TAL Education Group logo

TAL TAL Education Group

Education & Training Services NYSE

$10.04 +0.01 (0.10%)
update: 2025-07-07
Prev Close $10.03
Market Cap $5.28B
Day Range $9.98 - $10.15
Open $10.01
P/E Ratio 62.35
52W Change -33.76%
24H Volume 2.24M
Dividend Yield %
EPS 0.37566
DAY WEEK PRICE LEVEL

Trading Signals (TAL)

Overall Signal

SELL

Strong sellish signal based on multiple indicators.

Confidence: 34.4%
Updated: 2025-07-07

Key Price Levels

Support Levels

  • Strong Support $8.97
  • Medium Support $9.33
  • Weak Support $9.68

Resistance Levels

  • Weak Resistance $10.4
  • Medium Resistance $10.75
  • Strong Resistance $11.11

Stop Loss Suggestions

  • Conservative $11.1
  • Moderate $10.58
  • Aggressive $10.93

Analyst Ratings

Current Rating

Strong Buy 6
Buy 12
Hold 4
Sell 0
Strong Sell 1

Chart Analyst Ratings Loading

Last Month

Strong Buy 7
Buy 12
Hold 3
Sell 0
Strong Sell 1

2 Months Ago

Strong Buy 7
Buy 12
Hold 3
Sell 0
Strong Sell 1

3 Months Ago

Strong Buy
Buy
Hold
Sell
Strong Sell

Signal Indicator

Indicator Signal Strength Timeframe
Moving Averages SELL
Short & Medium Term
Oscillators SELL
Short Term
Trend Indicators SELL
Short & Medium Term
Volume Indicators BUY
Short & Medium Term
Support/Resistance NEUTRAL
Short Term
Data Source: Consolidated ratings from various investment bank analysts. Ratings may change over time.

Stock Price Prediction Price Target Probabilities (TAL)

Quarterly Outlook :

TAL Quarterly Outlook
2025-07-07

Bullish Scenario

Probability 14.22%
from current 24.7%
Prediction $13

Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (17.66) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (45.51) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.27) is below Signal line (-0.19) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 1.24, indicating the average weekly price range.

TAL Quarterly Outlook
2025-07-07

Base Scenario

Probability 52%
from current -7.41%
Prediction $9

Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (17.66) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (45.51) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.27) is below Signal line (-0.19) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 1.24, indicating the average weekly price range.

TAL Quarterly Outlook
2025-07-07

Bearish Scenario

Probability 33.78%
from current -30.88%
Prediction $7

Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (17.66) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (45.51) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.27) is below Signal line (-0.19) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 1.24, indicating the average weekly price range.

Annual Outlook

TAL Annual Outlook
2025-07-07

Bullish Scenario

Probability 14.22%
from current 49.4%
Prediction $15

Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (17.66) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (45.51) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.27) is below Signal line (-0.19) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 1.24, indicating the average weekly price range.

TAL Annual Outlook
2025-07-07

Base Scenario

Probability 52%
from current -14.82%
Prediction $9

Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (17.66) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (45.51) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.27) is below Signal line (-0.19) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 1.24, indicating the average weekly price range.

TAL Annual Outlook
2025-07-07

Bearish Scenario

Probability 33.78%
from current -61.75%
Prediction $4

Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (17.66) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (45.51) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.27) is below Signal line (-0.19) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 1.24, indicating the average weekly price range.

Technical Analysis (TAL)

Trend Identification

TAL Technical Analysis 2025-07-07

EMA

Exponential Moving Average

SELL
EMA(20) 10.54
EMA(55) 10.13
EMA(100) 11.48

Current price (10.04) is below both Short MA (10.54) and Long MA (10.13). This indicates strong bearish momentum. Short MA (10.54) is above Long MA (10.13), a bullish crossover ('Golden Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates an upward trend. MAs (10.54, 10.13, 11.48) show mixed alignment, suggesting market indecision or range-bound activity.

TAL Technical Analysis 2025-07-07

MACD

Moving Average Convergence Divergence

SELL
MACD Line(12) -0.05
Signal Line(26) 0.03
Histogram(9) -0.08

MACD line is below the Signal line (bearish crossover). This indicates downward momentum. Histogram (-0.0800) is negative and expanding, confirming bearish momentum. MACD and Signal lines are on opposite sides of the zero line, indicating a potential zero-line crossover. This is a significant trend indicator.

TAL Technical Analysis 2025-07-07

ADX

Average Directional Index

NEUTRAL
ADX(14) 11.29
+DI 18.9
-DI 29.3

ADX (11.29) indicates a weak or non-existent trend (ranging market). -DI (29.30) is above +DI (18.90), suggesting a bearish directional bias. Avoid trend-following strategies. Consider range-bound or reversal strategies, or wait for a clearer trend to develop.

Momentum Measurement

RSI (2025-07-07)

Relative Strength Index

SELL
Current RSI(14) 41.93
Oversold Neutral Overbought

RSI (41.93) is in the bearish territory, but not yet oversold. This indicates downward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of strength.

OBV (2025-07-07)

On-Balance Volume

Rising
OBV Trend Upward
OBV vs Price Confirming

OBV (139442280.00) is rising, indicating buying pressure and accumulation. Price is rising and OBV is rising. This is bullish confirmation, indicating buying pressure supports the price increase. Consider holding long positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.

Stochastic (2025-07-07)

Stochastic Oscillator

NEUTRAL
%K Line 17.88
%D Line 19.63

Stochastics (%K: 17.88, %D: 19.63) are in the oversold zone (below 20). This suggests the asset may be losing downward momentum. No clear bullish or bearish crossover signal currently. The lines are close or moving sideways.

CCI (2025-07-07)

Commodity Channel Index

BUY
CCI(20) -129.56

CCI (-129.56) is below -100. This suggests a strong downward momentum and an oversold condition. Consider buying or looking for long entries cautiously. Confirm with price action; if price is making lower lows, momentum is strong. Look for rallies to enter short.

Volatility Measurement

ATR (2025-07-07)

Average True Range

0.38
ATR(14) 0.38
ATR % of Price ...%

Current ATR is 0.3800. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.

Bollinger Bands (2025-07-07)

Volatility Bands

SELL
Upper Band 11.06
Middle Band (MA20) 10.54
Lower Band 10.02
Band Width 10%

Current price (10.04) is within the Bollinger Bands (10.02 - 11.06). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is below the Middle Band (10.54), indicating short-term bearish bias.

Risk Management & Potential Reversals (TAL)

SAR (2025-07-07)

Parabolic Stop and Reverse

SELL
Current SAR 11.1
Distance from Price 10.56%

SAR points above price indicate bearish trend. Current SAR at 11.10 is 10.56% from price. Consider SAR as a potential take-profit level or to confirm a downtrend.

Stochastic (2025-07-07)

Oversold

Approaching Overbought
Stochastic Position 17.9
Crossover Status No Crossover

Stochastic is in oversold territory (17.9). Monitor for potential bullish crossover or movement above 20, which could signal a reversal.

RSI (2025-07-07)

Reversal Perspective

No Divergence
RSI Divergence None
Overbought/Oversold Neither

Current RSI level is in neutral territory. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.

Bollinger Bands (2025-07-07)

Reversal Perspective

Bearish Bias
Band Position Lower Half
Band Squeeze None

Bands show normal bandwidth. Price is in the lower half of the bands, suggesting a bearish bias.No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.

Holder List Top 20 (TAL)

Holder Name Holder Type Shares Pct. Held Date Reported
FMR, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 23668363 5.17% 2025-03-31
Krane Funds Advisors LLC INSTITUTIONAL 21427983 4.68% 2025-03-31
Morgan Stanley INSTITUTIONAL 21292228 4.65% 2025-03-31
Blackrock Inc. INSTITUTIONAL 21233884 4.63% 2025-03-31
Krane Shares Trust-KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF MUTUALFUND 19870480 4.34% 2025-03-31
Vanguard Group Inc INSTITUTIONAL 17139350 3.74% 2025-03-31
Aspex Management (HK) Ltd INSTITUTIONAL 14197819 3.1% 2025-03-31
UBS AM, a distinct business unit of UBS ASSET MANAGEMENT AMERICAS LLC INSTITUTIONAL 12628646 2.76% 2025-03-31
Bank of America Corporation INSTITUTIONAL 12300815 2.68% 2025-03-31
Tiger Pacific Capital LP INSTITUTIONAL 8691479 1.9% 2025-03-31
Healthcare of Ontario Pension Plan Trust Fund INSTITUTIONAL 8414500 1.84% 2025-03-31
Fidelity Advisor Series VIII-Fidelity Advisor Focused Emerging Markets MUTUALFUND 7899741 1.72% 2025-04-30
VANGUARD STAR FUNDS-Vanguard Total International Stock Index Fund MUTUALFUND 5839926 1.27% 2025-01-31
Delaware Group Global & Intl Fd.s-Macquarie Emerging Markets Fd. MUTUALFUND 5361736 1.17% 2025-02-28
VANGUARD Intl Eqy. INDEX Fd.S-Vanguard Emerging Markets Stock Index Fd MUTUALFUND 5288607 1.15% 2025-01-31
Fidelity Rutland Square TRT II-Strategic Advisers Fidelity Emerging Ma MUTUALFUND 5261997 1.15% 2025-04-30
iShares, Inc.-iShares Core MSCI Emerging Markets ETF MUTUALFUND 3725779 0.81% 2025-04-30
Fidelity Rutland Square TRT II-Strategic Advisers Emerging Markets Fd. MUTUALFUND 1885680 0.41% 2025-04-30
Fidelity Investment Trust-Fidelity Series Emerging Markets Fund MUTUALFUND 1811720 0.4% 2025-04-30
Fidelity Investment Trust-Fidelity China Region Fund MUTUALFUND 1283968 0.28% 2025-04-30