VPV Invesco Pennsylvania Value Municipal Income Trust
Asset Management NYSE
Trading Signals (VPV)
Overall Signal
Key Price Levels
Support Levels
- Strong Support $9.8
- Medium Support $9.87
- Weak Support $9.93
Resistance Levels
- Weak Resistance $10.05
- Medium Resistance $10.11
- Strong Resistance $10.18
Stop Loss Suggestions
- Conservative $9.96
- Moderate $9.93
- Aggressive $9.9
Signal Indicator
| Indicator | Signal | Strength | Timeframe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moving Averages | NEUTRAL |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Oscillators | BUY |
|
Short Term |
| Trend Indicators | NEUTRAL |
|
Medium Term |
| Volume Indicators | NEUTRAL |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Support/Resistance | NEUTRAL |
|
Short Term |
Stock Price Prediction Price Target Probabilities (VPV)
Quarterly Outlook :
2026-04-02
Bullish Scenario
from current 4.25%
Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (11.57) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (50.26) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (-0.02) is above Signal line (-0.04) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.17, indicating the average weekly price range.
2026-04-02
Base Scenario
from current 0.85%
Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (11.57) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (50.26) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (-0.02) is above Signal line (-0.04) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.17, indicating the average weekly price range.
2026-04-02
Bearish Scenario
from current -3.4%
Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (11.57) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (50.26) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (-0.02) is above Signal line (-0.04) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.17, indicating the average weekly price range.
Annual Outlook
2026-04-02
Bullish Scenario
from current 8.51%
Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (11.57) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (50.26) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (-0.02) is above Signal line (-0.04) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.17, indicating the average weekly price range.
2026-04-02
Base Scenario
from current 1.7%
Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (11.57) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (50.26) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (-0.02) is above Signal line (-0.04) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.17, indicating the average weekly price range.
2026-04-02
Bearish Scenario
from current -6.81%
Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (11.57) indicates a weak or ranging trend. Market is likely in a consolidation or range-bound phase. RSI (50.26) is in bullish territory, indicating upward momentum. MACD line (-0.02) is above Signal line (-0.04) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.17, indicating the average weekly price range.
Technical Analysis (VPV)
Trend Identification
EMA
Exponential Moving Average
Current price (9.99) is between Short MA (10.00) and Long MA (9.94), or near one of them. This suggests consolidation or mixed signals. Short MA (10.00) is above Long MA (9.94), a bullish crossover ('Golden Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates an upward trend. MAs (10.00, 9.94, 9.99) show mixed alignment, suggesting market indecision or range-bound activity. Market is in a choppy or sideways phase. Wait for a clearer trend to emerge before taking directional trades.
MACD
Moving Average Convergence Divergence
MACD line is crossing the Signal line. This is a crucial point, signaling a potential trend change. Monitor closely. MACD and Signal lines are near the zero line, indicating weak momentum or market consolidation.
ADX
Average Directional Index
ADX (15.57) indicates a weak or non-existent trend (ranging market). +DI (24.24) is above -DI (15.48), suggesting a bullish directional bias. Avoid trend-following strategies. Consider range-bound or reversal strategies, or wait for a clearer trend to develop.
Momentum Measurement
RSI (2026-04-02)
Relative Strength Index
RSI (52.27) is in the bullish territory, but not yet overbought. This indicates upward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of weakness.
OBV (2026-04-02)
On-Balance Volume
OBV (-744247.00) is flat, indicating indecision or a balanced market. Price is relatively stable. OBV movement will indicate hidden accumulation/distribution.
Stochastic (2026-04-02)
Stochastic Oscillator
Stochastics (%K: 73.87, %D: 75.27) are in the neutral zone (between 20 and 80). No clear bullish or bearish crossover signal currently. The lines are close or moving sideways.
CCI (2026-04-02)
Commodity Channel Index
CCI (68.83) is between 0 and +100. This indicates bullish momentum is present, but not yet extreme. A move above 0 from negative territory (bullish zero-line cross) can indicate a potential buy signal.
Volatility Measurement
ATR (2026-04-02)
Average True Range
Current ATR is 0.0800. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.
Bollinger Bands (2026-04-02)
Volatility Bands
Current price (9.99) is within the Bollinger Bands (9.86 - 10.14). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is below the Middle Band (10.00), indicating short-term bearish bias.
Risk Management & Potential Reversals (VPV)
SAR (2026-04-02)
Parabolic Stop and Reverse
SAR points below price indicate bullish trend. Current SAR at 9.88 is 1.10% from price. Consider SAR as a potential stop-loss level to protect gains in an uptrend.
Stochastic (2026-04-02)
Approaching Overbought
Stochastic is approaching overbought territory (73.9). No reversal signal yet. Monitor for potential bearish crossover (K below D) or entry into overbought (80+) followed by reversal.
RSI (2026-04-02)
Reversal Perspective
Current RSI level is in neutral territory. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.
Bollinger Bands (2026-04-02)
Reversal Perspective
Bands show normal bandwidth. Price is in the middle of bands with normal bandwidth. No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.
Holder List Top 20 (VPV)
| Holder Name | Holder Type | Shares | Pct. Held | Date Reported |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robinson Capital Management, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 385684 | 2.16% | 2025-03-31 |
| INVESTMENT MANAGERS SERIES TRUST-Robinson Tax Advantaged Income Fund | MUTUALFUND | 385684 | 2.16% | 2025-03-31 |
| Rivernorth Capital Management, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 197825 | 1.11% | 2025-03-31 |
| Saba Capital Management, L.P. | INSTITUTIONAL | 166030 | 0.93% | 2025-03-31 |
| Morgan Stanley | INSTITUTIONAL | 146728 | 0.82% | 2025-03-31 |
| Bank of America Corporation | INSTITUTIONAL | 101989 | 0.57% | 2025-03-31 |
| Wolverine Asset Management, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 83276 | 0.47% | 2025-03-31 |
| Yakira Capital Management, Inc. | INSTITUTIONAL | 59968 | 0.34% | 2025-03-31 |
| North Ground Capital | INSTITUTIONAL | 55335 | 0.31% | 2025-03-31 |
| SIT Investment Associates Inc | INSTITUTIONAL | 51685 | 0.29% | 2025-03-31 |
| Exchange Listed Funds Trust-Saba Closed-End Funds ETF | MUTUALFUND | 41184 | 0.23% | 2025-02-28 |
| Confluence Wealth Services, Inc. | INSTITUTIONAL | 37480 | 0.21% | 2025-03-31 |
| Clearwater Investment Trust-Clearwater Tax-Exempt Bond Fund | MUTUALFUND | 18003 | 0.1% | 2025-03-31 |
| SIT MUTUAL FUNDS II INC-Sit Tax-Free Income Fund | MUTUALFUND | 8257 | 0.05% | 2025-03-31 |
| Saba Capital Income & Opportunities Fund II | MUTUALFUND | 7292 | 0.04% | 2025-01-31 |
| NEW YORK LIFE INVESTMENTS Fd.S TRT-NYLI MacKay High Yield Muni Bond Fd | MUTUALFUND | 4902 | 0.03% | 2025-01-31 |
| Rydex Variable Trust-Multi-Hedge Strategies Fund | MUTUALFUND | 370 | 0% | 2025-03-31 |
| Rydex Series Funds-Guggenheim Multi-Hedge Strategies Fund | MUTUALFUND | 283 | 0% | 2025-03-31 |
| insidersPercentHeld | MAJOR | 0% | ||
| institutionsPercentHeld | MAJOR | 0% |