HWM Howmet Aerospace, Inc.
Aerospace & Defense NYSE
Trading Signals
Overall Signal
BUY
Strong buyish signal based on multiple indicators.
Key Price Levels
Support Levels
- Strong Support $173.73
- Medium Support $177.86
- Weak Support $182
Resistance Levels
- Weak Resistance $190.27
- Medium Resistance $194.4
- Strong Resistance $198.54
Stop Loss Suggestions
- Conservative $169.69
- Moderate $179.93
- Aggressive $175.79
Analyst Ratings
Current Rating
Last Month
2 Months Ago
3 Months Ago
Signal Indicator
| Indicator | Signal | Strength | Timeframe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moving Averages | BUY |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Oscillators | SELL |
|
Short Term |
| Trend Indicators | BUY |
|
Medium Term |
| Volume Indicators | BUY |
|
Short & Medium Term |
| Support/Resistance | NEUTRAL |
|
Short Term |
Stock Price Prediction Price Target Probabilities
Quarterly Outlook
2025-07-02
Bullish Scenario
from current 12.91%
Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (34.01) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (78.24) is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential for price correction. MACD line (17.33) is above Signal line (14.21) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 9.61, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-07-02
Base Scenario
from current 2.95%
Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (34.01) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (78.24) is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential for price correction. MACD line (17.33) is above Signal line (14.21) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 9.61, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-07-02
Bearish Scenario
from current -10.33%
Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (34.01) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (78.24) is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential for price correction. MACD line (17.33) is above Signal line (14.21) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 9.61, indicating the average weekly price range.
Annual Outlook
2025-07-02
Bullish Scenario
from current 25.82%
Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (34.01) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (78.24) is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential for price correction. MACD line (17.33) is above Signal line (14.21) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 9.61, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-07-02
Base Scenario
from current 5.9%
Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (34.01) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (78.24) is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential for price correction. MACD line (17.33) is above Signal line (14.21) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 9.61, indicating the average weekly price range.
2025-07-02
Bearish Scenario
from current -20.65%
Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (34.01) indicates a strong trend. +DI > -DI suggests strong bullish directional bias. RSI (78.24) is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential for price correction. MACD line (17.33) is above Signal line (14.21) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Both lines are above zero, reinforcing bullish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 9.61, indicating the average weekly price range.
Technical Analysis
Trend Identification
EMA
Exponential Moving Average
Current price (186.13) is above both Short MA (174.40) and Long MA (154.55). This indicates strong bullish momentum. Short MA (174.40) is above Long MA (154.55), a bullish crossover ('Golden Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates an upward trend. All MAs are in bullish order (Price > Short MA > Long MA > Very Long MA 144.91). This is a strong bullish alignment. Consider long positions. Use the MAs as dynamic support levels.
MACD
Moving Average Convergence Divergence
MACD line is above the Signal line (bullish crossover). This indicates upward momentum. Histogram (0.4300) is positive and expanding, confirming bullish momentum. Both MACD and Signal lines are above the zero line, reinforcing bullish momentum (bullish territory). This is a strong buy signal. Consider long positions.
ADX
Average Directional Index
ADX (28.05) indicates a strong trend is present. +DI (33.00) is above -DI (11.30), suggesting a bullish directional bias. This combination points to a strong upward trend. Consider taking long positions, as the strong upward trend is confirmed.
Momentum Measurement
RSI
Relative Strength Index
RSI (79.43) is in the overbought zone. This suggests the asset may be due for a price correction or a trend reversal downwards. Consider profit-taking or short-selling opportunities cautiously.
OBV
On-Balance Volume
OBV (121185200.00) is rising, indicating buying pressure and accumulation. Price is rising and OBV is rising. This is bullish confirmation, indicating buying pressure supports the price increase. Consider holding long positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.
Stochastic
Stochastic Oscillator
Stochastics (%K: 87.05, %D: 82.56) are in the overbought zone (above 80). This suggests the asset may be losing upward momentum. A bullish crossover (%K above %D) is observed. This indicates upward momentum. Be cautious if it's already in the overbought region.
CCI
Commodity Channel Index
CCI (193.61) is above +100. This suggests a strong upward momentum and an overbought condition. Consider profit-taking or looking for short entries cautiously. Confirm with price action; if price is making higher highs, momentum is strong. Look for pullbacks to enter long.
Volatility Measurement
ATR
Average True Range
Current ATR is 4.2100. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.
Bollinger Bands
Volatility Bands
Current price (186.13) is above the Upper Bollinger Band (183.00). This often indicates an overextended move and a potential reversal downwards, or strong upward momentum ('walking the band'). Consider shorting or taking profit on long positions, but confirm with other indicators.
Risk Management & Potential Reversals
SAR
Parabolic Stop and Reverse
SAR points below price indicate bullish trend. Current SAR at 169.69 is 8.83% from price. Consider SAR as a potential stop-loss level to protect gains in an uptrend.
Stochastic
Overbought
Stochastic is in overbought territory (87.0). Monitor for potential bearish crossover or movement below 80, which could signal a reversal. Current crossover status: Bullish.
RSI
Reversal Perspective
Current RSI level suggests overbought conditions, indicating potential for a bearish reversal. An RSI divergence has been detected, which often precedes a price reversal. Monitor closely.
Bollinger Bands
Reversal Perspective
Bands show normal bandwidth. Price is above the upper band, indicating overbought conditions or strong upward momentum. Expect a potential pullback or trend exhaustion.No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.
Holder List (Top 20)
| Holder Name | Holder Type | Shares | Pct. Held | Date Reported |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Group Inc | INSTITUTIONAL | 47813262 | 11.82% | 2025-03-31 |
| Blackrock Inc. | INSTITUTIONAL | 44728445 | 11.06% | 2025-03-31 |
| JPMORGAN CHASE & CO | INSTITUTIONAL | 24450547 | 6.05% | 2025-03-31 |
| State Street Corporation | INSTITUTIONAL | 17480651 | 4.32% | 2025-03-31 |
| FMR, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 16968218 | 4.2% | 2025-03-31 |
| Massachusetts Financial Services Co. | INSTITUTIONAL | 15161551 | 3.75% | 2025-03-31 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 12790045 | 3.16% | 2025-03-31 |
| Price (T.Rowe) Associates Inc | INSTITUTIONAL | 12720561 | 3.15% | 2025-03-31 |
| Bank of America Corporation | INSTITUTIONAL | 12126875 | 3% | 2025-03-31 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard 500 Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 11253689 | 2.78% | 2025-03-31 |
| Janus Henderson Group PLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 11170635 | 2.76% | 2025-03-31 |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | INSTITUTIONAL | 10218927 | 2.53% | 2025-03-31 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Mid-Cap Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 8722577 | 2.16% | 2025-03-31 |
| Fidelity Concord Street Trust-Fidelity 500 Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 5087711 | 1.26% | 2025-04-30 |
| SPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUST | MUTUALFUND | 4878828 | 1.21% | 2025-04-30 |
| JANUS INVESTMENT FUND-Janus Henderson Forty Fund | MUTUALFUND | 4864074 | 1.2% | 2025-03-31 |
| iShares Trust-iShares Core S&P 500 ETF | MUTUALFUND | 4797712 | 1.19% | 2025-04-30 |
| VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Growth Index Fund | MUTUALFUND | 4545740 | 1.12% | 2025-03-31 |
| MFS Series Trust II-MFS Growth Fund | MUTUALFUND | 4502494 | 1.11% | 2025-02-28 |
| MFS Series Trust IV-MFS Mid Cap Growth Fund | MUTUALFUND | 4061309 | 1% | 2025-02-28 |