TRTX TPG RE Finance Trust, Inc.

REIT - Mortgage NYSE

$7.68 -0.33 (-4.30%)
update: 2025-06-30
Prev Close $8.01
Market Cap $602.92M
Day Range $7.63 - $7.81
Open $7.79
P/E Ratio 10.84
52W Change -9.69%
24H Volume 1.96M
Dividend Yield 12.72%
EPS 1.0025
DAY WEEK PRICE LEVEL

Trading Signals

Overall Signal

SELL

Strong sellish signal based on multiple indicators.

Confidence: 77%
Updated: 2025-06-30

Key Price Levels

Support Levels

  • Strong Support $7.19
  • Medium Support $7.35
  • Weak Support $7.52

Resistance Levels

  • Weak Resistance $7.84
  • Medium Resistance $8.01
  • Strong Resistance $8.17

Stop Loss Suggestions

  • Conservative $8.1
  • Moderate $7.93
  • Aggressive $8.09

Analyst Ratings

Current Rating

Strong Buy 2
Buy 2
Hold 0
Sell 0
Strong Sell 1

Chart Analyst Ratings Loading

Last Month

Strong Buy 2
Buy 2
Hold 0
Sell 0
Strong Sell 1

2 Months Ago

Strong Buy 3
Buy 2
Hold 0
Sell 0
Strong Sell 1

3 Months Ago

Strong Buy
Buy
Hold
Sell
Strong Sell

Signal Indicator

Indicator Signal Strength Timeframe
Moving Averages SELL
Short & Medium Term
Oscillators SELL
Short Term
Trend Indicators SELL
Short & Medium Term
Volume Indicators SELL
Short & Medium Term
Support/Resistance NEUTRAL
Short Term
Data Source: Consolidated ratings from various investment bank analysts. Ratings may change over time.

Stock Price Prediction Price Target Probabilities

Quarterly Outlook

TRTX Quarterly Outlook
2025-06-30

Bullish Scenario

Probability 27.24%
from current 11.2%
Prediction $9

Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (21.32) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (47.32) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.06) is above Signal line (-0.08) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.43, indicating the average weekly price range.

TRTX Quarterly Outlook
2025-06-30

Base Scenario

Probability 44.19%
from current -0.8%
Prediction $8

Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (21.32) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (47.32) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.06) is above Signal line (-0.08) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.43, indicating the average weekly price range.

TRTX Quarterly Outlook
2025-06-30

Bearish Scenario

Probability 28.57%
from current -11.2%
Prediction $7

Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (21.32) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (47.32) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.06) is above Signal line (-0.08) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.43, indicating the average weekly price range.

Annual Outlook

TRTX Annual Outlook
2025-06-30

Bullish Scenario

Probability 27.24%
from current 22.4%
Prediction $9

Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (21.32) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (47.32) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.06) is above Signal line (-0.08) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.43, indicating the average weekly price range.

TRTX Annual Outlook
2025-06-30

Base Scenario

Probability 44.19%
from current -1.6%
Prediction $8

Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (21.32) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (47.32) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.06) is above Signal line (-0.08) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.43, indicating the average weekly price range.

TRTX Annual Outlook
2025-06-30

Bearish Scenario

Probability 28.57%
from current -22.4%
Prediction $6

Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (21.32) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (47.32) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.06) is above Signal line (-0.08) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.43, indicating the average weekly price range.

Technical Analysis

Trend Identification

EMA

Exponential Moving Average

SELL
EMA(20) 7.87
EMA(55) 7.61
EMA(100) 7.96

Current price (7.68) is between Short MA (7.87) and Long MA (7.61), or near one of them. This suggests consolidation or mixed signals. Short MA (7.87) is above Long MA (7.61), a bullish crossover ('Golden Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates an upward trend. MAs (7.87, 7.61, 7.96) show mixed alignment, suggesting market indecision or range-bound activity. Market is in a choppy or sideways phase. Wait for a clearer trend to emerge before taking directional trades.

MACD

Moving Average Convergence Divergence

SELL
MACD Line(12) 0.04
Signal Line(26) 0.06
Histogram(9) -0.02

MACD line is below the Signal line (bearish crossover). This indicates downward momentum. Histogram (-0.0200) is negative and expanding, confirming bearish momentum. Both MACD and Signal lines are above the zero line, reinforcing bullish momentum (bullish territory). A bearish crossover above the zero line can indicate a reversal from a prior uptrend. Consider this as a potential early sell signal.

ADX

Average Directional Index

NEUTRAL
ADX(14) 10.19
+DI 20.81
-DI 30.04

ADX (10.19) indicates a weak or non-existent trend (ranging market). -DI (30.04) is above +DI (20.81), suggesting a bearish directional bias. Avoid trend-following strategies. Consider range-bound or reversal strategies, or wait for a clearer trend to develop.

Momentum Measurement

RSI

Relative Strength Index

SELL
Current RSI(14) 43.95
Oversold Neutral Overbought

RSI (43.95) is in the bearish territory, but not yet oversold. This indicates downward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of strength.

OBV

On-Balance Volume

Rising
OBV Trend Upward
OBV vs Price Confirming

OBV (-12894989.00) is falling, indicating selling pressure and distribution. Price is falling and OBV is falling. This is bearish confirmation, indicating selling pressure supports the price decrease. Consider holding short positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.

Stochastic

Stochastic Oscillator

SELL
%K Line 43.47
%D Line 53.15

Stochastics (%K: 43.47, %D: 53.15) are in the neutral zone (between 20 and 80). A bearish crossover (%K below %D) is observed. This indicates downward momentum. Be cautious if it's already in the oversold region.

CCI

Commodity Channel Index

BUY
CCI(20) -250.34

CCI (-250.34) is below -100. This suggests a strong downward momentum and an oversold condition. Consider buying or looking for long entries cautiously. Confirm with price action; if price is making lower lows, momentum is strong. Look for rallies to enter short.

Volatility Measurement

ATR

Average True Range

0.17
ATR(14) 0.17
ATR % of Price ...%

Current ATR is 0.1700. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility Bands

SELL
Upper Band 8.14
Middle Band (MA20) 7.87
Lower Band 7.59
Band Width 7%

Current price (7.68) is within the Bollinger Bands (7.59 - 8.14). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is below the Middle Band (7.87), indicating short-term bearish bias.

Risk Management & Potential Reversals

SAR

Parabolic Stop and Reverse

SELL
Current SAR 8.1
Distance from Price 5.47%

SAR points above price indicate bearish trend. Current SAR at 8.10 is 5.47% from price. Consider SAR as a potential take-profit level or to confirm a downtrend.

RSI

Reversal Perspective

No Divergence
RSI Divergence None
Overbought/Oversold Neither

Current RSI level is in neutral territory. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.

Stochastic

Neutral

Approaching Overbought
Stochastic Position 43.5
Crossover Status Bearish

Stochastic is in neutral territory (43.5). No clear overbought/oversold signal. Current crossover status: Bearish.

Bollinger Bands

Reversal Perspective

Bearish Bias
Band Position Lower Half
Band Squeeze None

Bands show normal bandwidth. Price is in the lower half of the bands, suggesting a bearish bias.No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.

Holder List (Top 20)

Holder Name Holder Type Shares Pct. Held Date Reported
Long Pond Capital, LP INSTITUTIONAL 7303626 9.15% 2025-03-31
TPG GP A, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 7086779 8.87% 2025-03-31
Blackrock Inc. INSTITUTIONAL 5919723 7.41% 2025-03-31
Vanguard Group Inc INSTITUTIONAL 5025832 6.29% 2025-03-31
Morgan Stanley INSTITUTIONAL 4001155 5.01% 2025-03-31
Goldman Sachs Group Inc INSTITUTIONAL 3930865 4.92% 2025-03-31
Nan Shan Life Insurance Co., Ltd. INSTITUTIONAL 2853485 3.57% 2025-03-31
Gratia Capital, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 2096856 2.63% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund MUTUALFUND 2031714 2.54% 2025-03-31
Citigroup Inc. INSTITUTIONAL 1903490 2.38% 2025-03-31
State Street Corporation INSTITUTIONAL 1586949 1.99% 2025-03-31
iShares Trust-iShares Russell 2000 ETF MUTUALFUND 1529707 1.92% 2025-04-30
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Extended Market Index Fund MUTUALFUND 1043128 1.31% 2025-03-31
GLOBAL X FUNDS-Global X SuperDividend ETF MUTUALFUND 909827 1.14% 2025-04-30
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Small-Cap Index Fund MUTUALFUND 807816 1.01% 2025-03-31
iShares Trust-iShares Mortgage Real Estate ETF MUTUALFUND 802991 1.01% 2025-04-30
Fidelity Salem Street Trust-Fidelity Small Cap Index Fund MUTUALFUND 611111 0.77% 2025-02-28
iShares Trust-iShares Russell 2000 Value ETF MUTUALFUND 561933 0.7% 2025-04-30
VanEck ETF Trust-VanEck Mortgage REIT Income ETF MUTUALFUND 530568 0.66% 2025-04-30
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Small-Cap Value Index Fund MUTUALFUND 523969 0.66% 2025-03-31