TGI Triumph Group, Inc.
Aerospace & Defense NYSE
Trading Signals (TGI)
Overall Signal
BUY
Strong buyish signal based on multiple indicators.
Key Price Levels
Support Levels
- Strong Support $25.84
- Medium Support $25.89
- Weak Support $25.95
Resistance Levels
- Weak Resistance $26.07
- Medium Resistance $26.13
- Strong Resistance $26.18
Stop Loss Suggestions
- Conservative $25.82
- Moderate $25.92
- Aggressive $25.87
Analyst Ratings
Current Rating
Signal Indicator
| Indicator | Signal | Strength | Timeframe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moving Averages | BUY |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Oscillators | BUY |
|
Short Term |
| Trend Indicators | BUY |
|
Medium Term |
| Volume Indicators | BUY |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Support/Resistance | NEUTRAL |
|
Short Term |
Stock Price Prediction Price Target Probabilities (TGI)
Quarterly Outlook :
2025-12-21
Bullish Scenario
from current 3.54%
Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (31.69) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (76.57) is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential for price correction. MACD line (1.22) is below Signal line (1.50) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.46, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-12-21
Base Scenario
from current 0%
Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (31.69) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (76.57) is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential for price correction. MACD line (1.22) is below Signal line (1.50) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.46, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-12-21
Bearish Scenario
from current -3.54%
Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (31.69) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (76.57) is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential for price correction. MACD line (1.22) is below Signal line (1.50) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.46, indicating the average weekly price range.
Annual Outlook
2025-12-21
Bullish Scenario
from current 7.07%
Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (31.69) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (76.57) is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential for price correction. MACD line (1.22) is below Signal line (1.50) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.46, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-12-21
Base Scenario
from current 0%
Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (31.69) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (76.57) is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential for price correction. MACD line (1.22) is below Signal line (1.50) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.46, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-12-21
Bearish Scenario
from current -7.07%
Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (31.69) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (76.57) is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential for price correction. MACD line (1.22) is below Signal line (1.50) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.46, indicating the average weekly price range.
Technical Analysis (TGI)
Trend Identification
EMA
Exponential Moving Average
Current price (26.01) is above both Short MA (25.85) and Long MA (25.75). This indicates strong bullish momentum. Short MA (25.85) is above Long MA (25.75), a bullish crossover ('Golden Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates an upward trend. All MAs are in bullish order (Price > Short MA > Long MA > Very Long MA 25.53). This is a strong bullish alignment. Consider long positions. Use the MAs as dynamic support levels.
MACD
Moving Average Convergence Divergence
MACD line is crossing the Signal line. This is a crucial point, signaling a potential trend change. Monitor closely. Both MACD and Signal lines are above the zero line, reinforcing bullish momentum (bullish territory).
ADX
Average Directional Index
ADX (20.67) indicates a developing or weakening trend. +DI (30.00) is above -DI (11.86), suggesting a bullish directional bias. Be cautious with current positions. Monitor for trend continuation or reversal signals.
Momentum Measurement
RSI (2025-12-21)
Relative Strength Index
RSI (67.27) is in the bullish territory, but not yet overbought. This indicates upward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of weakness.
OBV (2025-12-21)
On-Balance Volume
OBV (75966058.00) is rising, indicating buying pressure and accumulation. Price is rising and OBV is rising. This is bullish confirmation, indicating buying pressure supports the price increase. Consider holding long positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.
Stochastic (2025-12-21)
Stochastic Oscillator
Stochastics (%K: 42.66, %D: 32.83) are in the neutral zone (between 20 and 80). A bullish crossover (%K above %D) is observed, potentially signaling an upward trend reversal or continuation. Stronger signal if this occurs below 50.
CCI (2025-12-21)
Commodity Channel Index
CCI (317.56) is above +100. This suggests a strong upward momentum and an overbought condition. Consider profit-taking or looking for short entries cautiously. Confirm with price action; if price is making higher highs, momentum is strong. Look for pullbacks to enter long.
Volatility Measurement
ATR (2025-12-21)
Average True Range
Current ATR is 0.0800. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.
Bollinger Bands (2025-12-21)
Volatility Bands
Current price (26.01) is above the Upper Bollinger Band (25.99). This often indicates an overextended move and a potential reversal downwards, or strong upward momentum ('walking the band'). Bollinger Bands are very narrow. This indicates low volatility and could precede a significant price move (a 'squeeze'). Prepare for a breakout. Consider shorting or taking profit on long positions, but confirm with other indicators.
Risk Management & Potential Reversals (TGI)
SAR (2025-12-21)
Parabolic Stop and Reverse
SAR points below price indicate bullish trend. Current SAR at 25.82 is 0.73% from price. Consider SAR as a potential stop-loss level to protect gains in an uptrend.
Stochastic (2025-12-21)
Neutral
Stochastic is in neutral territory (42.7). No clear overbought/oversold signal. Current crossover status: Bullish.
RSI (2025-12-21)
Reversal Perspective
Current RSI level is in neutral territory. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.
Bollinger Bands (2025-12-21)
Reversal Perspective
Bollinger Bands are narrowing, indicating low volatility and a potential 'squeeze'. This often precedes a significant price move.Price is above the upper band, indicating overbought conditions or strong upward momentum. Expect a potential pullback or trend exhaustion.
Holder List Top 20 (TGI)
| Holder Name | Holder Type | Shares | Pct. Held | Date Reported |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackrock Inc. | INSTITUTIONAL | 11961185 | 15.45% | 2025-03-31 |
| Vanguard Group Inc | INSTITUTIONAL | 6777969 | 8.76% | 2025-03-31 |
| iShares Trust-iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF | MUTUALFUND | 4076599 | 5.27% | 2025-04-30 |
| Goldman Sachs Group Inc | INSTITUTIONAL | 4056818 | 5.24% | 2025-03-31 |
| Irenic Capital Management LP | INSTITUTIONAL | 3787022 | 4.89% | 2025-03-31 |
| State Street Corporation | INSTITUTIONAL | 3725580 | 4.81% | 2025-03-31 |
| UBS Group AG | INSTITUTIONAL | 2482054 | 3.21% | 2025-03-31 |
| Vision One Management Partners, LP | INSTITUTIONAL | 2472843 | 3.19% | 2025-03-31 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 2437785 | 3.15% | 2025-03-31 |
| Pentwater Capital Management Lp | INSTITUTIONAL | 2300135 | 2.97% | 2025-03-31 |
| TIG Advisors, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 1883517 | 2.43% | 2025-03-31 |
| iShares Trust-iShares Russell 2000 ETF | MUTUALFUND | 1819667 | 2.35% | 2025-04-30 |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 1776111 | 2.29% | 2025-03-31 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Extended Market Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 1203082 | 1.55% | 2025-03-31 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Small-Cap Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 964671 | 1.25% | 2025-03-31 |
| iShares Trust-iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF | MUTUALFUND | 906885 | 1.17% | 2025-04-30 |
| SPDR SERIES TRUST-SPDR(R) S&P(R) Aerospace & Defense ETF | MUTUALFUND | 865529 | 1.12% | 2025-04-30 |
| Fidelity Salem Street Trust-Fidelity Small Cap Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 728091 | 0.94% | 2025-02-28 |
| iShares Trust-iShares Russell 2000 Value ETF | MUTUALFUND | 689884 | 0.89% | 2025-04-30 |
| SPDR SERIES TRUST-SPDR(R) Portfolio S&P 600 Small Cap ETF | MUTUALFUND | 668203 | 0.86% | 2025-04-30 |