TLK PT Telkom Indonesia (Persero) Tbk
Telecom Services NYSE
Trading Signals (TLK)
Overall Signal
SELL
Strong sellish signal based on multiple indicators.
Key Price Levels
Support Levels
- Strong Support $15.69
- Medium Support $16.07
- Weak Support $16.45
Resistance Levels
- Weak Resistance $17.21
- Medium Resistance $17.59
- Strong Resistance $17.97
Stop Loss Suggestions
- Conservative $17.13
- Moderate $17.4
- Aggressive $17.78
Analyst Ratings
Current Rating
Last Month
2 Months Ago
3 Months Ago
Signal Indicator
| Indicator | Signal | Strength | Timeframe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moving Averages | NEUTRAL |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Oscillators | BUY |
|
Short Term |
| Trend Indicators | BUY |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Volume Indicators | SELL |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Support/Resistance | NEUTRAL |
|
Short Term |
Stock Price Prediction Price Target Probabilities (TLK)
Quarterly Outlook :
2025-07-04
Bullish Scenario
from current 13.96%
Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (19.56) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (54.08) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.05) is above Signal line (-0.19) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.94, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-07-04
Base Scenario
from current 3.35%
Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (19.56) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (54.08) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.05) is above Signal line (-0.19) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.94, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-07-04
Bearish Scenario
from current -11.17%
Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (19.56) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (54.08) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.05) is above Signal line (-0.19) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.94, indicating the average weekly price range.
Annual Outlook
2025-07-04
Bullish Scenario
from current 27.93%
Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (19.56) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (54.08) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.05) is above Signal line (-0.19) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.94, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-07-04
Base Scenario
from current 6.7%
Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (19.56) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (54.08) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.05) is above Signal line (-0.19) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.94, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-07-04
Bearish Scenario
from current -22.34%
Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (19.56) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (54.08) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (0.05) is above Signal line (-0.19) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.94, indicating the average weekly price range.
Technical Analysis (TLK)
Trend Identification
EMA
Exponential Moving Average
Current price (16.83) is between Short MA (16.83) and Long MA (16.20), or near one of them. This suggests consolidation or mixed signals. Short MA (16.83) is above Long MA (16.20), a bullish crossover ('Golden Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates an upward trend. MAs (16.83, 16.20, 15.71) show mixed alignment, suggesting market indecision or range-bound activity. Market is in a choppy or sideways phase. Wait for a clearer trend to emerge before taking directional trades.
MACD
Moving Average Convergence Divergence
MACD line is above the Signal line (bullish crossover). This indicates upward momentum. Histogram (0.0100) is positive and expanding, confirming bullish momentum. Both MACD and Signal lines are above the zero line, reinforcing bullish momentum (bullish territory). This is a strong buy signal. Consider long positions.
ADX
Average Directional Index
ADX (14.58) indicates a weak or non-existent trend (ranging market). +DI (35.87) is above -DI (32.98), suggesting a bullish directional bias. Avoid trend-following strategies. Consider range-bound or reversal strategies, or wait for a clearer trend to develop.
Momentum Measurement
RSI (2025-07-04)
Relative Strength Index
RSI (52.27) is in the bullish territory, but not yet overbought. This indicates upward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of weakness.
OBV (2025-07-04)
On-Balance Volume
OBV (-16378870.00) is falling, indicating selling pressure and distribution. Price is falling and OBV is falling. This is bearish confirmation, indicating selling pressure supports the price decrease. Consider holding short positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.
Stochastic (2025-07-04)
Stochastic Oscillator
Stochastics (%K: 73.80, %D: 83.47) are in the neutral zone (between 20 and 80). A bearish crossover (%K below %D) is observed, potentially signaling a downward trend reversal or continuation. Stronger signal if this occurs above 50.
CCI (2025-07-04)
Commodity Channel Index
CCI (56.76) is between 0 and +100. This indicates bullish momentum is present, but not yet extreme. A move above 0 from negative territory (bullish zero-line cross) can indicate a potential buy signal.
Volatility Measurement
ATR (2025-07-04)
Average True Range
Current ATR is 0.3800. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.
Bollinger Bands (2025-07-04)
Volatility Bands
Current price (16.83) is within the Bollinger Bands (15.63 - 18.04). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is at the Middle Band (16.83), which often acts as support/resistance. Watch for breakout. Bollinger Bands are wide. This indicates high volatility. Prices tend to revert to the mean after extended periods of high volatility.
Risk Management & Potential Reversals (TLK)
SAR (2025-07-04)
Parabolic Stop and Reverse
SAR points below price indicate bullish trend. Current SAR at 15.69 is 6.77% from price. Consider SAR as a potential stop-loss level to protect gains in an uptrend.
Stochastic (2025-07-04)
Approaching Overbought
Stochastic is approaching overbought territory (73.8). No reversal signal yet. Monitor for potential bearish crossover (K below D) or entry into overbought (80+) followed by reversal. Current crossover status: Bearish.
RSI (2025-07-04)
Reversal Perspective
Current RSI level is in neutral territory. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.
Bollinger Bands (2025-07-04)
Reversal Perspective
Bollinger Bands are widening, indicating high volatility and potential strong trend continuation.Price is in the middle of bands with normal bandwidth. No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.
Holder List Top 20 (TLK)
| Holder Name | Holder Type | Shares | Pct. Held | Date Reported |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazard Asset Management LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 13769862 | 1.39% | 2025-03-31 |
| Harding Loevner LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 4462466 | 0.45% | 2025-03-31 |
| Allspring Global Investments Holdings, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 4205267 | 0.42% | 2025-03-31 |
| Renaissance Technologies, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 3922614 | 0.4% | 2025-03-31 |
| LAZARD FUNDS INC-Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | MUTUALFUND | 2641991 | 0.27% | 2025-03-31 |
| Invesco Ltd. | INSTITUTIONAL | 2242658 | 0.23% | 2025-03-31 |
| Invesco Exch-Trd Fd. TRT-Invesco Intl Dividend Achievers ETF | MUTUALFUND | 2212511 | 0.22% | 2025-04-30 |
| ALLSPRING FUNDS TRUST-Allspring Emerging Markets Equity Fund | MUTUALFUND | 1377471 | 0.14% | 2025-04-30 |
| VANGUARD TRUSTEES' EQUITY FUND-Vanguard International Value Fund | MUTUALFUND | 1371839 | 0.14% | 2025-01-31 |
| Morgan Stanley | INSTITUTIONAL | 1258406 | 0.13% | 2025-03-31 |
| Envestnet Asset Management | INSTITUTIONAL | 884939 | 0.09% | 2025-03-31 |
| Northern Trust Corporation | INSTITUTIONAL | 855287 | 0.09% | 2025-03-31 |
| Dimensional Fund Advisors LP | INSTITUTIONAL | 653494 | 0.07% | 2025-03-31 |
| American Century Companies Inc | INSTITUTIONAL | 642686 | 0.06% | 2025-03-31 |
| American Century ETF Trust-Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF | MUTUALFUND | 504035 | 0.05% | 2025-04-30 |
| DFA INVESTMENT DIMENSIONS GROUP INC-Emerging Markets Core Eqy. PORT. | MUTUALFUND | 365576 | 0.04% | 2025-01-31 |
| EQ Advisors Trust-EQ/Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | MUTUALFUND | 347133 | 0.04% | 2025-03-31 |
| LAZARD RETIREMENT SERIES INC-Lazard Retirement Emerging Markets Eqy. P | MUTUALFUND | 237365 | 0.02% | 2025-03-31 |
| VANGUARD WHITEHALL FUNDS-Vanguard Global Minimum Volatility Fund | MUTUALFUND | 135171 | 0.01% | 2025-01-31 |
| VanEck ETF Trust-VanEck Indonesia Index ETF | MUTUALFUND | 125384 | 0.01% | 2025-04-30 |