KSPI Kaspi.kz JSC

Software - Infrastructure NasdaqGS

$84.89 -1.28 (-1.51%)
update: 2025-07-01
Prev Close $86.16
Market Cap $16.93B
Day Range $83.01 - $86.12
Open $86.01
P/E Ratio 8.44
52W Change -24.74%
24H Volume 260.7K
Dividend Yield 8.2%
EPS 6628.173
DAY WEEK PRICE LEVEL

Trading Signals

Overall Signal

SELL

Strong sellish signal based on multiple indicators.

Confidence: 21.6%
Updated: 2025-07-01

Key Price Levels

Support Levels

  • Strong Support $76.6
  • Medium Support $79.36
  • Weak Support $82.13

Resistance Levels

  • Weak Resistance $87.65
  • Medium Resistance $90.42
  • Strong Resistance $93.18

Stop Loss Suggestions

  • Conservative $87.1
  • Moderate $89.04
  • Aggressive $91.8

Analyst Ratings

Current Rating

Strong Buy 2
Buy 5
Hold 1
Sell 0
Strong Sell 0

Chart Analyst Ratings Loading

Last Month

Strong Buy 2
Buy 5
Hold 1
Sell 0
Strong Sell 0

2 Months Ago

Strong Buy 2
Buy 5
Hold 1
Sell 0
Strong Sell 0

3 Months Ago

Strong Buy 2
Buy 5
Hold 1
Sell 0
Strong Sell 0

Signal Indicator

Indicator Signal Strength Timeframe
Moving Averages NEUTRAL
Short & Medium Term
Oscillators BUY
Short Term
Trend Indicators BUY
Short & Medium Term
Volume Indicators SELL
Short & Medium Term
Support/Resistance NEUTRAL
Short Term
Data Source: Consolidated ratings from various investment bank analysts. Ratings may change over time.

Stock Price Prediction Price Target Probabilities

Quarterly Outlook

KSPI Quarterly Outlook
2025-07-01

Bullish Scenario

Probability 21.86%
from current 16.99%
Prediction $99

Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (26.57) indicates a strong trend. -DI > +DI suggests strong bearish directional bias. RSI (42.65) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-4.53) is above Signal line (-4.89) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 7.21, indicating the average weekly price range.

KSPI Quarterly Outlook
2025-07-01

Base Scenario

Probability 44.19%
from current -3.4%
Prediction $82

Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (26.57) indicates a strong trend. -DI > +DI suggests strong bearish directional bias. RSI (42.65) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-4.53) is above Signal line (-4.89) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 7.21, indicating the average weekly price range.

KSPI Quarterly Outlook
2025-07-01

Bearish Scenario

Probability 33.95%
from current -21.23%
Prediction $67

Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (26.57) indicates a strong trend. -DI > +DI suggests strong bearish directional bias. RSI (42.65) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-4.53) is above Signal line (-4.89) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 7.21, indicating the average weekly price range.

Annual Outlook

KSPI Annual Outlook
2025-07-01

Bullish Scenario

Probability 21.86%
from current 33.97%
Prediction $114

Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (26.57) indicates a strong trend. -DI > +DI suggests strong bearish directional bias. RSI (42.65) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-4.53) is above Signal line (-4.89) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 7.21, indicating the average weekly price range.

KSPI Annual Outlook
2025-07-01

Base Scenario

Probability 44.19%
from current -6.79%
Prediction $79

Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (26.57) indicates a strong trend. -DI > +DI suggests strong bearish directional bias. RSI (42.65) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-4.53) is above Signal line (-4.89) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 7.21, indicating the average weekly price range.

KSPI Annual Outlook
2025-07-01

Bearish Scenario

Probability 33.95%
from current -42.47%
Prediction $49

Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (26.57) indicates a strong trend. -DI > +DI suggests strong bearish directional bias. RSI (42.65) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-4.53) is above Signal line (-4.89) (bullish crossover), confirming upward momentum. Current Weekly ATR is 7.21, indicating the average weekly price range.

Technical Analysis

Trend Identification

EMA

Exponential Moving Average

NEUTRAL
EMA(20) 84.34
EMA(55) 84.98
EMA(100) 90.74

Current price (84.89) is between Short MA (84.34) and Long MA (84.98), or near one of them. This suggests consolidation or mixed signals. Short MA (84.34) is below Long MA (84.98), a bearish crossover ('Death Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates a downward trend. MAs (84.34, 84.98, 90.74) show mixed alignment, suggesting market indecision or range-bound activity. Market is in a choppy or sideways phase. Wait for a clearer trend to emerge before taking directional trades.

MACD

Moving Average Convergence Divergence

BUY
MACD Line(12) -0.29
Signal Line(26) -0.45
Histogram(9) 0.16

MACD line is above the Signal line (bullish crossover). This indicates upward momentum. Histogram (0.1600) is positive and expanding, confirming bullish momentum. Both MACD and Signal lines are below the zero line, reinforcing bearish momentum (bearish territory). A bullish crossover below the zero line can indicate a reversal from a prior downtrend. Consider this as a potential early buy signal.

ADX

Average Directional Index

NEUTRAL
ADX(14) 13.23
+DI 21.71
-DI 21.36

ADX (13.23) indicates a weak or non-existent trend (ranging market). +DI (21.71) is above -DI (21.36), suggesting a bullish directional bias. Avoid trend-following strategies. Consider range-bound or reversal strategies, or wait for a clearer trend to develop.

Momentum Measurement

RSI

Relative Strength Index

BUY
Current RSI(14) 51.78
Oversold Neutral Overbought

RSI (51.78) is in the bullish territory, but not yet overbought. This indicates upward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of weakness.

OBV

On-Balance Volume

Rising
OBV Trend Upward
OBV vs Price Confirming

OBV (-8238600.00) is falling, indicating selling pressure and distribution. Price is falling and OBV is falling. This is bearish confirmation, indicating selling pressure supports the price decrease. Consider holding short positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.

Stochastic

Stochastic Oscillator

NEUTRAL
%K Line 87.39
%D Line 73.73

Stochastics (%K: 87.39, %D: 73.73) are in the neutral zone (between 20 and 80). A bullish crossover (%K above %D) is observed. This indicates upward momentum. Be cautious if it's already in the overbought region.

CCI

Commodity Channel Index

BUY
CCI(20) 7.63

CCI (7.63) is between 0 and +100. This indicates bullish momentum is present, but not yet extreme. A move above 0 from negative territory (bullish zero-line cross) can indicate a potential buy signal.

Volatility Measurement

ATR

Average True Range

2.7
ATR(14) 2.7
ATR % of Price ...%

Current ATR is 2.7000. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility Bands

BUY
Upper Band 88.81
Middle Band (MA20) 84.34
Lower Band 79.87
Band Width 11%

Current price (84.89) is within the Bollinger Bands (79.87 - 88.81). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is above the Middle Band (84.34), indicating short-term bullish bias. Bollinger Bands are wide. This indicates high volatility. Prices tend to revert to the mean after extended periods of high volatility.

Risk Management & Potential Reversals

SAR

Parabolic Stop and Reverse

BUY
Current SAR 78.99
Distance from Price 6.95%

SAR points below price indicate bullish trend. Current SAR at 78.99 is 6.95% from price. Consider SAR as a potential stop-loss level to protect gains in an uptrend.

Stochastic

Overbought

Approaching Overbought
Stochastic Position 87.4
Crossover Status Bullish

Stochastic is in overbought territory (87.4). Monitor for potential bearish crossover or movement below 80, which could signal a reversal. Current crossover status: Bullish.

RSI

Reversal Perspective

No Divergence
RSI Divergence None
Overbought/Oversold Neither

Current RSI level is in neutral territory. No RSI divergence detected. Current RSI level doesn't suggest imminent reversal.

Bollinger Bands

Reversal Perspective

High Volatility
Band Position Mid-Range
Band Squeeze None

Bollinger Bands are widening, indicating high volatility and potential strong trend continuation.Price is in the middle of bands with normal bandwidth. No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.

Holder List (Top 20)

Holder Name Holder Type Shares Pct. Held Date Reported
Baring Fintech Fund III Managers Ltd INSTITUTIONAL 28565361 15.03% 2025-03-31
Baring Fintech Manager Holding Ltd INSTITUTIONAL 18051851 9.5% 2025-03-31
BAILLIE GIFFORD & CO INSTITUTIONAL 5260033 2.77% 2025-03-31
FIL LTD INSTITUTIONAL 4107787 2.16% 2025-03-31
Blackrock Inc. INSTITUTIONAL 2382555 1.25% 2025-03-31
GQG Partners LLC INSTITUTIONAL 1730163 0.91% 2025-03-31
Pzena Investment Management LLC INSTITUTIONAL 1432981 0.75% 2025-03-31
FMR, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 1429025 0.75% 2025-03-31
Schroder Investment Management Group INSTITUTIONAL 1359270 0.72% 2025-03-31
Sands Capital Management, LLC INSTITUTIONAL 1311457 0.69% 2025-03-31
Fidelity Rutland Square TRT II-Strategic Advisers Fidelity Emerging Ma MUTUALFUND 1070637 0.56% 2025-04-30
ADVISORS' INNER CIRCLE III-GQG PARTNERS EMERGING MARKETS EQUITY FUND MUTUALFUND 1027119 0.54% 2025-03-31
Fidelity Investment Trust-Fidelity Emerging Markets Fund MUTUALFUND 1021100 0.54% 2025-04-30
BLACKROCK EMERGING MARKETS FUND, INC. MUTUALFUND 561821 0.3% 2025-01-31
New World Fund Inc MUTUALFUND 409779 0.22% 2025-03-31
Baillie Gifford Funds-Baillie Gifford Emerging Markets Equities Fund MUTUALFUND 398128 0.21% 2025-03-31
Touchstone Strategic TRT-Touchstone Strategic TRT-Touchstone Sands Cap MUTUALFUND 356074 0.19% 2025-03-31
Advisors Series Trust-Pzena Emerging Markets Value Fund MUTUALFUND 332131 0.17% 2025-03-31
BlackRock Funds-BlackRock Technology Opportunities Fund MUTUALFUND 275924 0.15% 2025-02-28
Fidelity Rutland Square TRT II-Strategic Advisers Emerging Markets Fd. MUTUALFUND 234977 0.12% 2025-04-30