TWO Two Harbors Investment Corp.
REIT - Mortgage NYSE
Trading Signals
Overall Signal
SELL
Strong sellish signal based on multiple indicators.
Key Price Levels
Support Levels
- Strong Support $9.7
- Medium Support $9.94
- Weak Support $10.19
Resistance Levels
- Weak Resistance $10.67
- Medium Resistance $10.92
- Strong Resistance $11.16
Stop Loss Suggestions
- Conservative $11
- Moderate $10.79
- Aggressive $11.04
Analyst Ratings
Current Rating
Last Month
2 Months Ago
3 Months Ago
Signal Breakdown
| Indicator | Signal | Strength | Timeframe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moving Averages | SELL |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Oscillators | SELL |
|
Short Term |
| Trend Indicators | SELL |
|
Medium Term |
| Volume Indicators | SELL |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Support/Resistance | NEUTRAL |
|
Short Term |
Stock Price Prediction Price Target Probabilities
Quarterly Outlook
Bullish Scenario
13.52% from current
Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (21.65) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (40.37) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.34) is below Signal line (-0.17) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.71, indicating the average weekly price range.
Base Scenario
-6.76% from current
Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (21.65) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (40.37) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.34) is below Signal line (-0.17) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.71, indicating the average weekly price range.
Bearish Scenario
-16.9% from current
Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (21.65) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (40.37) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.34) is below Signal line (-0.17) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.71, indicating the average weekly price range.
Annual Outlook
Bullish Scenario
27.05% from current
Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (21.65) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (40.37) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.34) is below Signal line (-0.17) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.71, indicating the average weekly price range.
Base Scenario
-13.52% from current
Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (21.65) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (40.37) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.34) is below Signal line (-0.17) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.71, indicating the average weekly price range.
Bearish Scenario
-33.81% from current
Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (21.65) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (40.37) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.34) is below Signal line (-0.17) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 0.71, indicating the average weekly price range.
Technical Analysis
Trend Identification
EMA
Exponential Moving Average
Current price (10.43) is below both Short MA (10.69) and Long MA (11.33). This indicates strong bearish momentum. Short MA (10.69) is below Long MA (11.33), a bearish crossover ('Death Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates a downward trend. All MAs are in bearish order (Price < Short MA < Long MA < Very Long MA 12.21). This is a strong bearish alignment. Consider short positions. Use the MAs as dynamic resistance levels.
MACD
Moving Average Convergence Divergence
MACD line is crossing the Signal line. This is a crucial point, signaling a potential trend change. Monitor closely. Both MACD and Signal lines are below the zero line, reinforcing bearish momentum (bearish territory).
ADX
Average Directional Index
ADX (31.29) indicates a strong trend is present. -DI (30.49) is above +DI (12.66), suggesting a bearish directional bias. This combination points to a strong downward trend. Consider taking short positions, as the strong downward trend is confirmed.
Momentum Measurement
RSI
Relative Strength Index
RSI (38.45) is in the bearish territory, but not yet oversold. This indicates downward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of strength.
Stochastic
Stochastic Oscillator
Stochastics (%K: 35.26, %D: 29.36) are in the neutral zone (between 20 and 80). A bullish crossover (%K above %D) is observed, potentially signaling an upward trend reversal or continuation. Stronger signal if this occurs below 50.
CCI
Commodity Channel Index
CCI (-100.54) is below -100. This suggests a strong downward momentum and an oversold condition. Consider buying or looking for long entries cautiously. Confirm with price action; if price is making lower lows, momentum is strong. Look for rallies to enter short.
MACD
Momentum Perspective
MACD line is crossing the Signal line. This is a crucial point, signaling a potential trend change. Monitor closely. Both MACD and Signal lines are below the zero line, reinforcing bearish momentum (bearish territory).
Volatility Measurement
ATR
Average True Range
Current ATR is 0.2800. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.
Bollinger Bands
Volatility Bands
Current price (10.43) is within the Bollinger Bands (10.23 - 11.14). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is below the Middle Band (10.69), indicating short-term bearish bias.
Volume Analysis
OBV
On-Balance Volume
OBV (-19643004.00) is falling, indicating selling pressure and distribution. Price is falling and OBV is falling. This is bearish confirmation, indicating selling pressure supports the price decrease. Consider holding short positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.
Risk Management & Potential Reversals
SAR
Parabolic Stop and Reverse
SAR points above price indicate bearish trend. Current SAR at 11.00 is 5.47% from price. Consider SAR as a potential take-profit level or to confirm a downtrend.
RSI
Reversal Perspective
Current RSI level is in neutral territory. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.
Stochastic
Neutral
Stochastic is in neutral territory (35.3). No clear overbought/oversold signal. Current crossover status: Bullish.
Bollinger Bands
Reversal Perspective
Bands show normal bandwidth. Price is in the lower half of the bands, suggesting a bearish bias.No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.