ADVM Adverum Biotechnologies, Inc.
Biotechnology NasdaqCM
Trading Signals (ADVM)
Overall Signal
SELL
Strong sellish signal based on multiple indicators.
Key Price Levels
Support Levels
- Strong Support $1.57
- Medium Support $1.81
- Weak Support $2.04
Resistance Levels
- Weak Resistance $2.52
- Medium Resistance $2.75
- Strong Resistance $2.99
Stop Loss Suggestions
- Conservative $2.47
- Moderate $2.64
- Aggressive $2.87
Analyst Ratings
Current Rating
Last Month
2 Months Ago
3 Months Ago
Signal Indicator
| Indicator | Signal | Strength | Timeframe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moving Averages | SELL |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Oscillators | SELL |
|
Short Term |
| Trend Indicators | NEUTRAL |
|
Medium Term |
| Volume Indicators | BUY |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Support/Resistance | NEUTRAL |
|
Short Term |
Stock Price Prediction Price Target Probabilities (ADVM)
Quarterly Outlook :
2025-07-05
Bullish Scenario
from current 64.91%
Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (21.89) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (33.66) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.88) is above Signal line (-0.92) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.74, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-07-05
Base Scenario
from current -4.64%
Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (21.89) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (33.66) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.88) is above Signal line (-0.92) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.74, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-07-05
Bearish Scenario
from current -64.91%
Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (21.89) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (33.66) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.88) is above Signal line (-0.92) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.74, indicating the average weekly price range.
Annual Outlook
2025-07-05
Bullish Scenario
from current 129.82%
Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (21.89) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (33.66) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.88) is above Signal line (-0.92) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.74, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-07-05
Base Scenario
from current -9.27%
Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (21.89) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (33.66) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.88) is above Signal line (-0.92) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.74, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-07-05
Bearish Scenario
from current -129.82%
Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (21.89) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (33.66) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-0.88) is above Signal line (-0.92) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 0.74, indicating the average weekly price range.
Technical Analysis (ADVM)
Trend Identification
EMA
Exponential Moving Average
Current price (2.28) is below both Short MA (2.46) and Long MA (2.68). This indicates strong bearish momentum. Short MA (2.46) is below Long MA (2.68), a bearish crossover ('Death Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates a downward trend. All MAs are in bearish order (Price < Short MA < Long MA < Very Long MA 3.39). This is a strong bearish alignment. Consider short positions. Use the MAs as dynamic resistance levels.
MACD
Moving Average Convergence Divergence
MACD line is crossing the Signal line. This is a crucial point, signaling a potential trend change. Monitor closely. Both MACD and Signal lines are below the zero line, reinforcing bearish momentum (bearish territory).
ADX
Average Directional Index
ADX (13.72) indicates a weak or non-existent trend (ranging market). -DI (21.87) is above +DI (15.98), suggesting a bearish directional bias. Avoid trend-following strategies. Consider range-bound or reversal strategies, or wait for a clearer trend to develop.
Momentum Measurement
RSI (2025-07-05)
Relative Strength Index
RSI (44.19) is in the bearish territory, but not yet oversold. This indicates downward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of strength.
OBV (2025-07-05)
On-Balance Volume
OBV (-7098705.00) is rising, indicating buying pressure and accumulation. Price is rising and OBV is rising. This is bullish confirmation, indicating buying pressure supports the price increase. Consider holding long positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.
Stochastic (2025-07-05)
Stochastic Oscillator
Stochastics (%K: 34.45, %D: 27.96) are in the neutral zone (between 20 and 80). A bullish crossover (%K above %D) is observed, potentially signaling an upward trend reversal or continuation. Stronger signal if this occurs below 50.
CCI (2025-07-05)
Commodity Channel Index
CCI (-60.04) is between -100 and 0. This indicates bearish momentum is present, but not yet extreme. A move below 0 from positive territory (bearish zero-line cross) can indicate a potential sell signal.
Volatility Measurement
ATR (2025-07-05)
Average True Range
Current ATR is 0.2300. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.
Bollinger Bands (2025-07-05)
Volatility Bands
Current price (2.28) is within the Bollinger Bands (2.02 - 2.89). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is below the Middle Band (2.46), indicating short-term bearish bias. Bollinger Bands are wide. This indicates high volatility. Prices tend to revert to the mean after extended periods of high volatility.
Risk Management & Potential Reversals (ADVM)
SAR (2025-07-05)
Parabolic Stop and Reverse
SAR points above price indicate bearish trend. Current SAR at 2.44 is 7.02% from price. Consider SAR as a potential take-profit level or to confirm a downtrend.
Stochastic (2025-07-05)
Neutral
Stochastic is in neutral territory (34.5). No clear overbought/oversold signal. Current crossover status: Bullish.
RSI (2025-07-05)
Reversal Perspective
Current RSI level is in neutral territory. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.
Bollinger Bands (2025-07-05)
Reversal Perspective
Bollinger Bands are widening, indicating high volatility and potential strong trend continuation.Price is in the lower half of the bands, suggesting a bearish bias.No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.
Holder List Top 20 (ADVM)
| Holder Name | Holder Type | Shares | Pct. Held | Date Reported |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BML Capital Management, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 2742317 | 13.13% | 2025-03-31 |
| TCG Crossover Management, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 1796482 | 8.6% | 2025-03-31 |
| Franklin Resources, Inc. | INSTITUTIONAL | 1760056 | 8.43% | 2025-03-31 |
| Principia Wealth Advisory, Llc | INSTITUTIONAL | 1696815 | 8.12% | 2025-03-31 |
| Blackrock Inc. | INSTITUTIONAL | 1426855 | 6.83% | 2025-03-31 |
| Frazier Life Sciences Management, L.P. | INSTITUTIONAL | 1069244 | 5.12% | 2025-03-31 |
| Vanguard Group Inc | INSTITUTIONAL | 1029326 | 4.93% | 2025-03-31 |
| Franklin Strategic Series-FRANKLIN BIOTECHNOLOGY DISCOVERY FUND | MUTUALFUND | 624737 | 2.99% | 2025-01-31 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 586245 | 2.81% | 2025-03-31 |
| 5AM Venture Management, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 541666 | 2.59% | 2025-03-31 |
| iShares Trust-iShares Russell 2000 ETF | MUTUALFUND | 517031 | 2.47% | 2025-04-30 |
| Versant Venture Management, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 506821 | 2.43% | 2025-03-31 |
| Goldman Sachs Group Inc | INSTITUTIONAL | 460830 | 2.21% | 2025-03-31 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Extended Market Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 285796 | 1.37% | 2025-03-31 |
| Fidelity Salem Street Trust-Fidelity Small Cap Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 207142 | 0.99% | 2025-02-28 |
| iShares Trust-iShares Russell 2000 Value ETF | MUTUALFUND | 188519 | 0.9% | 2025-04-30 |
| VANGUARD SCOTTSDALE FUNDS-Vanguard Russell 2000 Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 94908 | 0.45% | 2025-02-28 |
| Fidelity Concord Street Trust-Fidelity Extended Market Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 88889 | 0.43% | 2025-04-30 |
| SCHWAB CAPITAL TRUST-Schwab Small-Cap Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 49021 | 0.23% | 2025-01-31 |
| DFA INVESTMENT DIMENSIONS GROUP INC-U.S. SMALL CAP PORTFOLIO | MUTUALFUND | 48596 | 0.23% | 2025-01-31 |