TPLTexas Pacific Land Corp.

Texas Pacific Land Corp. NYSE

$1084.21 +4.47 (0.41%)

update: 2025-06-23

1D 5D 1M

Trading Signals

Overall Signal

SELL

Strong sellish signal based on multiple indicators.

Confidence: 36.8%

Updated: 2025-06-23

Key Price Levels

Support Levels

Strong Support $980.72
Medium Support $1015.22
Weak Support $1049.71

Resistance Levels

Weak Resistance $1118.7
Medium Resistance $1153.2
Strong Resistance $1187.69

Stop Loss Suggestions

Conservative $1128
Moderate $1135.95
Aggressive $1170.45

Signal Breakdown

Indicator	Signal	Timeframe
Moving Averages	SELL	Short & Medium Term
Oscillators	SELL	Short Term
Trend Indicators	SELL	Medium Term
Volume Indicators	BUY	Short & Medium Term
Support/Resistance	NEUTRAL	Short Term

Stock Price Prediction

Price Target Probabilities

Quarterly Outlook

Bullish Scenario

9.3% Probability

$1347.76

24.82% from current price

Strong upward momentum and confirmed bullish trend, with potential for significant price appreciation. Indicators point to sustained buying pressure. ADX (21.46) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (42.71) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-13.07) is below Signal line (24.76) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 134.01, indicating the average weekly price range.

Base Scenario

44.19% Probability

$945.73

-12.41% from current price

Price is likely to continue its moderate trajectory, reflecting underlying market conditions and historical volatility. Indicators suggest a balanced outlook. ADX (21.46) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (42.71) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-13.07) is below Signal line (24.76) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 134.01, indicating the average weekly price range.

Bearish Scenario

46.51% Probability

$744.71

-31.03% from current price

Increased selling pressure and potential for a significant price correction or downtrend. Indicators suggest waning bullish momentum or strengthening bearish forces. ADX (21.46) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (42.71) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-13.07) is below Signal line (24.76) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 134.01, indicating the average weekly price range.

Annual Outlook

Bullish Scenario

9.3% Probability

$1615.78

49.65% from current price

Long-term bullish trend with strong fundamental catalysts and sustained institutional buying. Expect significant capital appreciation over the year. ADX (21.46) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (42.71) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-13.07) is below Signal line (24.76) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 134.01, indicating the average weekly price range.

Base Scenario

44.19% Probability

$811.72

-24.82% from current price

Steady long-term growth consistent with market and industry averages. Price expected to follow a typical growth trajectory. ADX (21.46) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (42.71) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-13.07) is below Signal line (24.76) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 134.01, indicating the average weekly price range.

Bearish Scenario

46.51% Probability

$409.69

-62.06% from current price

Long-term bearish trend with significant headwinds from economic factors, industry disruption, or company-specific issues. Expect notable price depreciation. ADX (21.46) indicates a developing or moderate trend. -DI > +DI suggests bearish directional bias. RSI (42.71) is in bearish territory, indicating downward momentum. MACD line (-13.07) is below Signal line (24.76) (bearish crossover), confirming downward momentum. Both lines are below zero, reinforcing bearish trend. Current Weekly ATR is 134.01, indicating the average weekly price range.

Technical Analysis

Trend Identification

EMA

Exponential Moving Average

SELL

EMA(20) 1136.92

EMA(50) 1250.67

EMA(200) 1288.48

Current price (1084.21) is below both Short MA (1136.92) and Long MA (1250.67). This indicates strong bearish momentum. Short MA (1136.92) is below Long MA (1250.67), a bearish crossover ('Death Cross' if it's a significant period). This indicates a downward trend. All MAs are in bearish order (Price < Short MA < Long MA < Very Long MA 1288.48). This is a strong bearish alignment. Consider short positions. Use the MAs as dynamic resistance levels.

MACD

Moving Average Convergence Divergence

BUY

MACD Line -54.01

Signal Line -54.29

Histogram 0.29

MACD line is above the Signal line (bullish crossover). This indicates upward momentum. Histogram (0.2900) is positive and expanding, confirming bullish momentum. Both MACD and Signal lines are below the zero line, reinforcing bearish momentum (bearish territory). A bullish crossover below the zero line can indicate a reversal from a prior downtrend. Consider this as a potential early buy signal.

ADX

Average Directional Index

SELL

ADX 34.03

+DI 10.44

-DI 25.43

ADX (34.03) indicates a strong trend is present. -DI (25.43) is above +DI (10.44), suggesting a bearish directional bias. This combination points to a strong downward trend. Consider taking short positions, as the strong downward trend is confirmed.

Momentum Measurement

RSI

Relative Strength Index

SELL

Current RSI 32.73

Oversold Neutral Overbought

RSI (32.73) is in the bearish territory, but not yet oversold. This indicates downward momentum. Monitor for continuation or signs of strength.

Stochastic

Stochastic Oscillator

NEUTRAL

%K Line 19.48

%D Line 26.32

Stochastics (%K: 19.48, %D: 26.32) are in the neutral zone (between 20 and 80). A bearish crossover (%K below %D) is observed. This indicates downward momentum. Be cautious if it's already in the oversold region.

CCI

Commodity Channel Index

BUY

CCI(20) -145.92

CCI (-145.92) is below -100. This suggests a strong downward momentum and an oversold condition. Consider buying or looking for long entries cautiously. Confirm with price action; if price is making lower lows, momentum is strong. Look for rallies to enter short.

MACD

Momentum Perspective

BUY

Histogram Value 0.29

Volatility Measurement

ATR

Average True Range

44.67

ATR(14) 44.67

ATR % of Price ...%

Current ATR is 44.6700. ATR indicates average volatility. Market conditions are relatively stable.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility Bands

SELL

Upper Band 1264.62

Middle Band (SMA20) 1136.92

Lower Band 1009.22

Band Width 24%

Current price (1084.21) is within the Bollinger Bands (1009.22 - 1264.62). This suggests the price is trading within its typical volatility range. Price is below the Middle Band (1136.92), indicating short-term bearish bias. Bollinger Bands are wide. This indicates high volatility. Prices tend to revert to the mean after extended periods of high volatility.

Volume Analysis

OBV

On-Balance Volume

Rising

OBV Trend Upward

OBV vs Price Confirming

OBV (-1251100.00) is rising, indicating buying pressure and accumulation. Price is rising and OBV is rising. This is bullish confirmation, indicating buying pressure supports the price increase. Consider holding long positions or initiating new ones. Volume is supporting the trend.

Risk Management & Potential Reversals

SAR

Parabolic Stop and Reverse

SELL

Current SAR 1128

Distance from Price 4.04%

SAR points above price indicate bearish trend. Current SAR at 1128.00 is 4.04% from price. Consider SAR as a potential take-profit level or to confirm a downtrend.

RSI

Reversal Perspective

Divergence Detected

RSI Divergence Detected

Overbought/Oversold Neither

Current RSI level is in neutral territory. An RSI divergence has been detected, which often precedes a price reversal. Monitor closely.

Stochastic

Oversold

Approaching Overbought

Stochastic Position 19.5

Crossover Status Bearish

Stochastic is in oversold territory (19.5). Monitor for potential bullish crossover or movement above 20, which could signal a reversal. Current crossover status: Bearish.

Bollinger Bands

Reversal Perspective

Bearish Bias

Band Position Lower Half

Band Squeeze None

Bollinger Bands are widening, indicating high volatility and potential strong trend continuation.Price is in the lower half of the bands, suggesting a bearish bias.No indication of imminent volatility expansion or reversal.