21
  • Moderate $43.21
  • Aggressive $40.29

Analyst Ratings

Current Rating

Strong Buy 3
Buy 3
Hold 10
Sell 1
Strong Sell 1

Chart Analyst Ratings Loading

Last Month

Strong Buy 3
Buy 3
Hold 10
Sell 1
Strong Sell 1

2 Months Ago

Strong Buy 1
Buy 3
Hold 9
Sell 1
Strong Sell 1

3 Months Ago

Strong Buy 1
Buy 3
Hold 8
Sell 1
Strong Sell 1

Signal Indicator

Indicator Signal Strength Timeframe
Moving Averages BUY
Short & Medium Term
Oscillators BUY
Short Term
Trend Indicators BUY
Short & Medium Term
Volume Indicators SELL
Short & Medium Term
Support/Resistance NEUTRAL
Short Term
Data Source: Consolidated ratings from various investment bank analysts. Ratings may change over time.

Stock Price Prediction Price Target Probabilities

Quarterly Outlook

SMCI Quarterly Outlook
2025-06-29

Bullish Scenario

Probability 38.22%
from current 41.04%
Prediction $67

Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (17.96) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (56.42) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.66) is above Signal line (-0.91) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 7.81, indicating the average weekly price range.

SMCI Quarterly Outlook
2025-06-29

Base Scenario

Probability 52%
from current 9.85%
Prediction $52

Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (17.96) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (56.42) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.66) is above Signal line (-0.91) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 7.81, indicating the average weekly price range.

SMCI Quarterly Outlook
2025-06-29

Bearish Scenario

Probability 9.78%
from current -32.83%
Prediction $32

Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (17.96) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (56.42) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.66) is above Signal line (-0.91) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 7.81, indicating the average weekly price range.

Annual Outlook

SMCI Annual Outlook
2025-06-29

Bullish Scenario

Probability 38.22%
from current 82.07%
Prediction $87

Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (17.96) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (56.42) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.66) is above Signal line (-0.91) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 7.81, indicating the average weekly price range.

SMCI Annual Outlook
2025-06-29

Base Scenario

Probability 52%
from current 19.7%
Prediction $57

Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (17.96) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (56.42) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.66) is above Signal line (-0.91) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 7.81, indicating the average weekly price range.

SMCI Annual Outlook
2025-06-29

Bearish Scenario

Probability 9.78%
from current -65.66%
Prediction $16

Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (17.96) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (56.42) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.66) is above Signal line (-0.91) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 7.81, indicating the average weekly price range.

Technical Analysis

Trend Identification

EMA

Exponential Moving Average

BUY
EMA(20) 43.44
EMA(55) 38.43
EMA(100) 39.61

Current price (47.58) is above both Short MA (43.44) and Long MA (38.43). This indicates strong bullish momentum. Short MA (43.44) is above Long MA (38.43), a bullish crossover ('Golden Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates an upward trend. MAs (43.44, 38.43, 39.61) show mixed alignment, suggesting market indecision or range-bound activity. Consider long positions. Use the MAs as dynamic support levels.

MACD

Moving Average Convergence Divergence

BUY
MACD Line(12) 1.8
Signal Line(26) 1.46
Histogram(9) 0.33

MACD line is above the Signal line (bullish crossover). This indicates upward momentum. Histogram (0.3300) is positive and expanding, confirming bullish momentum. Both MACD and Signal lines are above the zero line, reinforcing bullish momentum (bullish territory). This is a strong buy signal. Consider long positions.

ADX

Average Directional Index

NEUTRAL
ADX(14) 17.44
+DI 35.38
-DI 18.18

ADX (17.44) indicates a weak or non-existent trend (ranging market). +DI (35.38) is above -DI (18.18), suggesting a bullish directional bias. Avoid trend-following strategies. Consider range-bound or reversal strategies, or wait for a clearer trend to develop.

Momentum Measurement

RSI

Relative Strength Index

BUY
Current RSI(14) 60.12
Oversold Neutral Overbought

RSI (60.12) is in the bullish territory, but not yet overbought. This indicates upward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of weakness.

OBV

On-Balance Volume

Rising
OBV Trend Upward
OBV vs Price Confirming

OBV (252000600.00) is falling, indicating selling pressure and distribution. Price is falling and OBV is falling. This is bearish confirmation, indicating selling pressure supports the price decrease. Consider holding short positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.

Stochastic

Stochastic Oscillator

NEUTRAL
%K Line 88.64
%D Line 70.11

Stochastics (%K: 88.64, %D: 70.11) are in the neutral zone (between 20 and 80). A bullish crossover (%K above %D) is observed. This indicates upward momentum. Be cautious if it's already in the overbought region.

CCI

Commodity Channel Index

SELL
CCI(20) 169.1

CCI (169.10) is above +100. This suggests a strong upward momentum and an overbought condition. Consider profit-taking or looking for short entries cautiously. Confirm with price action; if price is making higher highs, momentum is strong. Look for pullbacks to enter long.

Volatility Measurement

ATR

Average True Range

2.74
ATR(14) 2.74
ATR % of Price ...%

Current ATR is 2.7400. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility Bands

BUY
Upper Band 48.02
Middle Band (MA20) 43.44
Lower Band 38.86
Band Width 19%

Current price (47.58) is within the Bollinger Bands (38.86 - 48.02). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is above the Middle Band (43.44), indicating short-term bullish bias. Bollinger Bands are wide. This indicates high volatility. Prices tend to revert to the mean after extended periods of high volatility.

Risk Management & Potential Reversals

SAR

Parabolic Stop and Reverse

BUY
Current SAR 41.21
Distance from Price 13.39%

SAR points below price indicate bullish trend. Current SAR at 41.21 is 13.39% from price. Consider SAR as a potential stop-loss level to protect gains in an uptrend.

RSI

Reversal Perspective

No Divergence
RSI Divergence None
Overbought/Oversold Neither

Current RSI level is in neutral territory. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.

Stochastic

Overbought

Approaching Overbought
Stochastic Position 88.6
Crossover Status Bullish

Stochastic is in overbought territory (88.6). Monitor for potential bearish crossover or movement below 80, which could signal a reversal. Current crossover status: Bullish.

Bollinger Bands

Reversal Perspective

Bullish Bias
Band Position Upper Half
Band Squeeze None

Bollinger Bands are widening, indicating high volatility and potential strong trend continuation.Price is in the upper half of the bands, suggesting a bullish bias.No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.

Holder List (Top 20)

Holder Name Holder Type Shares Pct. Held Date Reported
Vanguard Group Inc INSTITUTIONAL 64407769 10.79% 2025-03-31
Blackrock Inc. INSTITUTIONAL 40850550 6.85% 2025-03-31
State Street Corporation INSTITUTIONAL 21825340 3.66% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund MUTUALFUND 15933788 2.67% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard 500 Index Fund MUTUALFUND 13998720 2.35% 2025-03-31
Geode Capital Management, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 13388170 2.24% 2025-03-31
Morgan Stanley INSTITUTIONAL 11227507 1.88% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Mid-Cap Index Fund MUTUALFUND 10863859 1.82% 2025-03-31
Coatue Management LLC INSTITUTIONAL 8866735 1.49% 2025-03-31
Disciplined Growth Investors, Inc. INSTITUTIONAL 8349727 1.4% 2025-03-31
Nomura Holdings Inc. INSTITUTIONAL 7854827 1.32% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Growth Index Fund MUTUALFUND 6566514 1.1% 2025-03-31
Invesco Ltd. INSTITUTIONAL 6565806 1.1% 2025-03-31
UBS Group AG INSTITUTIONAL 6446876 1.08% 2025-03-31
Fidelity Concord Street Trust-Fidelity 500 Index Fund MUTUALFUND 6325814 1.06% 2025-04-30
SPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUST MUTUALFUND 6069560 1.02% 2025-04-30
iShares Trust-iShares Core S&P 500 ETF MUTUALFUND 5968189 1% 2025-04-30
VANGUARD WORLD FUND-Vanguard Information Technology Index Fund MUTUALFUND 4121560 0.69% 2025-02-28
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Mid-Cap Growth Index Fund MUTUALFUND 3936145 0.66% 2025-03-31
SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST-The Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund MUTUALFUND 3915057 0.66% 2025-04-30