TRV The Travelers Cos., Inc.

Insurance - Property & Casualty NYSE

$267.54 +4.23 (1.58%)
update: 2025-07-01
Prev Close $263.3
Market Cap $59.23B
Day Range $262.80 - $268.00
Open $264.06
P/E Ratio 14.22
52W Change 22.26%
24H Volume 1.31M
Dividend Yield 1.68%
EPS 18.78094
DAY WEEK PRICE LEVEL

Trading Signals

Overall Signal

BUY

Strong buyish signal based on multiple indicators.

Confidence: 37.6%
Updated: 2025-07-01

Key Price Levels

Support Levels

  • Strong Support $253.39
  • Medium Support $258.1
  • Weak Support $262.82

Resistance Levels

  • Weak Resistance $272.26
  • Medium Resistance $276.98
  • Strong Resistance $281.69

Stop Loss Suggestions

  • Conservative $260.19
  • Moderate $260.46
  • Aggressive $255.75

Analyst Ratings

Current Rating

Strong Buy 5
Buy 3
Hold 11
Sell 0
Strong Sell 3

Chart Analyst Ratings Loading

Last Month

Strong Buy 6
Buy 3
Hold 11
Sell 0
Strong Sell 3

2 Months Ago

Strong Buy 6
Buy 3
Hold 12
Sell 0
Strong Sell 3

3 Months Ago

Strong Buy 5
Buy 3
Hold 13
Sell 1
Strong Sell 3

Signal Indicator

Indicator Signal Strength Timeframe
Moving Averages BUY
Short & Medium Term
Oscillators BUY
Short Term
Trend Indicators SELL
Short & Medium Term
Volume Indicators BUY
Short & Medium Term
Support/Resistance NEUTRAL
Short Term
Data Source: Consolidated ratings from various investment bank analysts. Ratings may change over time.

Stock Price Prediction Price Target Probabilities

Quarterly Outlook

TRV Quarterly Outlook
2025-07-01

Bullish Scenario

Probability 20.33%
from current 8.01%
Prediction $289

Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (14.42) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (57.07) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (6.59) is below Signal line (7.20) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 10.72, indicating the average weekly price range.

TRV Quarterly Outlook
2025-07-01

Base Scenario

Probability 53.85%
from current -1%
Prediction $265

Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (14.42) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (57.07) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (6.59) is below Signal line (7.20) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 10.72, indicating the average weekly price range.

TRV Quarterly Outlook
2025-07-01

Bearish Scenario

Probability 25.82%
from current -8.01%
Prediction $246

Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (14.42) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (57.07) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (6.59) is below Signal line (7.20) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 10.72, indicating the average weekly price range.

Annual Outlook

TRV Annual Outlook
2025-07-01

Bullish Scenario

Probability 20.33%
from current 16.03%
Prediction $310

Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (14.42) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (57.07) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (6.59) is below Signal line (7.20) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 10.72, indicating the average weekly price range.

TRV Annual Outlook
2025-07-01

Base Scenario

Probability 53.85%
from current -2%
Prediction $262

Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (14.42) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (57.07) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (6.59) is below Signal line (7.20) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 10.72, indicating the average weekly price range.

TRV Annual Outlook
2025-07-01

Bearish Scenario

Probability 25.82%
from current -16.03%
Prediction $225

Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (14.42) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (57.07) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (6.59) is below Signal line (7.20) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 10.72, indicating the average weekly price range.

Technical Analysis

Trend Identification

EMA

Exponential Moving Average

BUY
EMA(20) 266.91
EMA(55) 263.59
EMA(100) 259.57

Current price (267.54) is above both Short MA (266.91) and Long MA (263.59). This indicates strong bullish momentum. Short MA (266.91) is above Long MA (263.59), a bullish crossover ('Golden Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates an upward trend. All MAs are in bullish order (Price > Short MA > Long MA > Very Long MA 259.57). This is a strong bullish alignment. Consider long positions. Use the MAs as dynamic support levels.

MACD

Moving Average Convergence Divergence

SELL
MACD Line(12) -1.02
Signal Line(26) -0.76
Histogram(9) -0.26

MACD line is below the Signal line (bearish crossover). This indicates downward momentum. Histogram (-0.2600) is negative and expanding, confirming bearish momentum. Both MACD and Signal lines are below the zero line, reinforcing bearish momentum (bearish territory). This is a strong sell signal. Consider short positions.

ADX

Average Directional Index

NEUTRAL
ADX(14) 11.93
+DI 24.2
-DI 21.16

ADX (11.93) indicates a weak or non-existent trend (ranging market). +DI (24.20) is above -DI (21.16), suggesting a bullish directional bias. Avoid trend-following strategies. Consider range-bound or reversal strategies, or wait for a clearer trend to develop.

Momentum Measurement

RSI

Relative Strength Index

BUY
Current RSI(14) 51.9
Oversold Neutral Overbought

RSI (51.90) is in the bullish territory, but not yet overbought. This indicates upward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of weakness.

OBV

On-Balance Volume

Rising
OBV Trend Upward
OBV vs Price Confirming

OBV (7324400.00) is rising, indicating buying pressure and accumulation. Price is rising and OBV is rising. This is bullish confirmation, indicating buying pressure supports the price increase. Consider holding long positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.

Stochastic

Stochastic Oscillator

BUY
%K Line 46.45
%D Line 28.48

Stochastics (%K: 46.45, %D: 28.48) are in the neutral zone (between 20 and 80). A bullish crossover (%K above %D) is observed, potentially signaling an upward trend reversal or continuation. Stronger signal if this occurs below 50.

CCI

Commodity Channel Index

BUY
CCI(20) 72.92

CCI (72.92) is between 0 and +100. This indicates bullish momentum is present, but not yet extreme. A move above 0 from negative territory (bullish zero-line cross) can indicate a potential buy signal.

Volatility Measurement

ATR

Average True Range

4.98
ATR(14) 4.98
ATR % of Price ...%

Current ATR is 4.9800. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility Bands

BUY
Upper Band 275.92
Middle Band (MA20) 266.91
Lower Band 257.91
Band Width 7%

Current price (267.54) is within the Bollinger Bands (257.91 - 275.92). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is above the Middle Band (266.91), indicating short-term bullish bias.

Risk Management & Potential Reversals

SAR

Parabolic Stop and Reverse

BUY
Current SAR 260.19
Distance from Price 2.75%

SAR points below price indicate bullish trend. Current SAR at 260.19 is 2.75% from price. Consider SAR as a potential stop-loss level to protect gains in an uptrend.

Stochastic

Neutral

Approaching Overbought
Stochastic Position 46.5
Crossover Status Bullish

Stochastic is in neutral territory (46.5). No clear overbought/oversold signal. Current crossover status: Bullish.

RSI

Reversal Perspective

No Divergence
RSI Divergence None
Overbought/Oversold Neither

Current RSI level is in neutral territory. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.

Bollinger Bands

Reversal Perspective

Normal Volatility
Band Position Mid-Range
Band Squeeze None

Bands show normal bandwidth. Price is in the middle of bands with normal bandwidth. No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.

Holder List (Top 20)

Holder Name Holder Type Shares Pct. Held Date Reported
Vanguard Group Inc INSTITUTIONAL 21733556 9.59% 2025-03-31
Blackrock Inc. INSTITUTIONAL 20783318 9.17% 2025-03-31
State Street Corporation INSTITUTIONAL 15686866 6.92% 2025-03-31
FMR, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 15115944 6.67% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund MUTUALFUND 7158266 3.16% 2025-03-31
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO INSTITUTIONAL 6875035 3.03% 2025-03-31
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard 500 Index Fund MUTUALFUND 6300560 2.78% 2025-03-31
Massachusetts Financial Services Co. INSTITUTIONAL 5852915 2.58% 2025-03-31
SPDR DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE ETF TRUST MUTUALFUND 5535784 2.44% 2025-04-30
Geode Capital Management, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 5487456 2.42% 2025-03-31
Morgan Stanley INSTITUTIONAL 4438785 1.96% 2025-03-31
ClearBridge Investments, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 4153683 1.83% 2025-03-31
MFS SERIES TRUST I-MFS Value Fund MUTUALFUND 4016949 1.77% 2025-02-28
Bank of America Corporation INSTITUTIONAL 3572380 1.58% 2025-03-31
Fidelity Concord Street Trust-Fidelity 500 Index Fund MUTUALFUND 2848039 1.26% 2025-04-30
SPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUST MUTUALFUND 2731120 1.21% 2025-04-30
iShares Trust-iShares Core S&P 500 ETF MUTUALFUND 2685750 1.19% 2025-04-30
VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Value Index Fund MUTUALFUND 1988247 0.88% 2025-03-31
Fidelity Rutland Square TRT II-Strategic Advisers Fidelity U.S. Total MUTUALFUND 1747474 0.77% 2025-04-30
SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST-The Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund MUTUALFUND 1627507 0.72% 2025-04-30